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Liverpool BC 17, Lima BC 12                                 2046-04-23 · #1046
at Kompany Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Liverpool              17      -   17   12    0
Lima                   12      0   12   11    0

LIVERPOOL BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tong        lf ......    2   4   2   0   1   0   3   2   0   0   0  1.000
Etta        ss ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Kelly       3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Lynch       cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Hampton     rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Meringoff   p  ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Williamson  2b ......    4   3   3   2   0   1   7   0   0   0   0  0.750
Bushamuka   1b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Service c  ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.667
Fretz       j  ......    2   3   2   0   0   2   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Watkins     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hašek       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  33  17  12   3   1   4  17   7   7   0   0  0.364
  2B: Meringoff (1), Williamson 2 (3).
  3B: Tong (2).
  HR: Etta (1), off Hughes; Williamson (1), off Oxlade-Chamberlain; Fretz 2 (3), off Sancho, Kelly.
  CS: Kelly (1), Meringoff (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

LIMA BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Krmenčík    lf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Kuki    pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Wilson      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Howell      cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  0.250
Docherty    2b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Toone       c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Clover      p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Jones   ph ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Flanaga ph ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Jack    ph ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
  e-Service pr ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Weber       j  ......    3   0   3   1   0   0   2   1   0   1   0  1.000
Holloway    j  ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  33  12  11   5   0   0  12   8   9   2   0  0.333
  2B: Krmenčík (7), Jones (3), Weber (14), Jack (1), Service (3).
  SB: Kuki (5), Holloway (3).
  HBP: Wilson (3).
  GIDP: Docherty (4).
  a-Ran for Krmenčík in the 1st.
  b-Batted in the 1st.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Ran in the 2nd.

LIVERPOOL BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Meringoff ...........    17    9  33%    4    5    1    4    3    0   59    -
Rampersaud (W, 3-0) .    15   12  44%    3    5    5    3    5    0   58  2-2
McCrorie ............    10    6  22%    4    2    2    1    2    0   37  1-1

LIMA BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Clover (L, 1-1) .....    12    7  26%    4    4    4    3    3    0   52    -
Sancho ..............     4    4  15%    1    2    2    0    0    1   17  1-1
Oxlade-Chamberlain ..     8    4  15%    3    4    4    2    0    1   31    -
Kelly ...............     4    2   7%    2    3    2    0    2    1   12  1-1
Hughes ..............     4    2   7%    1    2    1    1    0    1    7  1-1
Hamzová .............     4    2   7%    1    2    1    1    1    0   17  2-2
Musil ...............     4    5  19%    0    0    0    0    1    0   14  2-0

