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Stars 7, Brewers 5                                          2026-07-18 · #1092
at Bussaglia Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Nashville               7    7    3    0
Milwaukee               5    5    7    0

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Karouani    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cooper      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fusano      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Spence      rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cubillán    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mendez      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Caballe pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Boattin     ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Gamboa  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Beers       2b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   .000
Forrest     p  ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   .000
Giannou     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   9   7   3   1   0   1   7   4   5   0   0  0.333
  2B: Boattin (6).
  HR: Giannou (6), off Ebun.
  HBP: Mendez (2).
  a-Ran for Mendez in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Boattin in the 7th.

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mesidor     c  ......    3   1   2   1   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Flores      1b ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   0  0.667
Williams    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Edwards     lf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Espinoza    3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Ishida  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ebun        p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Irving  ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Prather     cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Kaplan      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Gentry  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Penickova   ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.500
  d-Saravia pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Nava        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   5   7   2   1   0   4   6   9   1   1  0.269
  2B: Mesidor (25), Irving (45).
  3B: Mesidor (3).
  CS: Mesidor (1).
  HBP: Mesidor (5).
  GIDP: Flores (1).
  a-Ran for Espinoza in the 7th.
  b-Doubled for Ebun in the 5th.
  c-Grounded out for Kaplan in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Irving in the 6th.

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Forrest (W, 4-7) ....    20   16  59%    5    3    3    3    7    0   87    -
Kekahuna ............    13   11  41%    2    2    2    3    2    0   50  2-1

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ebun (L, 16-2) ......    14    7  26%    3    7    7    4    5    1   54    -

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Forrest (Outs 1-16) → Kekahuna (Outs 17-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Beers (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Fusano (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Boattin (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cubillán (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spence (Outs 1-27)

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-7)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ebun (Outs 1-7)
CATCHER (C)       | Mesidor (Outs 1-7)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Flores (Outs 1-7)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kaplan (Outs 1-7)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Espinoza (Outs 1-7)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Penickova (Outs 1-7)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Edwards (Outs 1-7)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Prather (Outs 1-7)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Williams (Outs 1-7)

  Batting order: Brewers (home) batted first; Stars batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 94°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Humid. seed 368757.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 8 Stan Mesidor Frank Ebun (2B) 0–1
B 12 Clifford Irving Andres Espinoza (1B) 0–2
B 15 Rodolfo Flores Sergio Saravia (3B) 0–3
B 16 Jesse Williams Stan Mesidor (3B) 0–4
B 23 Rodolfo Flores Cannon Prather (2B) 0–5
T 5 Pepe Boattin Sean Spence (2B) 1–5
T 5 Sylvester Forrest Manuel Gamboa (3B) 2–5
T 5 Sandy Beers Sandy Beers (3B) 3–5
T 7 Samuel Giannou Sylvester Forrest (3B) 4–5
T 7 Samuel Giannou Sylvester Forrest (3B) 5–5
T 7 Samuel Giannou Tony Caballero (1B) 6–5
T 7 Samuel Giannou Samuel Giannou (HR) 7–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Bussaglia Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 344' · CF 415' · RF 304' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Stars — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
344' 415' 304' Sean Spence — single · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 103 ft Facundo Mendez — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -3° · 88 ft Pepe Boattin — double · EV 115 mph · LA +26° · 408 ft Samuel Giannou — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft
Brewers — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
344' 415' 304' Stan Mesidor — double · EV 99 mph · LA +15° · 192 ft Jesse Williams — fly_out · EV 67 mph · LA +30° · 155 ft Cannon Prather — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +21° · 239 ft Clifford Irving — double · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 221 ft Noel Gentry — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +39° · 278 ft Toshihiro Ishida — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 322 ft Stan Mesidor — triple · EV 108 mph · LA +22° · 326 ft Rodolfo Flores — double_play · EV 91 mph · LA -2° · 86 ft Jesse Williams — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +4° · 91 ft Daniel Edwards — single · EV 88 mph · LA +11° · 115 ft Andres Espinoza — fielders_choice · EV 89 mph · LA -10° · 85 ft Raymond Penickova — single · EV 90 mph · LA +1° · 85 ft Rodolfo Flores — fielders_choice · EV 89 mph · LA +5° · 85 ft Jesse Williams — fly_out · EV 115 mph · LA +23° · 375 ft Daniel Edwards — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA -12° · 52 ft Rodolfo Flores — single · EV 88 mph · LA +21° · 207 ft Daniel Edwards — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +20° · 158 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stars
28% deserve-to-win  ·  5.9 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +1.1 vs expected
contact: 7.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-0.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Pepe Boattin 115 / +26° Pull Double 3.0 → 2 -0.96
Sean Spence 80 / +12° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.41
Facundo Mendez 93 / -3° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.39
Samuel Giannou 119 / +41° Pull Home Run 3.6 → 4 +0.38
Brewers
72% deserve-to-win  ·  9.5 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -4.5 vs expected
contact: 13.0 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-2.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jesse Williams 115 / +23° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.71
Stan Mesidor 108 / +22° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.28
Cannon Prather 95 / +21° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Toshihiro Ishida 92 / +36° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Stan Mesidor 99 / +15° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.89
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