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Expos 11, Phillies 10  (1 SI)                               2026-08-06 · #1295
at Huerta Stadium
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Philadelphia           10      0   10    9    1
Montreal               10      1   11   12    0

PHILLIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Grizzlies   cf ......    2   3   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Andrade     c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Awoniyi     lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Logar       1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Martín  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Israilov    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Moor        3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Santos  pr ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Tabaracci   2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-DelSign pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Craft       rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Vásquez pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bowen       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Skeen   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Borges  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ferguson-Re j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Anthony     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cubas       j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   1  1.000
Totals                  30  10   9   1   0   1   9   4   6   0   1  0.300
  2B: Santos (27).
  HR: Grizzlies (10), off Rezac.
  SB: Santos 2 (16).
  CS: Martín (4).
  E: Martín (2).
  HBP: Grizzlies 2 (9).
  Squeeze: Cubas (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Logar in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Moor in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Tabaracci in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Craft in the 5th.
  e-Ran for Bowen in the 4th.
  f-Struck out for Vásquez in the 7th.

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pérez       rf ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0  1.000
Geffrard    cf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Goodson     2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Hawwas      ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Solórzano   lf ......    3   2   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Rezac       p  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Triguei pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Creek       1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Hiebert     3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Spence      c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Grizzli pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Mondevi pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Fieldin pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Hutnick pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gibson      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Morales     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Currier     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  31  11  12   3   0   1  10   7   7   0   0  0.387
  2B: Pérez (19), Geffrard (21), Rezac (3).
  HR: Solórzano (14), off Bowen.
  SB: Pérez 2 (12), Rezac (2).
  HBP: Currier (2).
  a-Ran for Rezac in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Spence in the 2nd.
  c-Ran in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Grizzlies in the 5th.
  e-Ran in the 7th.

PHILLIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bowen (L, 3-10) .....    12    6  22%    5    4    3    1    2    1   41    -
Izoje ...............     7    6  22%    2    2    2    1    2    0   28  2-1
Cherry ..............     9    6  22%    3    2    2    3    1    0   30  1-0
Campaz ..............     6    3  11%    1    2    2    1    1    0   17  2-1
Dias ................     4    4  15%    0    1    1    1    1    0   20  3-1

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rezac (W, 6-1) ......    17   14  52%    4    3    2    2    2    1   64    -
Brown ...............    12    7  26%    5    6    6    1    3    0   38  1-0
Huard ...............     6    6  22%    0    1    1    1    1    0   23  1-1

PHILLIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-25)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Bowen (Outs 1-6) → Izoje (Outs 7-12) → Cherry (Outs 13-18) → Campaz (Outs 19-21) → Dias (Outs 22-25)
CATCHER (C)       | Andrade (Outs 1-25)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Logar (Outs 1-25)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tabaracci (Outs 1-25)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Moor (Outs 1-25)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Israilov (Outs 1-25)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Awoniyi (Outs 1-25)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Grizzlies (Outs 1-25)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Craft (Outs 1-25)

