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Smirnykh Glassworks 16, Casablanca Elk 14                   2046-04-24 · #1063
at Tide Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Smirnykh               16   16   14    0
Casablanca             14   14   10    1

SMIRNYKH GLASSWORKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Guskova     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bellov      2b ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Wightmanov  lf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Toumi       cf ......    2   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Schukin     ss ......    2   3   2   1   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cherkasov   3b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   1  1.000
Lysenko     c  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sharipov    p  ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Hirai   c  ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Semenenko   j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tkacheva    j  ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Bykov       j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  19  16  14   9   0   2  16   3   1   0   1  0.737
  2B: Hirai (14), Bellov (15), Wightmanov (13), Schukin (10), Cherkasov (5), Lysenko (1), Sharipov 2 (2), Tkacheva (11).
  HR: Toumi (1), off Yago; Schukin (5), off Banguera.
  CS: Bellov (7), Wightmanov (4).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

CASABLANCA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Strydom     ss ......    3   4   3   3   0   0   5   1   0   0   0  1.000
Kassim      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Aulakh      3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  0.250
Menon       c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mthembu     rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Toit        cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Gosso   pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Cherif  ph ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
  c-Moukoko ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Ejuke   ph ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Chávez  pr ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Demissie    j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Russo       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mpasi       j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.667
Totals                  36  14  10   3   0   0  12   6   4   2   0  0.278
  2B: Strydom 3 (14).
  SB: Demissie (5), Gosso (1).
  CS: Kassim (1).
  E: Russo (4).
  a-Ran for Toit in the 3rd.
  b-Batted in the 1st.
  c-Batted in the 3rd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Ran in the 3rd.

SMIRNYKH GLASSWORKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Sharipov ............     9    6  22%    2    1    1    1    0    0   22    -
Rodionova ...........     5    2   7%    1    3    3    2    0    0   16  2-1
Scholl (W, 1-0) .....    11    9  33%    2    3    1    0    2    0   46  2-1
Kauffmanov ..........    12    7  26%    4    5    5    2    2    0   47  1-1
Kulikova ............     5    3  11%    1    2    2    1    0    0   17  1-1

CASABLANCA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yago ................     6    2   7%    4    4    3    1    1    1   23    -
Stalder .............     5    2   7%    4    3    3    0    0    0   21  1-1
Mukamurenzi .........     4    2   7%    2    2    1    0    0    0    8  1-1
Banguera (L, 0-2) ...     4    1   4%    3    5    4    1    0    1   16  1-1
Blank ...............     3    1   4%    1    2    2    1    0    0   16  1-1

