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Rockies 6, Beavers 5                                        2026-07-28 · #1199
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Portland                5    5    7    1
Colorado                6    6    6    0

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tapia       p  ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
  a-Pawsat  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fuenzalida  lf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Clement     ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Turenne     2b ......    4   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Guerra      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Maripán     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Rabess      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Aktaş       3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Waston  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Holzworth   1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Vahaly  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Hydrick ph ......    2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  26   5   7   1   1   1   5   2  12   0   2  0.269
  2B: Tapia (2).
  3B: Hydrick (1).
  HR: Turenne (3), off Glenn.
  SB: Fuenzalida (1), Clement (10), Waston (4).
  CS: Clement (7), Vahaly (12), Pawsat (5).
  E: Vahaly (3).
  HBP: Maripán (4).
  Squeeze: Maripán (1 RBI).
  a-Singled for Tapia in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Aktaş in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Holzworth in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Waston in the 3rd.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chaves      1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Otamendi    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Martinho    ss ......    2   3   2   1   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Goss        lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Glenn       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Porteño     c  ......    2   1   1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Ruidíaz     2b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Alderman    rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Herr    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Diatta      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  17   6   6   2   1   1   5   0   4   0   0  0.353
  2B: Martinho (49), Ruidíaz (9).
  3B: Porteño (1).
  HR: Martinho (22), off Tapia.
  a-Ran for Alderman in the 4th.

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tapia (L, 4-11) .....    17   10  37%    6    6    4    0    4    1   63    -

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Glenn (W, 12-3) .....    26   23  85%    7    5    5    2   10    1   90    -
Mejia ...............     3    4  15%    0    0    0    0    2    0    9  1-0

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-10)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Tapia (Outs 1-10)
CATCHER (C)       | Maripán (Outs 1-10)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-10)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Turenne (Outs 1-10)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-10)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Clement (Outs 1-10)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-10)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Guerra (Outs 1-10)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Rabess (Outs 1-10)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Glenn (Outs 1-23) → Mejia (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted second; Beavers batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM MT. Weather: 74°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 758601.
  Walk-Back runs: off Tapia 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.67    Peak faced 0.72
    27 outs left: 0.67
    18 outs left: 0.17
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 0 Val Clement Angel Tapia (2B) 1–0 —
T 9 Karl-Anthony Maripán Agustín Waston (3B) 2–0 —
T 12 Levar De Turenne Levar De Turenne (HR) 3–0 —
T 16 Holcombe Hydrick Val Clement (2B) 4–0 —
T 23 Quinn Pawsat Angel Tapia (2B) 5–0 —
B 3 Marco Ruidíaz Mario Porteño (3B) 5–1 0.62
B 6 Markeylin Martinho Marco Ruidíaz (3B) 5–2 0.57
B 6 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (2B) 5–3 0.43
B 6 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (—) 5–4 0.29
B 6 Wesly Otamendi Markeylin Martinho (3B) 5–5 0.14
B 9 Cedric Glenn Ronald Herr (3B) 5–6 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.67
Peak faced 0.72
27 outs left 0.67
18 outs left 0.17
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Beavers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
341' 409' 308' Angel Tapia — single · EV 100 mph · LA -10° · 95 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — single · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 334 ft Val Clement — single · EV 99 mph · LA +23° · 280 ft Levar De Turenne — fly_out · EV 114 mph · LA +16° · 272 ft Kyle Rabess — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 154 ft Quinn Pawsat — single · EV 100 mph · LA -9° · 95 ft Aaron Holzworth — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA +1° · 74 ft Levar De Turenne — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — fly_out · EV 69 mph · LA +34° · 178 ft Holcombe Hydrick — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 252 ft Angel Tapia — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 180 ft Kyle Rabess — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +4° · 84 ft Levar De Turenne — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 331 ft Jaime Fuenzalida — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +6° · 76 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 2 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
341' 409' 308' Ahkhari Goss — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +53° · 384 ft Mario Porteño — triple · EV 98 mph · LA +14° · 179 ft Marco Ruidíaz — double · EV 93 mph · LA +39° · 335 ft John Diatta — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Wesly Otamendi — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +15° · 129 ft Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 144 ft Markeylin Martinho — hr · EV 98 mph · LA +34° · 356 ft Wesly Otamendi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft John Diatta — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +45° · 257 ft Allen Alderman — single · EV 87 mph · LA -5° · 83 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 99 ft Mario Porteño — error · EV 63 mph · LA -4° · 59 ft Cedric Glenn — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +44° · 320 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Beavers
74% deserve-to-win  ·  6.1 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 14.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-1.0 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 3 CS (-0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Holcombe Hydrick 100 / +20° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.58
Levar De Turenne 114 / +16° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Levar De Turenne 92 / +40° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Kyle Rabess 88 / +15° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Angel Tapia 100 / +13° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
Rockies
26% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 9.2 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+3.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Markeylin Martinho 98 / +34° Pull Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.55
Mario Porteño 98 / +14° Pull Triple 1.1 → 3 +1.90
Cedric Glenn 90 / +44° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Marco Ruidíaz 93 / +39° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Markeylin Martinho 100 / +10° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
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