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Brewers 18, Astros 10                                       2026-07-05 · #1008
at Meadow Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Milwaukee              18      0   18   16    1
Houston                10      -   10    7    0

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kaplan      1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Edwards     lf ......    5   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.400
Espinoza    3b ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Prather     2b ......    4   3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.250
Gentry      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Irving  ph ......    3   4   3   2   0   1   4   1   0   0   0  1.000
Bangoura    rf ......    5   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.200
Yani        c  ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   3   0   0  0.200
Saravia     ss ......    2   4   2   0   1   0   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Cortizo     p  ......    3   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   1  0.667
  b-William ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nava        j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ayers       j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  38  18  16   6   1   2  17   6  11   0   1  0.421
  2B: Espinoza 2 (13), Bangoura (19), Irving 2 (40), Ayers (8).
  3B: Saravia (1).
  HR: Cortizo (2), off Romero; Irving (29), off Romero.
  E: Espinoza (3).
  GIDP: Espinoza (5).
  a-Batted for Gentry in the 4th.
  b-Batted in the 6th.

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Neely       ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Konig       cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Morales ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Moros       2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rivas       3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kingsbury   lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Patridge    rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Edmonso pr ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Maier       1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   1  0.333
Daniels     c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Humphre pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Ayala       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Arboled ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Gómez   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Thom    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  30  10   7   4   0   0  10   5   5   0   1  0.233
  2B: Patridge (6), Maier (1), Morales (9), Arboleda (4).
  HBP: Rivas (5), Daniels (1).
  GIDP: Moros (1), Gómez (7).
  Squeeze: Maier (1 RBI).
  a-Batted for Konig in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Patridge in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Daniels in the 5th.
  d-Batted for Ayala in the 5th.
  e-Ran for Morales in the 6th.
  f-Ran in the 8th.

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cortizo (W, 10-2) ...    16   12  44%    3    3    1    1    2    0   58    -
Hamdy ...............    13   10  37%    2    3    3    2    3    0   57  2-1
Kossmann (F, 40) ....     8    5  19%    2    4    4    2    0    0   30  2-1

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ayala ...............    15   10  37%    3    2    2    3    5    0   50    -
Fenty ...............     4    2   7%    2    3    3    0    1    0   17  3-3
Kryvonos ............     7    4  15%    4    3    3    1    0    0   25  2-2
Berger (L, 0-1) .....     9    5  19%    4    5    5    1    3    0   34  2-2
Romero ..............     9    6  22%    3    5    5    1    2    2   32  1-1

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Cortizo (Outs 1-12) → Hamdy (Outs 13-22) → Kossmann (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Yani (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kaplan (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Prather (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Espinoza (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Saravia (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Edwards (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gentry (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Bangoura (Outs 1-27)