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Rezac (Outs 1-14) → Brown (Outs 15-21) → Huard (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Spence (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Creek (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hiebert (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Hawwas (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Geffrard (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Pérez (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Expos (home) batted second; Phillies batted first.
  Super-innings: 1.
  Seconds: PHI o24 (10-0), MON o24 (10-10).
  First pitch 6:40 PM ET. Weather: 93°F · Wind cross · Overcast. seed 699265.
  Powerplays: Expos — Mondeville NF (O15)
  Walk-Back runs: off Bowen 1, off Rezac 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.22    Peak faced 1.71
    27 outs left: 1.11
    18 outs left: 1.17
     9 outs left: 1.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 9 Zach Grizzlies Zach Grizzlies (HR) 1–0 —
T 9 Allen Ferguson-Reynolds Zach Grizzlies (3B) 2–0 —
T 11 Marco Logar Allen Ferguson-Reynolds (2B) 3–0 —
T 14 Will Craft Sandy Santos (3B) 4–0 —
T 16 Bright Awoniyi Alberto Vásquez (3B) 5–0 —
T 17 Sergio Cubas Godfrey Skeen (3B) 6–0 —
T 18 Sergio Cubas Zach Grizzlies (3B) 7–0 —
T 18 Sergio Cubas Bright Awoniyi (2B) 8–0 —
T 18 Sandy Santos Sergio Cubas (2B) 9–0 —
T 18 Patrick DelSignore Sandy Santos (3B) 10–0 —
B 0 Rónald Solórzano Rónald Solórzano (HR) 10–1 1.11
B 4 Jordi Pérez Rónald Solórzano (3B) 10–2 1.17
B 5 Roscoe Spence David Rezac (3B) 10–3 1.09
B 7 Jordi Pérez Raymond Trigueiro (2B) 10–4 1.05
B 11 David Rezac Jordi Pérez (3B) 10–5 1.12
B 15 Marquis Goodson Raymond Trigueiro (3B) 10–6 1.25
B 17 Pedro Morales Jordi Pérez (3B) 10–7 1.20
B 20 Franklin Mondeville Mark Hutnick (3B) 10–8 1.29
B 20 Rónald Solórzano Pedro Morales (3B) 10–9 0.86
B 20 Omni Fielding Elliott Currier (3B) 10–10 0.43
SB 28 Franklin Mondeville Quincy Geffrard (3B) 10–11 —
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.22
Peak faced 1.71
27 outs left 1.11
18 outs left 1.17
9 outs left 1.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Huerta Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 288' · CF 412' · RF 348' · 50' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Phillies — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 7 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Bryan Andrade — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 353 ft Bright Awoniyi — single · EV 86 mph · LA -2° · 82 ft Daniel Israilov — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 163 ft Jahiem Moor — line_out · EV 70 mph · LA +10° · 69 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +57° · 333 ft Will Craft — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +7° · 89 ft James Bowen — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +27° · 288 ft Allen Ferguson-Reynolds — single · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 289 ft Vitas Anthony — line_out · EV 105 mph · LA +24° · 325 ft Sergio Cubas — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 150 ft Sandy Santos — double · EV 106 mph · LA +24° · 331 ft Godfrey Skeen — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA -6° · 90 ft Zach Grizzlies — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +36° · 480 ft Bryan Andrade — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -17° · 94 ft Marco Logar — single · EV 86 mph · LA +10° · 106 ft Jahiem Moor — single · EV 96 mph · LA +16° · 196 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — single · EV 95 mph · LA +43° · 358 ft Will Craft — single · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 151 ft James Bowen — fielders_choice · EV 81 mph · LA -23° · 77 ft Nicolas Martín — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +33° · 131 ft Bright Awoniyi — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -20° · 83 ft Bryan Andrade — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -16° · 87 ft
Expos — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Rónald Solórzano — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +42° · 461 ft David Rezac — single · EV 78 mph · LA -15° · 74 ft Marquis Goodson — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +12° · 139 ft Jordi Pérez — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 308 ft Pedro Morales — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Raymond Trigueiro — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA -21° · 73 ft Omni Fielding — error · EV 81 mph · LA +8° · 77 ft Franklin Mondeville — infield_single · EV 61 mph · LA +1° · 58 ft Quincy Geffrard — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +6° · 77 ft David Rezac — double · EV 90 mph · LA +20° · 211 ft Akhtam Abu Hawwas — single · EV 96 mph · LA +4° · 91 ft Raymond Trigueiro — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +27° · 275 ft Marquis Goodson — single · EV 90 mph · LA +12° · 137 ft Rónald Solórzano — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 128 ft Titus Hiebert — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 206 ft Quincy Geffrard — double · EV 105 mph · LA +35° · 412 ft Fran Creek — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Phillies
51% deserve-to-win  ·  11.6 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 20.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-7.0 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Vitas Anthony 105 / +24° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.68
Daniel Israilov 100 / +12° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Bryan Andrade 100 / +31° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.07
James Bowen 94 / +27° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Bright Awoniyi 86 / -2° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Expos
49% deserve-to-win  ·  11.3 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 13.8 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+3.2 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
David Rezac 90 / +20° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Jordi Pérez 92 / +33° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Franklin Mondeville 61 / +1° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.90
Quincy Geffrard 105 / +35° Oppo Double 2.9 → 2 -0.88
Marquis Goodson 93 / +12° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
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