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Royals 2, Tigers 1                                          2026-07-19 · #1105
at Sokk Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 1    1    5    0
Kansas City             2    2    3    1

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Peavy       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Whoriskey   1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Grimaldo    rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kuchiki     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Day         3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Delatte ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Zheng       ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Acebo   pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Verón       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Takuma  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lutmer      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Malin       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Sears   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Mauigoa ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Marion  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Massey      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Soldan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kuhler      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  27   1   5   0   0   0   1   4   7   0   0  0.185
  SB: Acebo (10), Kuhler (3).
  GIDP: Acebo (4), Sears (3).
  a-Batted for Day in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Zheng in the 3rd.
  c-Struck out for Verón in the 7th.
  d-Grounded out for Malin in the 6th.
  e-Walked for Kuhler in the 8th.
  f-Struck out in the 9th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kortovich   p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Monson      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Altamir pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Rosales     3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Fuenzalida  rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Graham      lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Tanguilig   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Talavera    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Vera        ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Savarino    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Sabella ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Bortolo ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Farley  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Espinoz pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Florenzo    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coates      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Press       j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  17   2   3   0   0   0   2   4   7   0   0  0.176
  SB: Altamirano (20).
  E: Monson (6).
  GIDP: Kortovich (1).
  a-Ran for Monson in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out for Savarino in the 6th.
  c-Walked in the 7th.
  d-Grounded out in the 5th.
  e-Ran in the 6th.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Malin (L, 3-4) ......    20   16   74  3.7    2    2    2    4    7    0    -

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Kortovich (W, 9-4) ..    26   23   79  3.0    5    1    1    3    4    0    -
Muñoz ...............     5    4   22  4.4    0    0    0    1    3    0  2-0

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-16)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Malin (Outs 1-16)
CATCHER (C)       | Lutmer (Outs 1-16)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Whoriskey (Outs 1-16)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Verón (Outs 1-16)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Day (Outs 1-16)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zheng (Outs 1-16)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-16)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Kuchiki (Outs 1-16)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Grimaldo (Outs 1-16)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kortovich (Outs 1-23) → Muñoz (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Savarino (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vera (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted second; Tigers batted first.
  First pitch 2:00 PM CT. Weather: 89°F · Wind cross · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 157241.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 0.55
    27 outs left: 0.22
    18 outs left: 0.33
     9 outs left: 0.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 1 Christian Day Thai-Son Whoriskey (3B) 1–0 —
B 16 George Graham Ramon Altamirano (3B) 1–1 0.27
B 16 Jhonder Fuenzalida Mario Espinoza (3B) 1–2 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 0.55
27 outs left 0.22
18 outs left 0.33
9 outs left 0.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Tigers — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Ed Peavy — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA +2° · 62 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Jon Grimaldo — single · EV 80 mph · LA +20° · 163 ft Rocky Kuchiki — error · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Zixuan Zheng — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Youstin Verón — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 169 ft Liam Lutmer — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Raymond Acebo — single · EV 76 mph · LA -13° · 72 ft Noah Massey — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +32° · 307 ft Aleksandar Delatte — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 327 ft Ricki Sears — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Kevin Kuhler — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 138 ft Liam Lutmer — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -13° · 87 ft Youstin Verón — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +45° · 339 ft Rocky Kuchiki — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +51° · 226 ft Jon Grimaldo — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 101 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — single · EV 98 mph · LA +5° · 93 ft Raymond Acebo — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +6° · 49 ft Aleksandar Delatte — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft Jon Grimaldo — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 303 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Landon Tanguilig — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Reinaldo Talavera — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA -12° · 58 ft Kael Monson — fly_out · EV 53 mph · LA +56° · 104 ft Roscoe Kortovich — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Randy Farley — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +45° · 231 ft Roscoe Kortovich — single · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Landon Tanguilig — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +21° · 71 ft George Graham — single · EV 62 mph · LA +4° · 59 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
95% deserve-to-win  ·  6.8 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -5.8 vs expected
contact: 9.5 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-4.5 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Youstin Verón 92 / +45° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Aleksandar Delatte 92 / +38° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Youstin Verón 92 / +15° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Raymond Acebo 76 / -13° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Zixuan Zheng 76 / +7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Royals
5% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 1.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (+0.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
George Graham 62 / +4° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.90
Roscoe Kortovich 76 / -3° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Landon Tanguilig 52 / +21° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Landon Tanguilig 56 / +11° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Randy Farley 76 / +45° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.14
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