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Cubs 5, Red Sox 3  (2 SI)                                   2026-07-11 · #1066
at Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Boston                  3      0    3    3    0
Chicago                 3      2    5    5    1

RED SOX
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Suazo       2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Merrill     lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Venegas     c  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Núñez       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Pfister     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Saravia     ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
Cameron     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.000
Norton      1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Maldonado   p  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Hodges  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Kamara  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Inniss      j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Malard      j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Strachan    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  35   3   3   0   0   0   1   4  19   0   0  0.086
  GIDP: Suazo (1).
  a-Ran in the 4th.
  b-Batted in the 5th.

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Palermo     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Kurth   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Campaz      p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
  b-Lamas   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sarkissian  2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Mueller pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Coto        cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Heinze      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Casey       ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Wambach pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Segovia     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Sapriss ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
May         lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Myers       3b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Seol    ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Schellenger j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Verhoeven   j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Conn        j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  33   5   5   0   0   0   5   5  17   0   1  0.152
  SB: Wambach (3).
  E: Campaz (1).
  HBP: May (5).
  a-Ran for Palermo in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Campaz in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Sarkissian in the 9th.
  d-Ran for Casey in the 5th.
  e-Batted for Segovia in the 9th.
  f-Batted in the 8th.

RED SOX PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Maldonado (L, 1-4) ..    23   16  59%    4    5    5    4    9    0   91    -
Martín ..............    16   15  56%    1    0    0    1    8    0   59  1-0

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Campaz (W, 8-6) .....    39   33 122%    3    3    1    4   19    0  145    -

RED SOX DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-31)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Maldonado (Outs 1-16) → Martín (Outs 17-31)
CATCHER (C)       | Venegas (Outs 1-31)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Norton (Outs 1-31)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suazo (Outs 1-31)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Pfister (Outs 1-31)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Saravia (Outs 1-31)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Merrill (Outs 1-31)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Núñez (Outs 1-31)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Cameron (Outs 1-31)

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-33)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Campaz (Outs 1-33)
CATCHER (C)       | Heinze (Outs 1-33)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Palermo (Outs 1-33)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Sarkissian (Outs 1-33)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Myers (Outs 1-33)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Casey (Outs 1-33)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | May (Outs 1-33)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Coto (Outs 1-33)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Segovia (Outs 1-33)

  Batting order: Cubs (home) batted second; Red Sox batted first.
  Super-innings: 2.
  First pitch 1:00 PM CT. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 31967.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 15 Michail Norton Jacob Hodges (2B) 1–0
T 16 Manuel Suazo Dexter Inniss (3B) 2–0
T 17 Henri Merrill Ivo Malard (3B) 3–0
B 11 Erick May Davion Kurth (3B) 3–1
B 12 Brian Verhoeven Víctor Lamas (3B) 3–2
B 12 Brian Verhoeven Michael Mueller (2B) 3–3
SB 31 Ivan Saprissa Floyd Myers (3B) 3–4
SB 31 Ivan Saprissa Yong-soo Seol (2B) 3–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 311' · CF 428' · RF 340' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Crescent Grandstand
Red Sox — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Kervin Venegas — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -20° · 61 ft Dexter Inniss — single · EV 84 mph · LA +14° · 129 ft Jacob Hodges — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 204 ft Walter Núñez — fielders_choice · EV 58 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Michail Norton — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -5° · 75 ft Ángel Maldonado — error · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 159 ft Manuel Suazo — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +28° · 202 ft Kervin Venegas — single · EV 62 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Ángel Maldonado — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 74 ft Craig Kamara — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +33° · 252 ft Manuel Suazo — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Michail Norton — single · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft
Cubs — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Teófilo Segovia — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +3° · 77 ft Douglas Casey — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Isaiah Campaz — single · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Brian Verhoeven — single · EV 84 mph · LA +19° · 176 ft Wyatt Conn — single · EV 75 mph · LA +4° · 71 ft Ryan Schellenger — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -11° · 76 ft Yong-soo Seol — ground_out · EV 104 mph · LA -4° · 99 ft Douglas Casey — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA -8° · 78 ft Tomas Heinze — fielders_choice · EV 91 mph · LA -1° · 86 ft Michael Mueller — single · EV 81 mph · LA +14° · 128 ft Kendrick Wambach — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +41° · 414 ft Floyd Myers — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Ivan Saprissa — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 140 ft Floyd Myers — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA -4° · 77 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Red Sox
8% deserve-to-win  ·  1.8 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 3.8 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-0.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kervin Venegas 62 / +11° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Michail Norton 100 / -7° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Ángel Maldonado 76 / +22° Pull Reached on Error 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Craig Kamara 83 / +33° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
Dexter Inniss 84 / +14° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.41
Cubs
92% deserve-to-win  ·  6.3 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.3 vs expected
contact: 9.5 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-4.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kendrick Wambach 102 / +41° Center Out 2.6 → 0 -2.59
Wyatt Conn 75 / +4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Yong-soo Seol 104 / -4° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Douglas Casey 76 / +16° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Floyd Myers 76 / +12° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
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