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Rockies 4, Beavers 3                                        2026-07-31 · #1233
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Portland                3    3    6    0
Colorado                4    4    4    0

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fuenzalida  lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Clement     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Harper  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Tessema     2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Guerra      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Pawsat  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Rabess      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Holzworth   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Waston  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Zamora      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Vahaly  ph ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Streko      cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Henríquez   p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.000
  e-Briaud  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Vidal   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Turenne ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Schilli pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Hydrick ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Redmayne    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   3   6   0   0   0   3   4  15   0   1  0.231
  SB: Waston (5).
  CS: Vahaly (13).
  HBP: Redmayne (2).
  a-Batted for Clement in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Guerra in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Holzworth in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Zamora in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 6th.
  g-Struck out for Vidal in the 6th.
  h-Ran for Harper in the 6th.
  i-Walked for Briaud in the 7th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goss        lf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Poling      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kiger       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Diatta      rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mondragón   3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Chaves      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Porteño     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Otamendi    cf ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Martinho    ss ......    2   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  11   4   4   2   1   1   4   0   5   0   0  0.364
  2B: Otamendi 2 (9).
  3B: Martinho (2).
  HR: Goss (15), off Henríquez.


BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Henríquez (L, 7-8) ..    11    7  26%    4    4    3    0    5    1   52    -

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kiger (W, 2-0) ......    23   19  70%    4    1    1    3   11    0   91    -
Mejia ...............     8    8  30%    2    2    2    1    4    0   23  3-2

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-7)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Henríquez (Outs 1-7)
CATCHER (C)       | Zamora (Outs 1-7)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-7)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-7)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Guerra (Outs 1-7)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Clement (Outs 1-7)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-7)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Streko (Outs 1-7)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Rabess (Outs 1-7)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kiger (Outs 1-19) → Mejia (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Poling (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Diatta (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted second; Beavers batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM MT. Weather: 95°F · Wind cross · Clear · Dry. seed 548634.
  Walk-Back runs: off Henríquez 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 14 Gabriel Harper Travis Briaud (2B) 1–0
T 20 Holcombe Hydrick Ludlow Schillig (3B) 2–0
T 21 Francisco Vahaly Quinn Pawsat (3B) 3–0
B 0 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (HR) 3–1
B 3 Aníbal Mondragón Ahkhari Goss (3B) 3–2
B 6 Markeylin Martinho Wesly Otamendi (2B) 3–3
B 7 Wesly Otamendi Markeylin Martinho (3B) 3–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Beavers — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Bonsa Tessema — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -7° · 75 ft Kyle Rabess — single · EV 106 mph · LA +9° · 135 ft Aaron Holzworth — fielders_choice · EV 62 mph · LA +6° · 58 ft Francisco Vahaly — single · EV 72 mph · LA +14° · 101 ft Gabriel Harper — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -16° · 59 ft Sydney Redmayne — single · EV 81 mph · LA +11° · 97 ft Bonsa Tessema — single · EV 85 mph · LA +16° · 152 ft Francisco Vahaly — single · EV 92 mph · LA -14° · 87 ft Yadier Guerra — error · EV 62 mph · LA -9° · 59 ft Mekhi Streko — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 120 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 0 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
341' 409' 308' Ahkhari Goss — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +35° · 436 ft Aníbal Mondragón — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +4° · 70 ft Wesly Otamendi — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 247 ft Markeylin Martinho — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 286 ft Wesly Otamendi — double · EV 108 mph · LA +20° · 303 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Beavers
54% deserve-to-win  ·  2.8 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 4.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+1.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Francisco Vahaly 92 / -14° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.62
Francisco Vahaly 72 / +14° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Mekhi Streko 76 / +16° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Sydney Redmayne 81 / +11° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.42
Kyle Rabess 106 / +9° Pull Single 1.4 → 1 -0.39
Rockies
46% deserve-to-win  ·  2.6 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 7.7 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+3.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Markeylin Martinho 100 / +23° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.58
Ahkhari Goss 108 / +35° Pull Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.10
Wesly Otamendi 100 / +19° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Wesly Otamendi 108 / +20° Pull Double 1.7 → 2 +0.32
Aníbal Mondragón 74 / +4° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.25
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