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Rockies 3, Beavers 2                                        2026-07-27 · #1194
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Portland                2    2    5    0
Colorado                3    3    3    0

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fuenzalida  lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Clement     ss ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Turenne     1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Hydrick     c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Vahaly  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Guerra      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Maripán     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tessema     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Vidal   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Aktaş       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
  c-Pawsat  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Moulton     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Waston  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Rabess  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Zamora  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Schilli pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Holzwor ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Redmayne    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Velazquez   j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  22   2   5   0   0   0   1   4   6   0   1  0.227
  CS: Turenne 2 (6), Pawsat (4), Schillig (2).
  HBP: Moulton (2), Vahaly (5), Pawsat (1).
  GIDP: Tessema (8), Vahaly (3).
  a-Ran for Hydrick in the 2nd.
  b-Grounded out for Tessema in the 6th.
  c-Was hit by a pitch for Aktaş in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Moulton in the 2nd.
  e-Batted for Waston in the 3rd.
  f-Ran in the 3rd.
  g-Ran for Rabess in the 6th.
  h-Grounded out for Redmayne in the 8th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ruidíaz     2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Goss        lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Denson      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Porteño     c  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Chaves      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                   5   3   3   2   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.600
  2B: Goss (33), Porteño (12).
  HR: Ruidíaz (3), off Moulton.


BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moulton (L, 3-6) ....     5    2   7%    3    3    3    0    1    1   16    -

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Denson (W, 13-5) ....    29   27 100%    5    2    2    4    6    0   99    -

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-2)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Moulton (Outs 1-2)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-2)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Turenne (Outs 1-2)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-2)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-2)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Clement (Outs 1-2)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-2)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Guerra (Outs 1-2)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Maripán (Outs 1-2)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Denson (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | —
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | —
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | —
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | —

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted second; Beavers batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM MT. Weather: 77°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 655770.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.33    Peak faced 0.35
    27 outs left: 0.33
    18 outs left: 0.00
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 6 Wilmer Velazquez Francisco Vahaly (3B) 1–0 —
T 11 Donis Zamora Donis Zamora (3B) 2–0 —
B 1 Mario Porteño Ahkhari Goss (2B) 2–1 0.23
B 2 Marco Ruidíaz Mario Porteño (2B) 2–2 0.12
B 2 Marco Ruidíaz Marco Ruidíaz (HR) 2–3 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.33
Peak faced 0.35
27 outs left 0.33
18 outs left 0.00
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Beavers — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Val Clement — infield_single · EV 68 mph · LA -9° · 65 ft Holcombe Hydrick — single · EV 89 mph · LA +16° · 170 ft Donis Zamora — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Francisco Vahaly — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Levar De Turenne — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA -17° · 74 ft Álvaro Vidal — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +47° · 169 ft Aaron Holzworth — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Bonsa Tessema — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA -13° · 80 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — single · EV 78 mph · LA -9° · 74 ft Donis Zamora — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +13° · 106 ft Levar De Turenne — single · EV 86 mph · LA +23° · 215 ft Karl-Anthony Maripán — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Val Clement — single · EV 69 mph · LA +11° · 69 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 0 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
341' 409' 308' Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 113 mph · LA +18° · 299 ft Dozie Denson — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Mario Porteño — double · EV 116 mph · LA +11° · 198 ft Marco Ruidíaz — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +43° · 399 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Beavers
29% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 4.2 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.8 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 4 CS (-2.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Val Clement 68 / -9° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Jaime Fuenzalida 78 / -9° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Val Clement 69 / +11° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Donis Zamora 78 / +13° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Levar De Turenne 86 / +23° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.39
Rockies
71% deserve-to-win  ·  2.5 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 6.1 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+1.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marco Ruidíaz 100 / +43° Center Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
Mario Porteño 116 / +11° Center Double 1.5 → 2 +0.48
Ahkhari Goss 113 / +18° Pull Double 1.7 → 2 +0.29
Dozie Denson 77 / +2° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.25
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