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Padres 7, Cubs 2                                            2026-07-06 · #1016
at Saitch Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Chicago                 2    2    2    0
San Diego               7    7    6    0

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sarkissian  rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Hollowe pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
May         ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Santana     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Heinze  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Coto        1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Myers       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Onyiuke ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Seol        lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Saprissa    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Palermo pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kurth       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Uribe       p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.333
  e-Segovia ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Verhoeven   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   2   2   0   0   0   1   3  10   0   1  0.080
  SB: Santana (9).
  CS: Santana (14), Uribe (1), Hollowell (9).
  GIDP: Onyiuke (4).
  a-Ran for Sarkissian in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Santana in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Myers in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Saprissa in the 3rd.
  e-Struck out for Palermo in the 6th.

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pastore     c  ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Lettiere    ss ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Najar       rf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Atehortua   1b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lavelle     2b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Andrade     3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Silva       p  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Fehr        cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Fernández   lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   7   6   1   0   1   7   3  10   0   0  0.207
  2B: Najar (4).
  HR: Pastore (8), off Uribe.
  SB: Fehr (2).
  CS: Najar (4).
  HBP: Atehortua (6), Lavelle (2), Fernández (7).


CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Uribe (L, 0-1) ......    15    8  30%    4    5    4    1    5    1   39    -
Sprengelmeyer .......    16   15  56%    1    2    2    2    4    0   52  2-1
Bruning .............     4    4  15%    1    0    0    0    1    0   17  1-0

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Silva (W, 7-5) ......    26   27 100%    1    2    2    3   10    0   90    -

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Uribe (Outs 1-8) → Sprengelmeyer (Outs 9-23) → Bruning (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Myers (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Coto (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santana (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Saprissa (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | May (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Seol (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Kurth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sarkissian (Outs 1-27)

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Silva (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Pastore (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Lavelle (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Lettiere (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fernández (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Najar (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Padres (home) batted first; Cubs batted second.
  First pitch 1:30 PM PT. Weather: 99°F · Wind in · Clear · Humid. seed 516611.
  Walk-Back runs: off Uribe 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 Israel Fernández Renaldo Pastore (3B) 0–1
B 6 Renaldo Pastore Thomas Lavelle (2B) 0–2
B 6 Renaldo Pastore Renaldo Pastore (HR) 0–3
B 7 Thomas Lavelle Renaldo Pastore (3B) 0–4
B 7 Haxzel Andrade Keshav Atehortua (2B) 0–5
B 9 Israel Fernández Yoshimar Najar (3B) 0–6
B 13 Yoshimar Najar Hal Fehr (3B) 0–7
T 8 Erick May Maurice Hollowell (3B) 1–7
T 15 Piero Uribe Harold Palermo (3B) 2–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Saitch Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 386' · CF 403' · RF 371' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Cubs — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
386' 403' 371' Jaume Santana — error · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Yong-soo Seol — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Ivan Saprissa — error · EV 77 mph · LA -2° · 73 ft Davion Kurth — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 101 ft Tomas Heinze — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +19° · 67 ft Erick May — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Omni Onyiuke — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Tomas Heinze — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 155 ft Piero Uribe — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -18° · 51 ft
Padres — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
386' 403' 371' Renaldo Pastore — single · EV 92 mph · LA -2° · 87 ft Reed Lettiere — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 319 ft Haxzel Andrade — infield_single · EV 65 mph · LA -19° · 62 ft Israel Fernández — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -6° · 73 ft Thomas Lavelle — single · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 109 ft Renaldo Pastore — hr · EV 98 mph · LA +41° · 385 ft Haxzel Andrade — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +5° · 76 ft Yoshimar Najar — double · EV 95 mph · LA +27° · 292 ft Keshav Atehortua — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +11° · 104 ft Thomas Lavelle — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA -2° · 73 ft Renaldo Pastore — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +58° · 345 ft Carlos Silva — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA +6° · 64 ft Hal Fehr — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -20° · 57 ft Keshav Atehortua — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA +6° · 96 ft Carlos Silva — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +36° · 243 ft Reed Lettiere — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 114 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Cubs
0% deserve-to-win  ·  -0.0 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 3.1 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-2.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tomas Heinze 92 / +14° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Erick May 76 / +6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Davion Kurth 76 / +13° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Tomas Heinze 52 / +19° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Yong-soo Seol 52 / +10° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
Padres
100% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 8.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+1.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Renaldo Pastore 98 / +41° Oppo Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.02
Yoshimar Najar 95 / +27° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Reed Lettiere 92 / +35° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Haxzel Andrade 65 / -19° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Renaldo Pastore 92 / -2° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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