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Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers 12, Montréal Cannery SARL 2  2046-04-28 · #1236
at Silver Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Aberdeen               12   12   13    0
Montréal                2    2    2    0

ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Čermák      lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Root    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Celis       rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Boehme      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gushiken    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
Shurtleff   1b ......    2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Karas   pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Hughes      cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Pavlenk pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Maharaj-Sal 2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Walker      p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Telford pr ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Carroll     c  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
  e-Hemp    ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Williams    j  ......    3   2   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Zelem       j  ......    2   3   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Kudryavtsev j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  35  12  13   4   1   0  12   5   6   0   0  0.371
  2B: Hughes (4), Carroll (5), Telford (4), Williams (10).
  3B: Shurtleff (2).
  SB: Pavlenka (3), Telford (3).
  HBP: Gushiken (1), Kudryavtseva (1).
  GIDP: Gushiken (1), Maharaj-Saliba (1).
  a-Ran for Čermák in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Shurtleff in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Hughes in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Walker in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 4th.

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Zendejas    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rice        rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Flores      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bowen       1b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Whitehouse  3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Carter  rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Caldwel 2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
  c-Rees    c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Homans  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hranáč      j  ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Toney       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   2   2   2   0   0   2   2  13   0   1  0.083
  2B: Hranáč 2 (6).
  CS: Toney (3).
  HBP: Hranáč (3).
  GIDP: Zendejas (1), Rees (2).
  Squeeze: Caldwell (1 RBI).
  a-Entered at RF in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at 2B in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at C in the 4th.
  d-Entered at C in the 5th.

ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Walker (W, 5-0) .....    25   23  85%    2    2    2    2   13    0   98    -
Hrubý (F, 12) .......     3    4  15%    0    0    0    0    1    0   18  1-0

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Zendejas ............    13   10  37%    6    1    1    1    1    0   51    -
Johnstone ...........     8    7  26%    2    2    2    0    2    0   36  2-1
Basham ..............    15    8  30%    5    6    1    2    3    0   49  1-1
Henderson (L, 0-3) ..     6    2   7%    0    3    3    2    0    0   28  2-2

  Batting order: Montréal Cannery SARL (home) batted second; Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers batted first.
  First pitch 5:00 PM. Weather: 51°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 912895.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 9 Ramon Williams Oscar Carroll (3B) 1–0
T 14 Ben Shurtleff Jarrod Zelem (2B) 2–0
T 17 Oscar Carroll Radek Karas (3B) 3–0
T 18 Jarrod Zelem Oscar Carroll (3B) 4–0
T 18 Igor Kudryavtseva Dominic Root (3B) 5–0
T 19 King Gushiken Ramon Williams (3B) 6–0
T 23 Fabian Telford Jarrod Zelem (3B) 7–0
T 23 Fabian Telford Radek Karas (2B) 8–0
T 25 Ramon Williams Fabian Telford (3B) 9–0
T 26 King Gushiken Papu Celis (3B) 10–0
T 26 Radek Karas Ramon Williams (3B) 11–0
T 26 Igor Kudryavtseva Jarrod Zelem (3B) 12–0
B 2 Ollie Carter Aleš Hranáč (2B) 12–1
B 10 Eoin Caldwell Jonny Bowen (3B) 12–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Silver Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 353' · CF 398' · RF 353' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers — Batted Balls
27 BIP· 8 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
353' 398' 353' Patrik Čermák — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +51° · 318 ft Papu Celis — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +35° · 191 ft King Gushiken — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Ben Shurtleff — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +15° · 142 ft Eoghan Hughes — double · EV 87 mph · LA +21° · 201 ft Mohamed Maharaj-Saliba — double_play · EV 71 mph · LA -13° · 68 ft Tyrone Walker — single · EV 86 mph · LA +42° · 298 ft Oscar Carroll — single · EV 79 mph · LA +5° · 75 ft Ramon Williams — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Jarrod Zelem — single · EV 79 mph · LA -21° · 75 ft Matthew Hemp — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Dalibor Pavlenka — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -4° · 74 ft Fabian Telford — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +13° · 110 ft Radek Karas — error · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Patrik Čermák — single · EV 64 mph · LA +14° · 77 ft King Gushiken — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 82 ft Ben Shurtleff — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 163 ft Oscar Carroll — double · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 367 ft Papu Celis — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +39° · 318 ft Ramon Williams — single · EV 91 mph · LA +2° · 86 ft Jarrod Zelem — single · EV 92 mph · LA -2° · 87 ft Igor Kudryavtseva — error · EV 61 mph · LA +18° · 86 ft Fabian Telford — double · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 263 ft King Gushiken — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +28° · 243 ft Papu Celis — single · EV 74 mph · LA +24° · 158 ft Ramon Williams — double · EV 81 mph · LA +32° · 236 ft Matthew Hemp — line_out · EV 59 mph · LA +19° · 85 ft
Montréal Cannery SARL — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 0 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
353' 398' 353' Eoin Caldwell — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +12° · 135 ft Aleš Hranáč — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 302 ft Ollie Carter — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Aleš Hranáč — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 308 ft Dai Rees — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA -2° · 59 ft Tiernan Whitehouse — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +0° · 49 ft Joel Zendejas — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA -10° · 65 ft Dai Rees — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 305 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers
99% deserve-to-win  ·  10.9 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  +1.1 vs expected
contact: 14.6 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (+4.4 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ben Shurtleff 100 / +12° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Ramon Williams 81 / +32° Pull Double 0.5 → 2 +1.48
Eoghan Hughes 87 / +21° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.29
Fabian Telford 92 / +26° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Papu Celis 90 / +39° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Montréal Cannery SARL
1% deserve-to-win  ·  1.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 4.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Aleš Hranáč 92 / +32° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Dai Rees 92 / +32° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Aleš Hranáč 92 / +33° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Eoin Caldwell 93 / +12° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Ollie Carter 76 / +2° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
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