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ayala (Outs 1-10) → Fenty (Outs 11-12) → Kryvonos (Outs 13-16) → Berger (Outs 17-21) → Romero (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Daniels (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Maier (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Moros (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rivas (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Neely (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kingsbury (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Konig (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Patridge (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Astros (home) batted second; Brewers batted first.
  Seconds: MIL o26 (18-0).
  First pitch 1:35 PM CT. Weather: 86°F · Wind cross · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 40146.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Andres Espinoza Daniel Edwards (1B) 1–0
T 9 Clifford Irving Andres Espinoza (3B) 2–0
T 10 Graydon Yani Sergio Saravia (3B) 3–0
T 10 Graydon Yani Cannon Prather (2B) 4–0
T 10 Sergio Saravia Clifford Irving (3B) 5–0
T 11 Terry Ayers Graydon Yani (3B) 6–0
T 11 Terry Ayers Sergio Saravia (2B) 7–0
T 11 Steven Kaplan Terry Ayers (2B) 8–0
T 16 Graydon Yani Cannon Prather (3B) 9–0
T 17 Oscar Cortizo Clifford Irving (3B) 10–0
T 18 Daniel Edwards Sergio Saravia (3B) 11–0
T 18 Andres Espinoza Oscar Cortizo (2B) 12–0
T 20 Clifford Irving Andres Espinoza (2B) 13–0
T 22 Sergio Saravia Clifford Irving (2B) 14–0
T 22 Oscar Cortizo Sergio Saravia (3B) 15–0
T 22 Oscar Cortizo Oscar Cortizo (HR) 16–0
T 26 Clifford Irving Cannon Prather (1B) 17–0
T 26 Clifford Irving Clifford Irving (HR) 18–0
B 1 Quentin Maier Marcos Kingsbury (3B) 18–1
B 7 Alexis Edmonson Cedrick Konig (2B) 18–2
B 9 Mirko Moros Alexis Edmonson (3B) 18–3
B 14 Jeyland Morales Scoville Rivas (3B) 18–4
B 17 Quentin Maier Korey Humphreys (3B) 18–5
B 17 Quentin Maier Mayer Gómez (2B) 18–6
B 23 Van Neely Quentin Maier (3B) 18–7
B 23 Korey Humphreys Iapani Thom (3B) 18–8
B 25 Yasniel Arboleda Van Neely (3B) 18–9
B 25 Yasniel Arboleda Korey Humphreys (2B) 18–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 374' · CF 430' · RF 367' · 8' wall). The Hourglass.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Ivy Wall
Brewers — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 7 1B · 7 XBH · 2 HR
374' 430' 367' Steven Kaplan — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +7° · 79 ft Daniel Edwards — single · EV 84 mph · LA +14° · 135 ft Andres Espinoza — double · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 329 ft Cannon Prather — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +0° · 78 ft Graydon Yani — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +19° · 195 ft Sergio Saravia — single · EV 106 mph · LA +6° · 101 ft Terry Ayers — double · EV 95 mph · LA +48° · 358 ft Clifford Irving — double · EV 97 mph · LA +33° · 341 ft Graydon Yani — single · EV 78 mph · LA +15° · 122 ft Cannon Prather — single · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 239 ft Oscar Cortizo — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 161 ft Clifford Irving — double · EV 104 mph · LA +18° · 255 ft Sergio Saravia — triple · EV 98 mph · LA +24° · 286 ft Jesse Williams — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +57° · 309 ft Steven Kaplan — single · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 103 ft Daniel Edwards — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA +4° · 63 ft Andres Espinoza — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA +3° · 74 ft Cannon Prather — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -5° · 56 ft Oscar Cortizo — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +44° · 419 ft Clifford Irving — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +34° · 414 ft Daniel Edwards — single · EV 94 mph · LA +13° · 153 ft Andres Espinoza — double · EV 91 mph · LA +29° · 279 ft Cannon Prather — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA +10° · 94 ft Daniel Edwards — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 319 ft Johan Bangoura — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 302 ft
Astros — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
374' 430' 367' Marcos Kingsbury — single · EV 75 mph · LA +14° · 105 ft Butch Patridge — double · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 285 ft Mirko Moros — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +34° · 229 ft Cedrick Konig — error · EV 52 mph · LA +0° · 49 ft Scoville Rivas — single · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 181 ft Alexis Edmonson — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -19° · 72 ft Quentin Maier — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Jeyland Morales — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +27° · 198 ft Yasniel Arboleda — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 74 ft Korey Humphreys — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -5° · 75 ft Mayer Gómez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 198 ft Mirko Moros — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +33° · 230 ft Jeyland Morales — double · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 186 ft Quentin Maier — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 200 ft Alexis Edmonson — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -26° · 49 ft Yasniel Arboleda — double · EV 94 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft Mayer Gómez — double_play · EV 101 mph · LA -14° · 96 ft Mirko Moros — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Scoville Rivas — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 302 ft Marcos Kingsbury — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +28° · 256 ft Van Neely — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Mirko Moros — error · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 206 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brewers
70% deserve-to-win  ·  12.7 expected runs
actual 18 runs  ·  +5.3 vs expected
contact: 21.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 30.0 (+8.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sergio Saravia 98 / +24° Pull Triple 1.1 → 3 +1.92
Terry Ayers 95 / +48° Center Double 0.5 → 2 +1.46
Oscar Cortizo 102 / +44° Oppo Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
Andres Espinoza 91 / +29° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Johan Bangoura 92 / +32° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Astros
30% deserve-to-win  ·  8.2 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +1.8 vs expected
contact: 10.5 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+0.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Butch Patridge 92 / +29° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Yasniel Arboleda 94 / +12° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Quentin Maier 92 / +18° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Mirko Moros 92 / +19° Center Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Jeyland Morales 95 / +16° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.89
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