  Batting order: Lima BC (home) batted first; Liverpool BC batted second.
  Seconds: LB1 o26 (17-12), LB o26 (12-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 75°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 562341.
  Walk-Back runs: off Kelly 1, off Hughes 1, off Hamzová 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 4 Graham Docherty Masaaki Kuki (3B) 0–1
B 4 Gavin Jack Gruffydd Service (3B) 0–2
B 5 Oliver Clover Graham Docherty (3B) 0–3
B 6 Florian Weber Gavin Jack (3B) 0–4
B 7 Waltclaire Howell Oliver Clover (3B) 0–5
B 10 Graham Docherty Masaaki Kuki (3B) 0–6
B 14 Manus Holloway Waltclaire Howell (3B) 0–7
B 14 Masaaki Kuki Callum Toone (3B) 0–8
B 16 Gruffydd Service Manus Holloway (3B) 0–9
B 17 Steeven Jones Gruffydd Service (2B) 0–10
B 22 Florian Weber Steeven Jones (3B) 0–11
B 23 Waltclaire Howell Manus Holloway (2B) 0–12
T 6 Ho-chol Tong Aaron Service (2B) 1–12
T 6 Ho-chol Tong Alexis Bushamuka (1B) 2–12
T 6 Ho-chol Tong Ho-chol Tong (3B) 3–12
T 7 Fabio Williamson Ho-chol Tong (1B) 4–12
T 8 Olivier Fretz Fabio Williamson (2B) 5–12
T 8 Olivier Fretz Olivier Fretz (HR) 6–12
T 15 Fabio Williamson Oisin Lynch (3B) 7–12
T 15 Fabio Williamson Eamon Kelly (2B) 8–12
T 15 Fabio Williamson Ho-chol Tong (1B) 9–12
T 15 Fabio Williamson Fabio Williamson (HR) 10–12
T 15 Aaron Service Fabio Williamson (3B) 11–12
T 16 Olivier Fretz Aaron Service (1B) 12–12
T 16 Olivier Fretz Olivier Fretz (HR) 13–12
T 17 Dominic Hampton Olivier Fretz (3B) 14–12
T 19 Nehemiah Etta Nehemiah Etta (HR) 15–12
T 20 Fabio Williamson Nehemiah Etta (3B) 16–12
T 20 Fabio Williamson Ho-chol Tong (1B) 17–12
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kompany Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 406' · RF 322' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill
Liverpool BC — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 4 1B · 4 XBH · 4 HR
346' 406' 322' Aaron Service — single · EV 114 mph · LA +8° · 108 ft Fabio Williamson — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 219 ft Ho-chol Tong — triple · EV 114 mph · LA +15° · 255 ft Olivier Fretz — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +36° · 480 ft Theo Watkins — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -11° · 87 ft Nehemiah Etta — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +16° · 205 ft Eamon Kelly — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 316 ft Ho-chol Tong — single · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 259 ft Fabio Williamson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 251 ft Aaron Service — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +33° · 281 ft Kevon Meringoff — double · EV 114 mph · LA +19° · 327 ft Oisin Lynch — single · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Alexis Bushamuka — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 174 ft Olivier Fretz — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +45° · 480 ft Nehemiah Etta — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +26° · 450 ft Theo Watkins — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Fabio Williamson — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +35° · 446 ft Aaron Service — single · EV 91 mph · LA +12° · 130 ft Dominic Hampton — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -5° · 75 ft Fabio Williamson — double · EV 105 mph · LA +30° · 377 ft Oisin Lynch — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA +1° · 67 ft Dominic Hampton — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +8° · 100 ft
Lima BC — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 6 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
346' 406' 322' Ondřej Krmenčík — double · EV 102 mph · LA +11° · 157 ft Waltclaire Howell — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 129 ft Steeven Jones — line_out · EV 102 mph · LA +22° · 286 ft Florian Weber — single · EV 95 mph · LA +22° · 255 ft Graham Docherty — single · EV 89 mph · LA +14° · 149 ft Gavin Jack — error · EV 84 mph · LA +20° · 186 ft Masaaki Kuki — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -22° · 72 ft Callum Toone — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +32° · 264 ft Waltclaire Howell — error · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Graham Docherty — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +10° · 98 ft Florian Weber — single · EV 105 mph · LA +5° · 100 ft Gruffydd Service — double · EV 101 mph · LA +13° · 179 ft Steeven Jones — double · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 232 ft Masaaki Kuki — single · EV 79 mph · LA +14° · 115 ft Callum Toone — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Waltclaire Howell — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +10° · 100 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 88 mph · LA +31° · 273 ft Gruffydd Service — single · EV 89 mph · LA +14° · 150 ft Waltclaire Howell — single · EV 71 mph · LA +26° · 158 ft Graham Docherty — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +27° · 232 ft Gavin Jack — double · EV 78 mph · LA +40° · 239 ft Waltclaire Howell — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 216 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Liverpool BC
66% deserve-to-win  ·  17.0 expected runs
actual 17 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 32.5 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 29.0 (-3.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ho-chol Tong 114 / +15° Oppo Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.48
Eamon Kelly 100 / +26° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.43
Fabio Williamson 100 / +17° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Alexis Bushamuka 100 / +13° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Nehemiah Etta 99 / +16° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Lima BC
34% deserve-to-win  ·  12.2 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 14.5 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Gavin Jack 78 / +40° Pull Double 0.2 → 2 +1.84
Steeven Jones 102 / +22° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Steeven Jones 92 / +22° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Waltclaire Howell 71 / +26° Center Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Ondřej Krmenčík 102 / +11° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
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