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Rockies 10, Royals 3                                        2026-08-07 · #1304
at Sokk Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Colorado               10   10   11    0
Kansas City             3    3    4    1

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Otamendi    cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Henry       p  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.250
Kaiuway     1b ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mondragón   c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Ibarra      3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Robles      rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
Ruidíaz     ss ......    5   3   2   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.400
Diatta      2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   2   1   0   0  0.333
Goss        lf ......    5   2   4   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.800
Totals                  35  10  11   2   0   0   9   4  13   0   0  0.314
  2B: Ruidíaz (12), Goss (37).


ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Devens  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Graham      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Sabella     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Tanguilig   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Talavera    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Altamir pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hsia        rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Selden      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Linneha pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Farley      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Fontes  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Li          p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Monson  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Fuenzal ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0  0.500
  g-Vera    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Inglis  ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Gregory ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   3   4   1   0   0   2   3  19   1   0  0.148
  2B: Rosales (6).
  CS: Monson (1).
  E: Rosales (6).
  HBP: Selden (4), Inglis (1).
  a-Ran for Rosales in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Talavera in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Selden in the 7th.
  d-Batted for Farley in the 6th.
  e-Batted for Li in the 5th.
  f-Batted for Devens in the 4th.
  g-Ran for Vera in the 5th.
  h-Was hit by a pitch in the 6th.
  i-Struck out for Inglis in the 9th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Henry (W, 8-1) ......    14   12  44%    1    0    0    1   10    0   56    -
Schramm .............    15   12  44%    2    3    3    2    8    0   62  3-2
Mejia ...............     2    3  11%    0    0    0    0    1    0    8  2-0

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Li ..................    10    6  22%    5    2    2    0    3    0   46    -
Carvallo (L) ........    16   12  44%    1    5    3    3    6    0   74  2-1
Kopinski ............    12    9  33%    4    3    3    1    4    0   45  2-1

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Henry (Outs 1-12) → Schramm (Outs 13-24) → Mejia (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kaiuway (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ibarra (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Robles (Outs 1-27)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Li (Outs 1-6) → Carvallo (Outs 7-18) → Kopinski (Outs 19-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Farley (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Selden (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Hsia (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted second; Rockies batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM CT. Weather: 81°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 525029.
  Powerplays: Royals — Fontes NF (O1)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.22    Peak faced 24.00
    27 outs left: 1.22
    18 outs left: 1.83
     9 outs left: 3.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 4 Marco Ruidíaz David Henry (3B) 1–0 —
T 6 Ahkhari Goss Marco Ruidíaz (3B) 2–0 —
T 6 Marco Ruidíaz Ahkhari Goss (3B) 3–0 —
T 10 David Henry Dixon Ibarra (2B) 4–0 —
T 12 John Diatta Marco Ruidíaz (3B) 5–0 —
T 17 David Henry Justin Kaiuway (3B) 6–0 —
T 17 Wesly Otamendi Wesly Otamendi (3B) 7–0 —
T 18 Ahkhari Goss John Diatta (3B) 8–0 —
T 26 John Diatta Marco Ruidíaz (3B) 9–0 —
T 26 Marco Ruidíaz Ahkhari Goss (2B) 10–0 —
B 13 Randy Farley Ramon Altamirano (2B) 10–1 2.14
B 17 Connor Inglis Beau Devens (3B) 10–2 2.70
B 23 Kael Monson Connor Inglis (3B) 10–3 6.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.22
Peak faced 24.00
27 outs left 1.22
18 outs left 1.83
9 outs left 3.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Rockies — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 8 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Wesly Otamendi — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +39° · 234 ft David Henry — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 78 ft Marco Ruidíaz — double · EV 92 mph · LA +41° · 335 ft John Diatta — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 316 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 121 ft John Diatta — single · EV 65 mph · LA +16° · 91 ft Marco Ruidíaz — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 156 ft David Henry — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 49 ft Wesly Otamendi — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 228 ft Aníbal Mondragón — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +19° · 214 ft David Henry — error · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Wesly Otamendi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 158 ft Marco Ruidíaz — single · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Justin Kaiuway — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 267 ft David Henry — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 231 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 60 mph · LA +20° · 90 ft Marco Ruidíaz — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -22° · 49 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Efraín Sabella — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -16° · 49 ft Luis Rosales — double · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 228 ft Yung-chi Hsia — line_out · EV 62 mph · LA +18° · 90 ft Rich Linnehan — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 100 ft Randy Farley — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -21° · 72 ft Jhonder Fuenzalida — single · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Ramon Altamirano — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 49 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
99% deserve-to-win  ·  4.5 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +5.5 vs expected
contact: 8.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+3.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ahkhari Goss 92 / +34° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Aníbal Mondragón 94 / +19° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Marco Ruidíaz 92 / +41° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Marco Ruidíaz 76 / -14° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Justin Kaiuway 92 / +26° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Royals
1% deserve-to-win  ·  0.5 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +2.5 vs expected
contact: 1.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (+2.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Luis Rosales 76 / +40° Center Double 0.1 → 2 +1.85
Jhonder Fuenzalida 76 / -2° Oppo Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Rich Linnehan 76 / +13° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Yung-chi Hsia 62 / +18° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Randy Farley 76 / -21° Oppo Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
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