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Rockies 19, Guardians 11                                    2026-07-22 · #1142
at Cleveland Coliseum
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Colorado               19      0   19   17    0
Cleveland              11      0   11   12    0

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martinho    ss ......    6   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Grimes      p  ......    5   3   3   2   0   0   2   0   2   0   1  0.600
Diatta      3b ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.250
Alderman    rf ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Mondragón   c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   3   0   0  0.250
Ruidíaz     2b ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.400
Chaves      1b ......    4   1   2   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  0.500
Otamendi    cf ......    5   3   4   3   0   0   7   0   2   1   0  0.800
Goss        lf ......    2   4   1   0   0   0   2   2   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Kaiuway ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  39  19  17   7   0   1  19   6  10   1   1  0.436
  2B: Martinho (48), Grimes 2 (2), Ruidíaz (8), Otamendi 3 (7).
  HR: Chaves (12), off Fazio.
  SB: Chaves (9).
  CS: Chaves (3).
  HBP: Goss (7).
  GIDP: Ruidíaz (3).
  a-Batted in the 5th.

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Brymer      rf ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   1   0  1.000
Bannatyne   3b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.333
Haliburton  p  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1  0.500
Velez       c  ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
González    2b ......    5   1   2   2   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.400
Enquist     cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.000
Hutson      1b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Cabrera     ss ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Carmona     lf ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   2   1   0  0.333
  a-Batt    ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  11  12   4   0   1  11   3  14   2   2  0.353
  2B: Bannatyne (4), González 2 (16), Hutson (9).
  HR: Cabrera (3), off Schramm.
  SB: Bannatyne (5).
  Squeeze: Bannatyne.
  a-Batted in the 5th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Grimes (W, 6-0) .....    17   13  48%    4    3    3    1    8    0   54    -
Schramm .............    12    9  33%    6    7    6    2    4    1   50  2-2
Mejia (F, 12) .......     6    5  19%    1    1    1    0    2    0   23  1-1

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Haliburton ..........    13    6  22%    6    6    6    3    5    0   51    -
Harthan .............    13    9  33%    4    4    4    1    2    0   49  1-0
Fazio (L, 0-1) ......    13    6  22%    6    9    9    2    1    1   51  1-1
Chadwick ............     6    6  22%    1    0    0    0    2    0   21  1-0

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Grimes (Outs 1-13) → Schramm (Outs 14-22) → Mejia (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Haliburton (Outs 1-6) → Harthan (Outs 7-15) → Fazio (Outs 16-21) → Chadwick (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Velez (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Hutson (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | González (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Bannatyne (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Carmona (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Brymer (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Guardians (home) batted second; Rockies batted first.
  Seconds: COL o26 (19-0), CLE o26 (11-19).
  First pitch 7:10 PM ET. Weather: 77°F · Wind in · Overcast. seed 752229.
  Powerplays: Guardians — Batt NF
  Walk-Back runs: off Schramm 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 2.22    Peak faced 27.00
    27 outs left: 2.22
    18 outs left: 2.83
     9 outs left: 5.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 0 Hunter Grimes Markeylin Martinho (2B) 1–0 —
T 0 Allen Alderman Hunter Grimes (2B) 2–0 —
T 1 Marco Ruidíaz John Diatta (2B) 3–0 —
T 2 Ahkhari Goss Allen Alderman (3B) 4–0 —
T 3 Wesly Otamendi Marco Ruidíaz (3B) 5–0 —
T 5 Jeyland Chaves Ahkhari Goss (3B) 6–0 —
T 10 Wesly Otamendi Allen Alderman (3B) 7–0 —
T 10 Wesly Otamendi Hunter Grimes (2B) 8–0 —
T 10 Wesly Otamendi Ahkhari Goss (1B) 9–0 —
T 12 Aníbal Mondragón Wesly Otamendi (3B) 10–0 —
T 17 Hunter Grimes John Diatta (2B) 11–0 —
T 19 Marco Ruidíaz Hunter Grimes (2B) 12–0 —
T 19 Marco Ruidíaz Aníbal Mondragón (1B) 13–0 —
T 20 Wesly Otamendi Marco Ruidíaz (2B) 14–0 —
T 20 Ahkhari Goss Wesly Otamendi (2B) 15–0 —
T 20 Wesly Otamendi Ahkhari Goss (2B) 16–0 —
T 20 Wesly Otamendi Ahkhari Goss (2B) 17–0 —
T 20 Jeyland Chaves Wesly Otamendi (2B) 18–0 —
T 20 Jeyland Chaves Jeyland Chaves (HR) 19–0 —
B 1 Eddie Velez José González (2B) 19–1 2.19
B 1 Doug Bannatyne Eddie Velez (1B) 19–2 2.08
B 1 Sam Enquist Doug Bannatyne (3B) 19–3 1.96
B 12 Anthony Brymer Boris Carmona (3B) 19–4 3.20
B 12 Anthony Brymer Keshav Haliburton (2B) 19–5 3.00
B 20 Boris Carmona Sekou Cabrera (3B) 19–6 6.00
B 20 Boris Carmona Boris Carmona (2B) 19–7 5.57
B 21 Sekou Cabrera Keshav Haliburton (2B) 19–8 6.00
B 21 Sekou Cabrera Sekou Cabrera (HR) 19–9 5.50
B 21 Oren Hutson Sekou Cabrera (3B) 19–10 5.00
B 23 Eddie Velez Oren Hutson (3B) 19–11 6.75
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 2.22
Peak faced 27.00
27 outs left 2.22
18 outs left 2.83
9 outs left 5.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cleveland Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 410' · RF 349' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Rockies — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 9 1B · 7 XBH · 1 HR
315' 410' 349' Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 114 mph · LA +15° · 256 ft Hunter Grimes — double · EV 119 mph · LA +19° · 346 ft Allen Alderman — single · EV 110 mph · LA +6° · 105 ft Marco Ruidíaz — single · EV 92 mph · LA -2° · 88 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 95 mph · LA -4° · 90 ft John Diatta — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 298 ft Wesly Otamendi — single · EV 99 mph · LA +22° · 279 ft Hunter Grimes — single · EV 83 mph · LA +7° · 79 ft Markeylin Martinho — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 319 ft Jeyland Chaves — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +12° · 72 ft John Diatta — single · EV 107 mph · LA +5° · 102 ft Justin Kaiuway — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +20° · 256 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 93 mph · LA +11° · 132 ft Wesly Otamendi — double · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 368 ft Marco Ruidíaz — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -15° · 77 ft Aníbal Mondragón — single · EV 85 mph · LA +24° · 214 ft Hunter Grimes — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 243 ft Markeylin Martinho — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +13° · 169 ft Marco Ruidíaz — double · EV 90 mph · LA +12° · 131 ft Wesly Otamendi — double · EV 105 mph · LA +14° · 214 ft Jeyland Chaves — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft John Diatta — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA -11° · 82 ft Wesly Otamendi — double · EV 106 mph · LA +20° · 293 ft Marco Ruidíaz — double_play · EV 89 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Markeylin Martinho — single · EV 119 mph · LA +8° · 160 ft Markeylin Martinho — line_out · EV 115 mph · LA +8° · 149 ft
Guardians — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 5 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
315' 410' 349' José González — double · EV 95 mph · LA +25° · 280 ft Eddie Velez — single · EV 119 mph · LA +9° · 181 ft Doug Bannatyne — double · EV 99 mph · LA +13° · 175 ft Sam Enquist — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -12° · 94 ft Boris Carmona — error · EV 82 mph · LA -10° · 78 ft Anthony Brymer — single · EV 96 mph · LA +4° · 91 ft Chet Batt — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Anthony Brymer — single · EV 99 mph · LA -11° · 94 ft Oren Hutson — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 121 ft Sekou Cabrera — single · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 152 ft Boris Carmona — error · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Doug Bannatyne — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +9° · 94 ft Eddie Velez — single · EV 110 mph · LA +1° · 104 ft Chet Batt — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Sekou Cabrera — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +43° · 480 ft Oren Hutson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 263 ft Eddie Velez — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +3° · 78 ft José González — double · EV 91 mph · LA +37° · 315 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
79% deserve-to-win  ·  17.1 expected runs
actual 19 runs  ·  +1.9 vs expected
contact: 28.1 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 27.0 (-1.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Markeylin Martinho 115 / +8° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
John Diatta 100 / +24° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Markeylin Martinho 100 / +26° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Justin Kaiuway 99 / +20° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Marco Ruidíaz 90 / +12° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Guardians
21% deserve-to-win  ·  9.0 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 16.6 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (+1.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Oren Hutson 100 / +9° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.10
José González 91 / +37° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
José González 95 / +25° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.93
Doug Bannatyne 99 / +13° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.90
Doug Bannatyne 88 / +9° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
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