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Žilina BK 9, Aleksandrovsk Hawks 8                          2046-04-25 · #1107
at Beacon Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Aleksandrovsk           8    8    9    2
Žilina                  9    9    9    0

ALEKSANDROVSK HAWKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Zotov       c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Tatís   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bykov       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Pérez       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rudnev      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Morozov     lf ......    3   2   2   1   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.667
Kravchuk    2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Nkosi       3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Strelko pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Miyazawa    p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  c-Nikoyan ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Sudakov pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Pogrebn ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Cao     ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  g-Phillip pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Madrigal    j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Kravchuk    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   8   9   2   0   1   7   2   7   0   0  0.281
  2B: Nikoyan (3), Morozov (5).
  HR: Morozov (1), off Takagi.
  SB: Strelkov (5).
  CS: Rudnev (4), Tatís (4).
  E: Bykov (3), Kravchuk (1).
  GIDP: Madrigal (2).
  a-Ran for Zotov in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Nkosi in the 3rd.
  c-Doubled for Kravchuk in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Nikoyan in the 3rd.
  e-Walked in the 4th.
  f-Batted in the 4th.
  g-Ran in the 5th.

ŽILINA BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Damdinsuren cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Fix     pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Hung        2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Akita       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Żurkowski   lf ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sigourney   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  0.000
Govindasamy ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kimov       1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Takagi      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Rengifo rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Beltré      j  ......    1   2   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0  2.000
Pimpton     j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Hisami      j  ......    2   1   3   1   0   0   2   1   0   1   0  1.500
Totals                  22   9   9   1   0   0   8   7   5   2   0  0.409
  2B: Hisami (10).
  a-Ran for Damdinsuren in the 7th.
  b-Entered at RF in the 7th.

ALEKSANDROVSK HAWKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Miyazawa ............    17   11  41%    6    4    4    3    2    0   71    -
Zabolotny ...........     9    6  22%    2    2    2    3    3    0   38  2-1
Yokuşlu (L, 0-3) ....     3    1   4%    1    3    3    1    0    0    8  3-2

ŽILINA BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Takagi (W, 2-1) .....    29   23  85%    8    7    7    2    5    1  100    -
Alloo ...............     4    4  15%    0    1    1    0    2    0   13  1-1

  Batting order: Žilina BK (home) batted second; Aleksandrovsk Hawks batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 84°F · Wind in · Overcast. seed 468178.
  Walk-Back runs: off Alloo 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 6 Sergei Morozov Sergiy Sudakov (2B) 1–0
T 18 Yusuke Miyazawa Fyodor Strelkov (3B) 2–0
T 21 Xiaolong Cao Kahanu Phillipsov (3B) 3–0
T 23 Sergei Morozov Xiaolong Cao (3B) 4–0
T 23 Sergei Morozov Ostap Rudnev (2B) 5–0
T 23 Sergei Morozov Sergiy Sudakov (1B) 6–0
T 23 Sergei Morozov Sergei Morozov (HR) 7–0
T 26 Kevin Madrigal Sergei Morozov (3B) 8–0
B 9 Dariusz Żurkowski Kotaro Hisami (3B) 8–1
B 9 Armondo Sigourney Ketel Beltré (3B) 8–2
B 9 Daisuke Akita Dariusz Żurkowski (2B) 8–3
B 11 Sudhakar Govindasamy Zion Pimpton (3B) 8–4
B 15 Salvador Rengifo Sudhakar Govindasamy (3B) 8–5
B 17 Armondo Sigourney Ketel Beltré (3B) 8–6
B 18 Boldsaikhan Damdinsuren Salvador Rengifo (3B) 8–7
B 18 Kotaro Hisami Dariusz Żurkowski (3B) 8–8
B 18 Kotaro Hisami Bob Fix (1B) 8–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Beacon Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 284' · CF 366' · RF 289' · 58' wall). The Bandbox.
Aleksandrovsk Hawks — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
284' 366' 289' Wall 58' Valeriy Zotov — single · EV 94 mph · LA +7° · 89 ft Daniil Bykov — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +32° · 251 ft Víctor Pérez — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +34° · 255 ft Kevin Madrigal — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +24° · 200 ft Petr Kravchuk — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -6° · 87 ft Teymuraz Nikoyan — double · EV 99 mph · LA +16° · 211 ft Sergei Morozov — double · EV 98 mph · LA +22° · 266 ft Knox Nkosi — single · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Yusuke Miyazawa — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Sergiy Sudakov — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -5° · 78 ft Kahanu Phillipsov — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -9° · 55 ft Kevin Madrigal — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA -6° · 53 ft Víctor Pérez — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +30° · 204 ft Yury Kravchuk — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +48° · 337 ft Yusuke Miyazawa — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +20° · 209 ft Xiaolong Cao — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 75 ft Kevin Madrigal — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 152 ft Petr Kravchuk — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -22° · 75 ft Víctor Pérez — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -3° · 87 ft Ostap Rudnev — fielders_choice · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Sergei Morozov — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Kevin Madrigal — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +4° · 60 ft
Žilina BK — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 7 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
284' 366' 289' Wall 58' Dariusz Żurkowski — error · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 85 ft Armondo Sigourney — line_out · EV 54 mph · LA -19° · 52 ft Daisuke Akita — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Boldsaikhan Damdinsuren — single · EV 58 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Sudhakar Govindasamy — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 187 ft Chia-hong Hung — single · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Karoy Kimov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -22° · 72 ft Kotaro Hisami — single · EV 52 mph · LA +7° · 49 ft Ketel Beltré — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 158 ft Zion Pimpton — single · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Ketel Beltré — single · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Dariusz Żurkowski — error · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 71 ft Daisuke Akita — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Kotaro Hisami — error · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Salvador Rengifo — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Kotaro Hisami — double · EV 93 mph · LA +35° · 325 ft Daisuke Akita — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 189 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Aleksandrovsk Hawks
40% deserve-to-win  ·  4.5 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +3.5 vs expected
contact: 11.6 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+1.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sergei Morozov 92 / +42° Pull Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.78
Yusuke Miyazawa 91 / +20° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Knox Nkosi 76 / -6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Yusuke Miyazawa 76 / +8° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Kevin Madrigal 82 / +24° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Žilina BK
60% deserve-to-win  ·  5.5 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +3.5 vs expected
contact: 6.2 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+3.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kotaro Hisami 93 / +35° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Kotaro Hisami 52 / +7° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Chia-hong Hung 76 / -4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Zion Pimpton 76 / +5° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Kotaro Hisami 77 / +2° Center Stay 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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