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Giants 5, Braves 4                                          2026-07-22 · #1145
at The Citadel
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                        1    R    H    E
San Francisco           5    5    6    1
Atlanta                 4    4    7    0

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kraszewski  1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hoffken     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cardozo     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Estrada     cf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Kelley      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mateas      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Galloway    lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Braxton ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Reyes       2b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Connelly    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-McNeal  ph ......    1   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  2.000
  c-Figuero pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Fornaro ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Lacasse     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Capdevila   j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sundling    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  22   5   6   2   0   0   5   2  12   1   0  0.273
  2B: McNeal (4), Capdevila (2).
  E: Cardozo (8).
  a-Struck out for Galloway in the 5th.
  b-Doubled in the 7th.
  c-Ran in the 6th.
  d-Walked in the 6th.

BRAVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Vargas      rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Justini pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Chu         ss ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Lamar       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Martín  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bombito     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Alvelo  ph ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Nilo        cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Bray    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Powlus      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Pfister ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kalogeropou 2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Ramon-E pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Sauerbrunn  3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Almeida ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Spencer     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Sherman pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Molin   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Weah        j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ortiz       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
María       j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  28   4   7   1   0   0   3   5   7   0   0  0.250
  2B: Pfister (3).
  HBP: Martín (3).
  GIDP: Sauerbrunn (5).
  a-Ran for Vargas in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Lamar in the 3rd.
  c-Batted for Bombito in the 3rd.
  d-Struck out for Nilo in the 6th.
  e-Doubled for Powlus in the 7th.
  f-Ran for Kalogeropoulos in the 3rd.
  g-Struck out for Sauerbrunn in the 7th.
  h-Ran for Alvelo in the 7th.
  i-Grounded out for Justiniano in the 8th.

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mateas (W, 11-9) ....    26   20  74%    6    3    3    3    5    0   91    -
Mori ................     8    7  26%    1    1    1    2    2    0   22  2-1

BRAVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bombito (L, 5-5) ....    23   18  67%    5    4    4    2   12    0   92    -
Homans ..............     2    1   4%    1    1    1    0    1    0    7  1-1

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Mateas (Outs 1-20) → Mori (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Connelly (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kraszewski (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Reyes (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Galloway (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Estrada (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Cardozo (Outs 1-27)

BRAVES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-19)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Bombito (Outs 1-18) → Homans (Outs 19-19)
CATCHER (C)       | Spencer (Outs 1-19)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Powlus (Outs 1-19)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kalogeropoulos (Outs 1-19)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sauerbrunn (Outs 1-19)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Chu (Outs 1-19)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Lamar (Outs 1-19)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Nilo (Outs 1-19)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Vargas (Outs 1-19)

  Batting order: Braves (home) batted first; Giants batted second.
  First pitch 2:00 PM CT. Weather: 83°F · Wind out · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 318743.
  Powerplays: Giants — Fornaroli NF
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 8 Todd Chu Sean Ramon-Edwards (2B) 0–1
B 8 Mirko Alvelo Todd Chu (2B) 0–2
B 19 James Pfister Joseph Martín (3B) 0–3
B 21 Wilson Almeida Mac Sherman (3B) 0–4
T 13 Hervé Capdevila Pramod Estrada (2B) 1–4
T 13 Hervé Capdevila Jhonny Reyes (1B) 2–4
T 18 Parker McNeal Manolo Figueroa (3B) 3–4
T 18 Parker McNeal Tarni Fornaroli (2B) 4–4
T 19 Pramod Estrada Parker McNeal (2B) 5–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Citadel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 368' · CF 355' · RF 345' · 10' wall). The Crescent — Inverted.
Crescent Grandstand
Giants — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Pramod Estrada — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -0° · 78 ft Hervé Capdevila — double · EV 87 mph · LA +40° · 297 ft Leo Lacasse — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 73 ft Parker McNeal — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 219 ft Parker McNeal — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 335 ft Pramod Estrada — single · EV 80 mph · LA -3° · 76 ft Jhonny Reyes — single · EV 79 mph · LA +11° · 92 ft Pramod Estrada — single · EV 77 mph · LA +6° · 74 ft
Braves — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 6 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Todd Chu — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +12° · 149 ft Donovan Bombito — line_out · EV 62 mph · LA +22° · 110 ft Oscar Nilo — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 143 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — single · EV 84 mph · LA +23° · 206 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +7° · 80 ft Mirko Alvelo — single · EV 79 mph · LA +23° · 180 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — single · EV 80 mph · LA -13° · 76 ft Maximo Justiniano — fly_out · EV 55 mph · LA +37° · 114 ft Edgar Ortiz — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +14° · 136 ft James Pfister — double · EV 102 mph · LA +17° · 234 ft Lyrik Molin — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -19° · 59 ft Mac Sherman — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA -2° · 74 ft Todd Chu — error · EV 77 mph · LA +19° · 145 ft Oscar Nilo — fly_out · EV 70 mph · LA +38° · 192 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -21° · 58 ft Mirko Alvelo — single · EV 93 mph · LA -5° · 89 ft Todd Chu — infield_single · EV 66 mph · LA +25° · 133 ft Zack Spencer — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Todd Chu — infield_single · EV 80 mph · LA +6° · 76 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Giants
9% deserve-to-win  ·  1.9 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 4.4 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+3.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hervé Capdevila 87 / +40° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.30
Parker McNeal 92 / +42° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.88
Pramod Estrada 77 / +6° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Pramod Estrada 80 / -3° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Jhonny Reyes 79 / +11° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Braves
91% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -2.2 vs expected
contact: 8.0 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Todd Chu 98 / +12° Oppo Out 1.1 → 0 -1.11
Todd Chu 66 / +25° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.88
Sean Ramon-Edwards 80 / -13° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Todd Chu 80 / +6° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Mirko Alvelo 93 / -5° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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