==============================================================================
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub 3, Manpo Yagu Club 1                   2046-04-25 · #1140
at Flores Yards
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Manpo                   1    1    5    0
Lviv                    3    3    5    0

MANPO YAGU CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Merga       c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Murenga     cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Dias    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Sambissa    lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Engelbr pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Atal        1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ambrose     3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Demehin pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ndlovu      p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Jilcha  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Bedrane ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Ouali   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Shumba  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Opoku   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Shamase c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Dida        j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kramer      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cunha       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   1   5   0   0   0   1   3  10   0   0  0.192
  SB: Merga (2), Dida (6).
  CS: Demehin (2), Dias (2).
  HBP: Sambissa (3).
  a-Ran for Murenga in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Sambissa in the 1st.
  c-Ran for Ambrose in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 1st.
  e-Batted in the 1st.
  f-Batted in the 2nd.
  g-Replaced Kramer at C in the 4th.
  h-Replaced Dias at CF in the 8th.
  i-Entered at C in the 8th.

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sibaya      3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
Mdletshe    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mansour     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ozuna       p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Onyango c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Macnack lf ......    2   2   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Faried  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Degu    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Geromel 2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gunter      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Omondi      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kuria       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  11   3   5   0   0   1   3   1   4   0   1  0.455
  HR: Macnack (1), off Ndlovu.
  SB: Macnack (1).
  CS: Geromel (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.
  b-Entered at LF in the 7th.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.
  d-Entered at C in the 8th.
  e-Entered at 2B in the 9th.

MANPO YAGU CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ndlovu (L, 1-3) .....    12   10  37%    5    3    3    1    4    1   40    -

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ozuna (W, 4-2) ......    30   27 100%    5    1    1    3   10    0  111    -

  Batting order: Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub (home) batted second; Manpo Yagu Club batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 57°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 245176.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 3 Mulugeta Dida Abel Merga (3B) 1–0
B 4 Otieno Onyango Rudy Macnack (2B) 1–1
B 10 Rudy Macnack Salvador Ozuna (1B) 1–2
B 10 Rudy Macnack Rudy Macnack (HR) 1–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Flores Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 275' · CF 371' · RF 286' · 11' wall). The Bandbox.
Knothole Gates
Manpo Yagu Club — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
275' 371' 286' Tonderai Murenga — infield_single · EV 62 mph · LA +5° · 59 ft Bikila Jilcha — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 196 ft Massinissa Bedrane — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +37° · 348 ft Oluwaseun Ambrose — single · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 181 ft Mulugeta Dida — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Namori Demehin — single · EV 77 mph · LA +18° · 137 ft Stan Shamase — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -10° · 54 ft Mulugeta Dida — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 213 ft Bikila Jilcha — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +3° · 82 ft Lovemore Ndlovu — single · EV 93 mph · LA +13° · 149 ft Faf Engelbrecht — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +42° · 230 ft Mulugeta Dida — single · EV 93 mph · LA +12° · 142 ft
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
275' 371' 286' Dafydd Gunter — single · EV 93 mph · LA -13° · 88 ft Rudy Macnack — single · EV 97 mph · LA -7° · 92 ft Mwaniki Kuria — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +5° · 74 ft Otieno Onyango — single · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 105 ft Mesud Degu — fly_out · EV 71 mph · LA +34° · 190 ft Salvador Geromel — single · EV 87 mph · LA -12° · 82 ft Rudy Macnack — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +32° · 420 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Manpo Yagu Club
44% deserve-to-win  ·  2.0 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -1.0 vs expected
contact: 5.7 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.7 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-1.0 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Massinissa Bedrane 95 / +37° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Tonderai Murenga 62 / +5° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Oluwaseun Ambrose 76 / +26° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Mulugeta Dida 63 / +10° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Namori Demehin 77 / +18° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub
56% deserve-to-win  ·  2.3 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 5.4 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+2.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rudy Macnack 108 / +32° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.97
Salvador Geromel 87 / -12° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
Dafydd Gunter 93 / -13° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
Rudy Macnack 97 / -7° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.48
Otieno Onyango 88 / +10° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.39
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →