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Expos 6, Royals 2                                           2026-07-10 · #1053
at Sokk Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Montreal                6    6    5    1
Kansas City             2    2    4    1

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goodson     2b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Matthews    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Huitema pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Grizzlies   3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Geffrard    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Moreira ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  1.000
Mondeville  rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Quinteros   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Solórza ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Fielding    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Pérez       lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Spence      c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Currier     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Gibson      j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Morales     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   5   1   0   0   5   3  11   1   0  0.179
  2B: Gibson (7).
  CS: Grizzlies (5).
  E: Matthews (1).
  HBP: Spence 2 (4).
  a-Ran for Matthews in the 4th.
  b-Batted for Geffrard in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Quinteros in the 5th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rosales     3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Sabella     ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Graham      lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Hackett     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Gregory ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tanguilig   rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Linnehan    c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Talavera    cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Selden      2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Vera    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Devens      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Savarin pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Hsia    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Espinoz pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coates      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   2   4   0   0   0   2   1   7   0   0  0.138
  SB: Graham 2 (6).
  E: Sabella (11).
  HBP: Graham (4).
  GIDP: Sabella (9), Devens (2).
  a-Singled for Hackett in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Selden in the 4th.
  c-Ran in the 4th.
  d-Struck out in the 6th.
  e-Ran for Gregory in the 6th.

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Matthews (W, 6-5) ...    31   27 100%    4    2    2    1    7    0  112    -

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hackett .............    25   22  81%    3    5    5    3    9    0   87    -
Kopinski (L, 0-2) ...     5    5  19%    1    1    1    0    2    0   23  1-1

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Matthews (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Spence (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Quinteros (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Fielding (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Pérez (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Geffrard (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Mondeville (Outs 1-27)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Hackett (Outs 1-22) → Kopinski (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Devens (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Selden (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted second; Expos batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM CT. Weather: 88°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 681522.
  Powerplays: Royals — Hsia NF
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 18 Maciek Grizzlies Roscoe Spence (2B) 1–0
T 19 Rónald Solórzano Marquis Goodson (3B) 2–0
T 20 Rónald Solórzano Maciek Grizzlies (3B) 3–0
T 22 Curt Gibson Rónald Solórzano (2B) 4–0
T 22 Curt Gibson Elliott Currier (1B) 5–0
T 26 Ozziel Moreira Curt Gibson (3B) 6–0
B 10 Reinaldo Talavera Devron Savarino (3B) 6–1
B 21 Luis Rosales Devron Savarino (3B) 6–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Expos — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Douglas Matthews — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +28° · 359 ft Quincy Geffrard — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -19° · 87 ft Augusto Quinteros — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -5° · 77 ft Jordi Pérez — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA +3° · 69 ft Ozziel Moreira — ground_out · EV 111 mph · LA +3° · 106 ft Curt Gibson — double · EV 102 mph · LA +23° · 298 ft Pedro Morales — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -1° · 85 ft Rónald Solórzano — single · EV 89 mph · LA +24° · 233 ft Ozziel Moreira — single · EV 88 mph · LA +20° · 202 ft Marquis Goodson — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Maciek Grizzlies — error · EV 72 mph · LA -7° · 69 ft Franklin Mondeville — line_out · EV 72 mph · LA +19° · 128 ft Omni Fielding — fly_out · EV 74 mph · LA +38° · 214 ft Maciek Grizzlies — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -13° · 64 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Finn Hackett — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +38° · 398 ft Landon Tanguilig — line_out · EV 70 mph · LA +17° · 110 ft Luis Rosales — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 110 ft Rich Linnehan — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Reinaldo Talavera — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -4° · 66 ft Chris Selden — single · EV 52 mph · LA +24° · 79 ft Beau Devens — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Adalid Coates — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +8° · 91 ft Devron Savarino — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 89 ft Thomas Gregory — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Mario Espinoza — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 115 ft Reinaldo Talavera — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Rich Linnehan — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -21° · 87 ft Landon Tanguilig — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 213 ft Efraín Sabella — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 111 ft Eugenio Vera — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -4° · 75 ft Devron Savarino — fielders_choice · EV 60 mph · LA -6° · 57 ft Rich Linnehan — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +41° · 335 ft Luis Rosales — infield_single · EV 72 mph · LA -2° · 68 ft Landon Tanguilig — error · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 173 ft Efraín Sabella — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Efraín Sabella — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Expos
29% deserve-to-win  ·  4.5 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 7.8 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-2.8 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Douglas Matthews 103 / +28° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.34
Marquis Goodson 92 / +6° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Curt Gibson 102 / +23° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Franklin Mondeville 72 / +19° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Ozziel Moreira 111 / +3° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.53
Royals
71% deserve-to-win  ·  7.0 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -5.0 vs expected
contact: 11.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-7.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+1.0 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Finn Hackett 101 / +38° Oppo Out 2.0 → 0 -1.95
Rich Linnehan 92 / +41° Oppo Out 1.1 → 0 -1.12
Landon Tanguilig 92 / +20° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Landon Tanguilig 92 / +15° Pull Reached on Error 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Luis Rosales 72 / -2° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
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