==============================================================================
Stars 2, Royals 1                                           2026-07-22 · #1138
at Sokk Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Nashville               2    2    2    0
Kansas City             1    1    5    1

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sappington  lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gamboa      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Santamaría  2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Karouani    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Cubillá pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Spence      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Boattin     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Caballero   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Beers       3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kekahuna    p  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  14   2   2   1   0   0   1   2   7   0   0  0.143
  2B: Kekahuna (1).
  GIDP: Beers (2).
  a-Ran for Karouani in the 7th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hackett     p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Fuenzalida  rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sabella     ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tanguilig   lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Talavera    cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Linnehan    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Gregory ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Espinoza    1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hsia        2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Vera    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Altamir pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Selden  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Inglis  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Coates      j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Florenzo    j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Press       j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  26   1   5   1   0   0   1   4   9   0   0  0.192
  2B: Sabella (10).
  E: Rosales (4).
  GIDP: Rosales (7).
  a-Walked for Linnehan in the 7th.
  b-Batted for Hsia in the 3rd.
  c-Ran in the 4th.
  d-Grounded out in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Gregory in the 9th.

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kekahuna (W, 5-2) ...    29   27 100%    5    1    1    4    9    0  113    -

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hackett (L, 10-8) ...    16   13  48%    2    2    2    2    7    0   57    -

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kekahuna (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Caballero (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santamaría (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Beers (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Boattin (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Sappington (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gamboa (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spence (Outs 1-27)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-13)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Hackett (Outs 1-13)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-13)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Espinoza (Outs 1-13)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Hsia (Outs 1-13)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-13)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-13)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tanguilig (Outs 1-13)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-13)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-13)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted first; Stars batted second.
  First pitch 1:05 PM CT. Weather: 73°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 129159.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 0.32
    27 outs left: 0.22
    18 outs left: 0.33
     9 outs left: 0.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 26 Eugenio Vera Adalid Coates (3B) 0–1 —
T 9 Sean Spence Dylan Kekahuna (3B) 1–1 0.17
T 11 Sandy Beers Haxzel Cubillán (3B) 2–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 0.32
27 outs left 0.22
18 outs left 0.33
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Stars — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Wallace Sappington — error · EV 55 mph · LA +1° · 52 ft Nestor Santamaría — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -15° · 65 ft Tony Caballero — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -6° · 55 ft Dylan Kekahuna — double · EV 99 mph · LA +17° · 214 ft Nestor Santamaría — single · EV 88 mph · LA +0° · 84 ft Sandy Beers — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA +6° · 60 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Finn Hackett — single · EV 93 mph · LA +6° · 89 ft Efraín Sabella — double · EV 91 mph · LA +10° · 113 ft Rich Linnehan — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -6° · 49 ft Yung-chi Hsia — single · EV 69 mph · LA +13° · 85 ft Eugenio Vera — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +20° · 155 ft Adalid Coates — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 117 ft Chris Selden — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +33° · 238 ft Chico Press — single · EV 85 mph · LA +19° · 173 ft Mario Espinoza — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -15° · 69 ft Rich Linnehan — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +23° · 264 ft Finn Hackett — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -5° · 74 ft Finn Hackett — fly_out · EV 57 mph · LA +30° · 113 ft Luis Rosales — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -10° · 57 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stars
8% deserve-to-win  ·  1.1 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 2.1 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dylan Kekahuna 99 / +17° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Nestor Santamaría 88 / +0° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
Nestor Santamaría 69 / -15° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Tony Caballero 58 / -6° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Wallace Sappington 55 / +1° Center Reached on Error 0.1 → 0 -0.10
Royals
92% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -2.6 vs expected
contact: 6.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rich Linnehan 95 / +23° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Efraín Sabella 91 / +10° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Yung-chi Hsia 69 / +13° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Finn Hackett 93 / +6° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
Eugenio Vera 78 / +20° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →