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Liverpool BC 31, Lima BC 10                                 2046-04-27 · #1210
at Kompany Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Liverpool              31      0   31   26    2
Lima                   10      0   10   12    2

LIVERPOOL BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Etta        ss ......    4   4   3   1   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.750
Williamson  lf ......    4   5   4   0   0   2   8   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bushamuka   1b ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Rampersaud  p  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   1  0.250
Wright-Phil rf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Millender   2b ......    3   3   2   0   1   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.667
Hampton     cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.250
Kelly       3b ......    5   5   5   3   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Service     c  ......    4   3   2   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Fretz       j  ......    4   3   4   1   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hašek       j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Watkins     j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   1  0.250
Totals                  47  31  26   7   1   5  31   3   4   0   2  0.553
  2B: Etta (4), Rampersaud (2), Wright-Phillips (1), Fretz (12), Kelly 3 (13).
  3B: Millender (1).
  HR: Etta (2), off Carrick; Williamson 2 (4), off Oxlade-Chamberlain, Hughes; Fretz (4), off Yuzuki; Millender (2), off Musil.
  SB: Kelly (3).
  E: Etta (2), Rampersaud (3).
  HBP: Bushamuka (2), Wright-Phillips (1), Hašek (2).


LIMA BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Oxlade-Cham p  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-García  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Balbirnie   cf ......    4   2   3   2   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.750
Krmenčík    lf ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Wilson      1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Howell      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Dochert pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Jack        rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Toone   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Adams   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Taylor  lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  f-Kuki    nf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  g-Flanaga ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Bachan  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Weber       j  ......    4   1   2   2   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Holloway    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  10  12   6   0   0   9   5   8   0   0  0.353
  2B: Taylor (8), Oxlade-Chamberlain (1), Weber 2 (18), Balbirnie 2 (6).
  E: Taylor (1), Flanagan (3).
  GIDP: Wilson (3).
  a-Ran for Oxlade-Chamberlain in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Howell in the 3rd.
  c-Batted for Jack in the 4th.
  d-Struck out in the 9th.
  e-Entered at LF in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at NF in the 3rd.
  g-Grounded out for Kuki in the 7th.
  h-Entered at C in the 7th.

LIVERPOOL BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rampersaud ..........    17    8  30%    9    8    2    1    3    0   60    -
Meringoff (W, 3-0) ..    15   14  52%    2    2    2    2    1    0   50  1-0
McCrorie (F, 5) .....     7    5  19%    1    0    0    2    4    0   31    -

LIMA BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Oxlade-Chamberlain ..     6    5  19%    2    2    2    0    0    1   20    -
Cahill ..............     8    5  19%    2    2    1    1    0    0   22    -
Musil ...............     4    2   7%    3    5    5    0    1    1   14  2-1
May .................     4    0   0%    4    3    2    0    0    0   14  1-1
Hughes (L, 1-1) .....     8    6  22%    3    6    6    1    1    1   22  1-0
Yuzuki ..............     5    2   7%    3    4    3    0    0    1   19  1-1
Allgeyer ............     4    1   4%    4    3    3    0    0    0   14  1-0
Carrick .............     5    2   7%    2    4    2    0    1    1   22  1-1
Kuki ................     6    4  15%    2    2    2    1    1    0   18  1-1

  Batting order: Lima BC (home) batted second; Liverpool BC batted first.
  Seconds: LB1 o25 (31-0), LB o26 (10-31).
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 95°F · Wind out · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 988769.
  Powerplays: Lima BC — Kuki NF (O5), Flanagan NF
  Walk-Back runs: off May 1, off Yuzuki 1, off Carrick 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Fabio Williamson Nehemiah Etta (2B) 1–0
T 0 Fabio Williamson Fabio Williamson (HR) 2–0
T 5 Theo Watkins Olivier Fretz (3B) 3–0
T 8 Nehemiah Etta Eamon Kelly (2B) 4–0
T 9 Fabio Williamson Aaron Service (2B) 5–0
T 9 Jonathan Rampersaud Fabio Williamson (2B) 6–0
T 9 Jonathan Rampersaud Alexis Bushamuka (1B) 7–0
T 10 Francois Millender Jonathan Rampersaud (2B) 8–0
T 10 Francois Millender Francois Millender (HR) 9–0
T 10 Dominic Hampton Francois Millender (3B) 10–0
T 10 Eamon Kelly Dominic Hampton (1B) 11–0
T 10 Aaron Service Eamon Kelly (2B) 12–0
T 10 Eamon Kelly Aaron Service (2B) 13–0
T 12 Olivier Fretz Eamon Kelly (2B) 14–0
T 16 Fabio Williamson Olivier Fretz (3B) 15–0
T 16 Fabio Williamson Dominik Hašek (2B) 16–0
T 16 Fabio Williamson Alexis Bushamuka (1B) 17–0
T 16 Fabio Williamson Fabio Williamson (HR) 18–0
T 16 Nehemiah Etta Fabio Williamson (3B) 19–0
T 17 Eamon Kelly Nehemiah Etta (1B) 20–0
T 18 Olivier Fretz Eamon Kelly (3B) 21–0
T 18 Olivier Fretz Olivier Fretz (HR) 22–0
T 19 Francois Millender Dominik Hašek (1B) 23–0
T 19 Theo Watkins Francois Millender (3B) 24–0
T 19 Callum Wright-Phillips Theo Watkins (1B) 25–0
T 21 Fabio Williamson Callum Wright-Phillips (3B) 26–0
T 21 Nehemiah Etta Fabio Williamson (1B) 27–0
T 21 Nehemiah Etta Nehemiah Etta (HR) 28–0
T 21 Aaron Service Nehemiah Etta (3B) 29–0
T 22 Olivier Fretz Aaron Service (3B) 30–0
T 22 Olivier Fretz Eamon Kelly (2B) 31–0
B 3 Donnacha Balbirnie Brian Wilson (3B) 31–1
B 3 Donnacha Balbirnie Florian Weber (2B) 31–2
B 3 Waltclaire Howell Donnacha Balbirnie (2B) 31–3
B 6 Conor Oxlade-Chamberlain Gavin Jack (1B) 31–4
B 7 Peter Taylor Conor Oxlade-Chamberlain (2B) 31–5
B 7 Donnacha Balbirnie Peter Taylor (2B) 31–6
B 7 Florian Weber Ondřej Krmenčík (3B) 31–7
B 7 Florian Weber Donnacha Balbirnie (1B) 31–8
B 12 Conor Oxlade-Chamberlain Masaaki Kuki (2B) 31–9
B 19 Robert Flanagan Hanley García (3B) 31–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kompany Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 406' · RF 322' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill
Liverpool BC — Batted Balls
37 BIP· 12 1B · 8 XBH · 5 HR
346' 406' 322' Nehemiah Etta — double · EV 118 mph · LA +20° · 364 ft Fabio Williamson — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +41° · 478 ft Alexis Bushamuka — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA -13° · 85 ft Jonathan Rampersaud — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +30° · 326 ft Callum Wright-Phillips — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +20° · 183 ft Olivier Fretz — single · EV 107 mph · LA +9° · 141 ft Theo Watkins — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +4° · 86 ft Dominic Hampton — fly_out · EV 109 mph · LA +27° · 385 ft Eamon Kelly — double · EV 106 mph · LA +22° · 316 ft Francois Millender — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +33° · 480 ft Aaron Service — single · EV 97 mph · LA +6° · 92 ft Nehemiah Etta — error · EV 96 mph · LA +14° · 176 ft Fabio Williamson — single · EV 95 mph · LA +19° · 226 ft Jonathan Rampersaud — double · EV 97 mph · LA +43° · 372 ft Dominic Hampton — single · EV 112 mph · LA +9° · 157 ft Eamon Kelly — double · EV 98 mph · LA +16° · 205 ft Aaron Service — single · EV 99 mph · LA +9° · 117 ft Olivier Fretz — single · EV 89 mph · LA +15° · 163 ft Dominik Hašek — single · EV 83 mph · LA +7° · 79 ft Francois Millender — triple · EV 109 mph · LA +18° · 286 ft Eamon Kelly — single · EV 95 mph · LA +20° · 229 ft Dominic Hampton — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -16° · 77 ft Callum Wright-Phillips — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +18° · 204 ft Fabio Williamson — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +28° · 444 ft Nehemiah Etta — single · EV 80 mph · LA +45° · 257 ft Aaron Service — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +58° · 360 ft Olivier Fretz — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft Theo Watkins — single · EV 96 mph · LA +9° · 115 ft Dominik Hašek — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +20° · 203 ft Eamon Kelly — double · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 214 ft Callum Wright-Phillips — double · EV 112 mph · LA +22° · 341 ft Fabio Williamson — single · EV 119 mph · LA +6° · 113 ft Nehemiah Etta — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +31° · 462 ft Aaron Service — error · EV 111 mph · LA +18° · 299 ft Olivier Fretz — double · EV 97 mph · LA +20° · 245 ft Theo Watkins — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 87 ft Eamon Kelly — single · EV 113 mph · LA +8° · 107 ft
Lima BC — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 6 1B · 6 XBH · 0 HR
346' 406' 322' Ondřej Krmenčík — single · EV 86 mph · LA +12° · 117 ft Brian Wilson — single · EV 73 mph · LA -0° · 70 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 96 mph · LA +15° · 189 ft Manus Holloway — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -5° · 75 ft Donnacha Balbirnie — double · EV 93 mph · LA +23° · 247 ft Waltclaire Howell — error · EV 77 mph · LA -15° · 73 ft Masaaki Kuki — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +1° · 81 ft Gavin Jack — single · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Conor Oxlade-Chamberlain — double · EV 89 mph · LA +14° · 148 ft Callum Toone — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA +2° · 63 ft Graham Docherty — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA -14° · 84 ft Robert Flanagan — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -7° · 74 ft Brian Wilson — fly_out · EV 58 mph · LA +35° · 127 ft Peter Taylor — double · EV 82 mph · LA +34° · 247 ft Donnacha Balbirnie — single · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 219 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 252 ft Manus Holloway — line_out · EV 106 mph · LA +13° · 203 ft Masaaki Kuki — single · EV 113 mph · LA +3° · 107 ft Conor Oxlade-Chamberlain — error · EV 69 mph · LA +7° · 66 ft Ondřej Krmenčík — single · EV 78 mph · LA +24° · 181 ft Brian Wilson — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA -15° · 53 ft Florian Weber — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +30° · 321 ft Manus Holloway — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +36° · 295 ft Peter Taylor — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +27° · 207 ft Donnacha Balbirnie — double · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 333 ft Daren Bachan — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +41° · 323 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Liverpool BC
88% deserve-to-win  ·  27.8 expected runs
actual 31 runs  ·  +3.2 vs expected
contact: 53.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 49.0 (-4.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dominic Hampton 109 / +27° Pull Out 2.3 → 0 -2.34
Aaron Service 111 / +18° Pull Reached on Error 1.7 → 0 -1.70
Francois Millender 109 / +18° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.30
Nehemiah Etta 96 / +14° Center Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Jonathan Rampersaud 97 / +30° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Lima BC
12% deserve-to-win  ·  10.3 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 16.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (+1.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Peter Taylor 82 / +34° Oppo Double 0.5 → 2 +1.48
Manus Holloway 106 / +13° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.39
Daren Bachan 90 / +41° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Florian Weber 96 / +30° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Conor Oxlade-Chamberlain 89 / +14° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
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