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Adelaide Baseball Club 29, Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd 0 2046-04-28 · #1275
at Mpasi Ground
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Wellington              0      0    0    3    0
Adelaide               29      0   29   25    0

WELLINGTON NORTHERN SHIPPING CO. PTY LTD
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Spiranovic  rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ban         lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mitchell    1b ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Clarke      c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Manuel      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kellond-Kni 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Vargas      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Latham      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Scott   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hakala      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Moore       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   0   3   1   0   0   0   0  14   0   0  0.107
  2B: Mitchell (14).
  SB: Mitchell (2).
  GIDP: Ban (3).
  a-Entered at 3B in the 7th.

ADELAIDE BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Blanchard   c  ......    5   4   3   0   0   2   6   1   0   0   0  0.600
Spiranovic  lf ......    4   3   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.250
Enyeama     ss ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.200
Moras       2b ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.200
  a-Schwarz cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Creek       p  ......    6   3   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Muto        rf ......    4   4   3   1   1   0   2   2   1   0   0  0.750
Hadlee      3b ......    4   4   3   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.750
Clegg       cf ......    6   4   6   4   0   0   9   0   0   1   0  1.000
Herbert     1b ......    6   6   4   0   1   2   6   0   0   0   0  0.667
Patel       j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Hrustic     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  49  29  25   7   2   4  29   7   7   1   0  0.510
  2B: Spiranovic (8), Muto (2), Hadlee (4), Clegg 4 (13).
  3B: Muto (1), Herbert (3).
  HR: Blanchard 2 (4), off Spiranovic, Copper; Herbert 2 (4), off Spiranovic, Copper.
  SB: Hadlee (5).
  HBP: Hadlee (1).
  a-Replaced Moras at CF in the 7th.

WELLINGTON NORTHERN SHIPPING CO. PTY LTD PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Latham ..............    22   13  48%    7    5    5    3    2    0   76    -
Spiranovic ..........     7    2   7%    6    9    7    0    1    2   21  3-3
Copper (L, 0-1) .....    14    4  15%    8   12   12    2    2    2   48  1-1
Brown ...............    13    8  30%    4    3    3    2    2    0   48  1-0

ADELAIDE BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Creek (W, 5-0) ......    28   27 100%    3    0    0    0   14    0  102    -