  Batting order: Casablanca Elk (home) batted first; Smirnykh Glassworks batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 66°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 363682.
  Walk-Back runs: off Yago 1, off Banguera 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Reyansh Aulakh Wynand Strydom (3B) 0–1
B 8 Wynand Strydom Lemma Demissie (3B) 0–2
B 8 Haile Kassim Gleyber Chávez (3B) 0–3
B 8 Haile Kassim Devis Gosso (3B) 0–4
B 10 Reyansh Aulakh Wynand Strydom (3B) 0–5
B 17 Wynand Strydom Hamari Mpasi (2B) 0–6
B 17 Wynand Strydom Ilaix Ejuke (1B) 0–7
B 19 Leonardo Russo Reyansh Aulakh (2B) 0–8
B 20 Hamari Mpasi Wynand Strydom (3B) 0–9
B 21 Jasprit Menon Lemma Demissie (3B) 0–10
B 24 Wynand Strydom Gleyber Chávez (3B) 0–11
B 24 Wynand Strydom Devis Gosso (2B) 0–12
B 24 Massinissa Cherif Wynand Strydom (2B) 0–13
B 25 Jasprit Menon Haile Kassim (3B) 0–14
T 2 Oussama Toumi Oscar Wightmanov (2B) 1–14
T 2 Oussama Toumi Oussama Toumi (HR) 2–14
T 2 Timofei Schukin Oussama Toumi (3B) 3–14
T 2 Timofei Schukin Jun Hirai (1B) 4–14
T 2 Teymuraz Cherkasov Timofei Schukin (2B) 5–14
T 2 Viacheslav Lysenko Teymuraz Cherkasov (2B) 6–14
T 4 Maksim Sharipov Alibek Tkacheva (2B) 7–14
T 4 Sasha Bellov Maksim Sharipov (2B) 8–14
T 5 Oscar Wightmanov Sasha Bellov (2B) 9–14
T 6 Timofei Schukin Oussama Toumi (3B) 10–14
T 6 Timofei Schukin Jun Hirai (2B) 11–14
T 6 Timofei Schukin Timofei Schukin (HR) 12–14
T 6 Teymuraz Cherkasov Timofei Schukin (3B) 13–14
T 7 Viacheslav Lysenko Maksim Bykov (2B) 14–14
T 8 Maksim Sharipov Viacheslav Lysenko (2B) 15–14
T 8 Maksim Sharipov Alibek Tkacheva (1B) 16–14
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 303' · CF 418' · RF 353' · 32' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Flag Pole in Play
Smirnykh Glassworks — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 9 XBH · 2 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Sasha Bellov — double · EV 119 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Oscar Wightmanov — double · EV 108 mph · LA +39° · 452 ft Oussama Toumi — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Timofei Schukin — double · EV 112 mph · LA +20° · 326 ft Teymuraz Cherkasov — double · EV 109 mph · LA +32° · 425 ft Viacheslav Lysenko — double · EV 98 mph · LA +24° · 285 ft Eduard Semenenko — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +34° · 320 ft Alibek Tkacheva — double · EV 110 mph · LA +20° · 314 ft Maksim Sharipov — double · EV 104 mph · LA +32° · 387 ft Jun Hirai — double · EV 118 mph · LA +21° · 375 ft Sasha Bellov — single · EV 113 mph · LA +16° · 272 ft Daniil Guskova — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +8° · 85 ft Oscar Wightmanov — error · EV 108 mph · LA +9° · 137 ft Oussama Toumi — single · EV 86 mph · LA +14° · 141 ft Timofei Schukin — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +38° · 477 ft Viacheslav Lysenko — single · EV 98 mph · LA -3° · 93 ft Eduard Semenenko — fly_out · EV 114 mph · LA +19° · 329 ft Maksim Sharipov — double · EV 110 mph · LA +22° · 342 ft
Casablanca Elk — Batted Balls
30 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Wynand Strydom — double · EV 104 mph · LA +25° · 334 ft Haile Kassim — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +26° · 332 ft Massinissa Cherif — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +56° · 387 ft Reyansh Aulakh — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 223 ft Lemma Demissie — single · EV 98 mph · LA +30° · 330 ft Hamari Mpasi — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +34° · 272 ft Jasprit Menon — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -12° · 65 ft Ilaix Ejuke — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +26° · 323 ft Haile Kassim — single · EV 89 mph · LA +16° · 165 ft Reyansh Aulakh — single · EV 85 mph · LA -3° · 81 ft Leonardo Russo — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -1° · 71 ft Hamari Mpasi — single · EV 78 mph · LA -11° · 74 ft Jasprit Menon — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +12° · 85 ft Maodo Moukoko — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +34° · 302 ft Ilaix Ejuke — error · EV 66 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Wynand Strydom — double · EV 104 mph · LA +15° · 221 ft Gleyber Chávez — single · EV 79 mph · LA -18° · 75 ft Reyansh Aulakh — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 182 ft Haile Kassim — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +24° · 241 ft Massinissa Cherif — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -1° · 81 ft Reyansh Aulakh — single · EV 76 mph · LA -21° · 72 ft Leonardo Russo — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +6° · 75 ft Hamari Mpasi — error · EV 77 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft Jasprit Menon — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +35° · 347 ft Ilaix Ejuke — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +49° · 229 ft Wynand Strydom — double · EV 94 mph · LA +20° · 232 ft Gleyber Chávez — line_out · EV 55 mph · LA +20° · 80 ft Massinissa Cherif — single · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 104 ft Reyansh Aulakh — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -5° · 65 ft Jasprit Menon — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Smirnykh Glassworks
58% deserve-to-win  ·  14.6 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 32.6 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 29.0 (-3.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eduard Semenenko 114 / +19° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
Oscar Wightmanov 108 / +9° Oppo Reached on Error 1.4 → 0 -1.39
Sasha Bellov 119 / +30° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Oscar Wightmanov 108 / +39° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Eduard Semenenko 93 / +34° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Casablanca Elk
42% deserve-to-win  ·  12.5 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 20.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-7.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jasprit Menon 96 / +35° Oppo Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Haile Kassim 103 / +26° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.43
Ilaix Ejuke 101 / +26° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.43
Maodo Moukoko 90 / +34° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Reyansh Aulakh 92 / +21° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
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