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Istanbul Police 9, Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub 7                   2046-04-23 · #1020
at Flores Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Istanbul                9    9    7    1
Lviv                    7    7    9    1

ISTANBUL POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Beach       cf ......    2   2   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Raharison   3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   3   0   1   1   0  0.500
Zaki        lf ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Boudiaf     ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Zerihun     2b ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kalou       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bendeck     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kass        p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  a-Belhaj  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Onumonu     j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  13   9   7   2   0   2   9   0   2   1   0  0.538
  2B: Zaki (9), Onumonu (3).
  HR: Beach (1), off Innocent; Zerihun (3), off Innocent.
  SB: Zaki 2 (5).
  E: Raharison (2).
  HBP: Boudiaf (5), Zerihun (3), Kass (1).
  a-Entered at CF in the 7th.

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chauvin     lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Mtshali pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mdletshe    ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Cooper      1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Mansour     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Faried      cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  b-Degu    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Macnack     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sibaya      rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Brown       2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Tinta   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Porozo      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
  d-Snyman  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gunter      j  ......    3   2   4   1   0   0   2   1   0   2   0  1.333
Omondi      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kuria       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   7   9   2   0   0   6   7  10   2   1  0.310
  2B: Chauvin (5), Gunter (7).
  CS: Kuria (1), Cooper (6), Macnack (1).
  E: Mdletshe (1).
  HBP: Macnack (1).
  a-Ran for Chauvin in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Faried in the 8th.
  c-Ran for Brown in the 3rd.
  d-Grounded out for Tinta in the 8th.

ISTANBUL POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kass ................    16   10  37%    5    3    1    3    4    0   50    -
Gomis (W, 1-0) ......    15   13  48%    2    2    2    4    5    0   64  2-1
Dotson ..............     6    4  15%    2    2    2    0    1    0   28  2-1

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Porozo (L, 0-4) .....    11    5  19%    5    5    5    0    1    0   43    -
Innocent ............     5    3  11%    2    4    4    0    1    2   25  1-0

  Batting order: Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub (home) batted first; Istanbul Police batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 66°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 965736.
  Walk-Back runs: off Innocent 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 Patrik Faried Zack Chauvin (3B) 0–1
B 8 Mfanafuthi Mdletshe Patrik Faried (3B) 0–2
B 10 Patrik Faried Lonwabo Tinta (3B) 0–3
B 10 Dafydd Gunter Itumeleng Mtshali (3B) 0–4
B 11 Owino Omondi Dafydd Gunter (2B) 0–5
B 23 Mathis Sibaya Dafydd Gunter (3B) 0–6
B 26 Dafydd Gunter Mesud Degu (3B) 0–7
T 0 Nomenjanahary Raharison Marwan Zaki (3B) 1–7
T 0 Nomenjanahary Raharison Oussama Boudiaf (2B) 2–7
T 5 Stephane Onumonu Tom Beach (2B) 3–7
T 5 Marwan Zaki Stephane Onumonu (3B) 4–7
T 5 Marwan Zaki Marc Kass (1B) 5–7
T 7 Abraham Zerihun Abraham Zerihun (HR) 6–7
T 7 Nomenjanahary Raharison Abraham Zerihun (3B) 7–7
T 8 Tom Beach Nomenjanahary Raharison (1B) 8–7
T 8 Tom Beach Tom Beach (HR) 9–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Flores Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 275' · CF 371' · RF 286' · 11' wall). The Bandbox.
Knothole Gates
Istanbul Police — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 2 HR
275' 371' 286' Marwan Zaki — single · EV 97 mph · LA +9° · 117 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — single · EV 96 mph · LA +9° · 111 ft Ivane Kalou — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA -8° · 63 ft Tom Beach — single · EV 95 mph · LA +12° · 142 ft Godfrey Bendeck — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +17° · 122 ft Rachid Belhaj — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -18° · 82 ft Stephane Onumonu — double · EV 119 mph · LA +17° · 320 ft Oussama Boudiaf — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +4° · 85 ft Abraham Zerihun — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Marwan Zaki — double · EV 119 mph · LA +17° · 313 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — error · EV 72 mph · LA -5° · 69 ft Tom Beach — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +46° · 480 ft
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 7 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
275' 371' 286' Zack Chauvin — double · EV 94 mph · LA +18° · 208 ft Dafydd Gunter — infield_single · EV 58 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Owino Omondi — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +23° · 98 ft Marnus Cooper — single · EV 58 mph · LA +14° · 63 ft Rashid Mansour — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 72 ft Patrik Faried — error · EV 74 mph · LA -9° · 70 ft Mathis Sibaya — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA +3° · 56 ft Charles Snyman — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 188 ft Mfanafuthi Mdletshe — infield_single · EV 62 mph · LA -2° · 59 ft Patrik Faried — single · EV 73 mph · LA +24° · 159 ft Dafydd Gunter — single · EV 86 mph · LA +12° · 117 ft Rudy Macnack — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA -3° · 63 ft Owino Omondi — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +8° · 102 ft Mathis Sibaya — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +0° · 75 ft Marnus Cooper — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +22° · 209 ft Dafydd Gunter — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 321 ft Patrik Faried — error · EV 80 mph · LA +3° · 76 ft Mathis Sibaya — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 137 ft Dafydd Gunter — infield_single · EV 56 mph · LA -14° · 54 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Istanbul Police
80% deserve-to-win  ·  9.9 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 16.1 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (-1.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Godfrey Bendeck 74 / +17° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Oussama Boudiaf 90 / +4° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Rachid Belhaj 86 / -18° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.35
Nomenjanahary Raharison 72 / -5° Center Reached on Error 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Stephane Onumonu 119 / +17° Oppo Double 1.7 → 2 +0.27
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub
20% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +2.1 vs expected
contact: 8.6 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+2.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 3 CS (-2.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zack Chauvin 94 / +18° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Dafydd Gunter 92 / +36° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Owino Omondi 94 / +8° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Mfanafuthi Mdletshe 62 / -2° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Dafydd Gunter 56 / -14° Oppo Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.85
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