  Batting order: Adelaide Baseball Club (home) batted first; Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd batted second.
  Seconds: WNS o24 (0-29), ABC o23 (29-0).
  First pitch 4:05 PM. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Dry. seed 226413.
  Walk-Back runs: off Spiranovic 2.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 Dave Patel Naomichi Muto (3B) 0–1
B 5 Daryl Clegg Taylor Hadlee (3B) 0–2
B 5 Daryl Clegg Dave Patel (1B) 0–3
B 5 Paul Herbert Daryl Clegg (2B) 0–4
B 7 Thomas Moras Paul Herbert (2B) 0–5
B 9 Daryl Clegg Usman Creek (3B) 0–6
B 9 Daryl Clegg Naomichi Muto (2B) 0–7
B 9 Daryl Clegg Taylor Hadlee (1B) 0–8
B 9 Paul Herbert Daryl Clegg (1B) 0–9
B 9 Paul Herbert Paul Herbert (HR) 0–10
B 9 Erick Blanchard Paul Herbert (3B) 0–11
B 9 Erick Blanchard Erick Blanchard (HR) 0–12
B 9 Simon Spiranovic Erick Blanchard (3B) 0–13
B 11 Usman Creek Simon Spiranovic (3B) 0–14
B 12 Daryl Clegg Usman Creek (2B) 0–15
B 12 Daryl Clegg Taylor Hadlee (1B) 0–16
B 12 Paul Herbert Daryl Clegg (2B) 0–17
B 12 Paul Herbert Paul Herbert (HR) 0–18
B 13 Daryl Clegg Paul Herbert (3B) 0–19
B 13 Taylor Hadlee Daryl Clegg (2B) 0–20
B 13 Naomichi Muto Taylor Hadlee (3B) 0–21
B 13 Usman Creek Naomichi Muto (2B) 0–22
B 15 Erick Blanchard Usman Creek (3B) 0–23
B 15 Erick Blanchard Simon Spiranovic (2B) 0–24
B 15 Erick Blanchard Erick Blanchard (1B) 0–25
B 15 Erick Blanchard Erick Blanchard (—) 0–26
B 18 Naomichi Muto Simon Spiranovic (2B) 0–27
B 21 Paul Herbert Naomichi Muto (2B) 0–28
B 21 Daryl Clegg Paul Herbert (3B) 0–29
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Mpasi Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 382' · CF 429' · RF 375' · 33' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Wire Basket Round Bowl Bullpens in Play
Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
382' 429' 375' Wall 33' Dong-gun Ban — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +42° · 248 ft Vince Spiranovic — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA +14° · 71 ft Basilio Manuel — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +8° · 63 ft Ben Kellond-Knight — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -8° · 60 ft Mateo Latham — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -10° · 70 ft Jarrod Mitchell — double · EV 89 mph · LA +23° · 224 ft Allan Scott — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -6° · 66 ft Ben Kellond-Knight — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +10° · 118 ft Jarrod Mitchell — single · EV 84 mph · LA +22° · 195 ft Dong-gun Ban — double_play · EV 64 mph · LA -6° · 61 ft Niko Hakala — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -20° · 95 ft Jock Clarke — single · EV 96 mph · LA +8° · 103 ft Allan Scott — fielders_choice · EV 95 mph · LA -20° · 91 ft
Adelaide Baseball Club — Batted Balls
35 BIP· 12 1B · 9 XBH · 4 HR
382' 429' 375' Wall 33' Erick Blanchard — single · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 458 ft Naomichi Muto — triple · EV 118 mph · LA +13° · 238 ft Dave Patel — single · EV 114 mph · LA +22° · 365 ft Daryl Clegg — double · EV 108 mph · LA +14° · 224 ft Paul Herbert — single · EV 116 mph · LA +8° · 155 ft Taylor Hadlee — single · EV 100 mph · LA +33° · 364 ft Erick Blanchard — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +30° · 247 ft Simon Spiranovic — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 345 ft Thomas Moras — single · EV 117 mph · LA -1° · 111 ft Usman Creek — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA -24° · 95 ft Daryl Clegg — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 168 ft Paul Herbert — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Taylor Hadlee — double · EV 100 mph · LA +37° · 385 ft Dave Patel — fielders_choice · EV 87 mph · LA +6° · 83 ft Daryl Clegg — single · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 266 ft Erick Blanchard — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +50° · 480 ft Simon Spiranovic — double · EV 88 mph · LA +38° · 300 ft Usman Creek — single · EV 89 mph · LA +26° · 246 ft Daryl Clegg — double · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 271 ft Paul Herbert — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +32° · 480 ft Naomichi Muto — double · EV 119 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Taylor Hadlee — infield_single · EV 83 mph · LA -8° · 79 ft Daryl Clegg — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 150 ft Usman Creek — single · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft Thomas Moras — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 91 ft Erick Blanchard — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +49° · 480 ft Naomichi Muto — single · EV 116 mph · LA +22° · 373 ft Thomas Moras — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +18° · 175 ft Usman Creek — fielders_choice · EV 75 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Daryl Clegg — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +36° · 416 ft Luis Enyeama — single · EV 85 mph · LA -1° · 80 ft Erick Blanchard — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +37° · 277 ft Paul Herbert — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 243 ft Daryl Clegg — single · EV 88 mph · LA +0° · 84 ft Usman Creek — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -2° · 83 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd
1% deserve-to-win  ·  2.5 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -2.5 vs expected
contact: 6.5 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jarrod Mitchell 89 / +23° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Ben Kellond-Knight 91 / +10° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Niko Hakala 100 / -20° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Basilio Manuel 74 / +8° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Allan Scott 95 / -20° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.45
Adelaide Baseball Club
99% deserve-to-win  ·  27.2 expected runs
actual 29 runs  ·  +1.8 vs expected
contact: 48.9 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 47.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Daryl Clegg 105 / +36° Center Out 3.0 → 0 -3.03
Erick Blanchard 118 / +50° Center Home Run 1.7 → 4 +2.34
Erick Blanchard 117 / +49° Oppo Home Run 1.7 → 4 +2.34
Erick Blanchard 119 / +27° Oppo Single 3.0 → 1 -2.03
Naomichi Muto 119 / +42° Center Double 3.8 → 2 -1.76
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