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Cubs 6, Tigers 4                                            2026-07-07 · #1030
at Kuvvatov Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Chicago                 6    6    5    0
Detroit                 4    4    5    0

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Santana     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coto        cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Segovia     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
  a-Wambach pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Onyiuke     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Maxson  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
May         ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Myers       c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Sarkissian  3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Heinze  ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Seol        lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Sapriss ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Catalano    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Palermo pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Verhoeven   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Conn        j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Schellenger j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  18   6   5   2   0   0   5   3  10   0   1  0.278
  2B: Myers (10), Schellenger (3).
  SB: Heinze (15), Palermo (3).
  CS: Onyiuke (1).
  HBP: Segovia (8).
  a-Ran for Segovia in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Onyiuke in the 6th.
  c-Singled for Sarkissian in the 5th.
  d-Struck out for Seol in the 5th.
  e-Ran in the 5th.

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Peavy       lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Whoriskey   2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Grimaldo    1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Cotzuma pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Monroe      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ndiaye      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Borden      c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Acebo   pr ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Albright    rf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
  c-McMicha pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Sears       cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Ali         p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  d-Delatte ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  26   4   5   1   0   0   3   3  13   0   1  0.192
  2B: Albright (4).
  CS: Sears (6), McMichael (6).
  HBP: Albright (1).
  a-Ran for Grimaldo in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Borden in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Albright in the 9th.
  d-Batted for Ali in the 3rd.

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Catalano ............     8    7  26%    2    2    2    1    2    0   28    -
Bay-Regula (W, 1-2) .    16   17  63%    1    2    2    2    9    0   67  1-1
Espinosa ............     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    2    0   16    -

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ali (L, 4-7) ........    21   16  59%    4    4    4    3   10    0   94    -
McDuffie ............     1    0   0%    1    2    2    0    0    0    4  2-2

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Catalano (Outs 1-7) → Bay-Regula (Outs 8-24) → Espinosa (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Myers (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Onyiuke (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santana (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sarkissian (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | May (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Seol (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Coto (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Segovia (Outs 1-27)

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-16)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Ali (Outs 1-16)
CATCHER (C)       | Borden (Outs 1-16)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Grimaldo (Outs 1-16)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Whoriskey (Outs 1-16)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-16)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ndiaye (Outs 1-16)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-16)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Sears (Outs 1-16)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Albright (Outs 1-16)

  Batting order: Tigers (home) batted first; Cubs batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 626115.
  Powerplays: Cubs — Saprissa NF (O3)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Aleksandar Delatte Jon Grimaldo (3B) 0–1
B 7 Aleksandar Delatte Raymond Acebo (2B) 0–2
B 7 Sean Albright Aleksandar Delatte (2B) 0–3
B 23 Aleksandar Delatte Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (3B) 0–4
T 13 Julian Coto Floyd Myers (2B) 1–4
T 13 Ivan Saprissa Harold Palermo (3B) 2–4
T 16 Wyatt Conn Tomas Heinze (3B) 3–4
T 16 Wyatt Conn Kendrick Wambach (2B) 4–4
T 16 Ryan Schellenger Hezekiah Maxson (3B) 5–4
T 16 Ryan Schellenger Wyatt Conn (2B) 6–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 431' · RF 353' · 43' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Cubs — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Teófilo Segovia — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -14° · 88 ft Jaume Santana — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 335 ft Tomas Heinze — single · EV 87 mph · LA -7° · 82 ft Wyatt Conn — single · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 227 ft Ryan Schellenger — double · EV 93 mph · LA +38° · 337 ft Erick May — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -11° · 95 ft Floyd Myers — double · EV 100 mph · LA +38° · 387 ft Julian Coto — single · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 135 ft
Tigers — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Thai-Son Whoriskey — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -3° · 80 ft Jon Grimaldo — single · EV 107 mph · LA +0° · 102 ft Gardnar Ndiaye — line_out · EV 70 mph · LA +17° · 112 ft Aleksandar Delatte — single · EV 89 mph · LA +12° · 128 ft Raymond Acebo — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 83 ft Sean Albright — double · EV 108 mph · LA +20° · 298 ft Gardnar Ndiaye — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +14° · 126 ft Cooper Monroe — fly_out · EV 114 mph · LA +30° · 454 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -26° · 63 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Cubs
74% deserve-to-win  ·  5.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 7.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jaume Santana 92 / +40° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.12
Ryan Schellenger 93 / +38° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.08
Tomas Heinze 87 / -7° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Erick May 100 / -11° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Wyatt Conn 100 / +17° Pull Single 1.4 → 1 -0.42
Tigers
26% deserve-to-win  ·  3.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 8.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-4.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cooper Monroe 114 / +30° Center Out 3.0 → 0 -2.96
Gardnar Ndiaye 83 / +14° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Gardnar Ndiaye 70 / +17° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Jon Grimaldo 107 / +0° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.38
Thai-Son Whoriskey 84 / -3° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
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