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New York Royals 30, Lima BC 26                              2046-04-29 · #1307
at Kompany Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
New York               29      1   30   25    0
Lima                   25      1   26   22    0

NEW YORK ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tasci       lf ......    6   6   4   1   0   2   7   0   1   0   0  0.667
Gallagher   p  ......    5   3   4   1   1   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.800
Green       1b ......    6   3   2   1   0   1   4   0   3   0   0  0.333
Giggs       3b ......    6   0   3   0   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.500
Magill      cf ......    5   3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.400
Jack        2b ......    2   2   1   0   1   0   1   3   0   0   0  0.500
Morgan      c  ......    6   4   3   0   0   1   5   0   2   0   0  0.500
Wright-Phil ss ......    4   6   4   0   0   2   5   1   0   0   0  1.000
Clarke      rf ......    4   2   2   1   1   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.500
Liriano     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  44  30  25   5   3   6  30   7   8   0   0  0.568
  2B: Tasci (14), Gallagher (4), Green (9), Magill (10), Clarke (8).
  3B: Gallagher (2), Jack (2), Clarke (3).
  HR: Tasci 2 (7), off Hamzová, Cahill; Green (2), off Cahill; Morgan (3), off Hughes; Wright-Phillips 2 (5), off Yuzuki.
  SB: Tasci 2 (4).
  CS: Magill (5).
  HBP: Magill (1), Jack (1).


LIMA BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Krmenčík    lf ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.667
  a-Adams   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Howell      cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-García  pr ......    2   2   1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Jones       c  ......    1   3   1   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   1  1.000
  c-Pekhart ph ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bachan      2b ......    4   4   3   1   0   1   6   0   1   0   0  0.750
Jack        rf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Vardy   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hamzová     p  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Dochert ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  f-Balbirn cf ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Taylor  lf ......    5   1   3   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.600
  h-Toone   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  i-Flanaga ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  j-Service pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Weber       j  ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.500
Holloway    j  ......    4   2   1   0   1   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Totals                  42  26  22   9   2   2  24   5  10   0   1  0.524
  2B: Balbirnie (7), Krmenčík (9), Weber 2 (21), Bachan (10), Hamzová (1), Pekhart 2 (4), Flanagan (3).
  3B: Holloway (3), García (1).
  HR: Jones (3), off Gallagher; Bachan (1), off Novák.
  HBP: Holloway (3), Howell (2), Bachan (2), Jack (2).
  GIDP: Docherty (5).
  a-Singled for Krmenčík in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Howell in the 6th.
  c-Batted for Jones in the 7th.
  d-Grounded out for Jack in the 7th.
  e-Batted for Balbirnie in the 5th.
  f-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  g-Entered at LF in the 3rd.
  h-Entered at C in the 7th.
  i-Doubled for Toone in the 7th.
  j-Ran for Flanagan in the 8th.

NEW YORK ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gallagher ...........    18    9  33%    9    8    7    2    4    1   62    -
Novák ...............    14    8  30%    6    8    8    1    1    1   49  1-0
Čelůstka ............    10    4  15%    4    8    7    1    3    0   40  1-1
Trafford (W, 0-1) ...     7    6  22%    2    2    2    1    2    0   23  1-0

LIMA BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hamzová .............     7    4  15%    4    3    2    0    1    1   23    -
O'Sullivan ..........     6    3  11%    2    2    2    2    0    0   24    -
Cahill (L, 0-2) .....     4    0   0%    3    6    4    1    0    2   16  1-1
Oxlade-Chamberlain ..     9    6  22%    4    3    3    2    1    0   39  1-0
May .................     6    2   7%    4    4    4    2    0    0   24  1-0
Hughes ..............     5    3  11%    1    4    4    0    2    1   19  1-1
Yuzuki ..............     4    1   4%    3    5    3    0    0    2   14  1-1
Allgeyer ............    11    8  30%    4    3    3    0    4    0   43  1-0

  Batting order: Lima BC (home) batted second; New York Royals batted first.
  Seconds: NYR o26 (29-0), LB o26 (25-29).
  First pitch 2:10 PM ET. Weather: 85°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 676456.
  Walk-Back runs: off Gallagher 1, off Čelůstka 1, off Hamzová 1, off Cahill 2, off Yuzuki 2.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Nico Tasci Nico Tasci (HR) 1–0
T 0 Lewis Gallagher Nico Tasci (3B) 2–0
T 6 Joe Clarke Cristian Liriano (2B) 3–0
T 6 Joe Clarke Glen Wright-Phillips (1B) 4–0
T 6 Nico Tasci Joe Clarke (3B) 5–0
T 6 Nico Tasci Nico Tasci (HR) 6–0
T 6 Roy Green Nico Tasci (3B) 7–0
T 6 Roy Green Lewis Gallagher (1B) 8–0
T 6 Roy Green Roy Green (HR) 9–0
T 6 Carwyn Giggs Roy Green (3B) 10–0
T 10 Nico Tasci Marcus Morgan (2B) 11–0
T 10 Nico Tasci Glen Wright-Phillips (1B) 12–0
T 10 Lewis Gallagher Nico Tasci (2B) 13–0
T 13 Marcus Morgan Sean Magill (2B) 14–0
T 13 Glen Wright-Phillips Murray Jack (2B) 15–0
T 14 Nico Tasci Marcus Morgan (3B) 16–0
T 14 Nico Tasci Glen Wright-Phillips (2B) 17–0
T 17 Marcus Morgan Nico Tasci (3B) 18–0
T 17 Marcus Morgan Sean Magill (2B) 19–0
T 17 Marcus Morgan Murray Jack (1B) 20–0
T 17 Marcus Morgan Marcus Morgan (HR) 21–0
T 17 Glen Wright-Phillips Marcus Morgan (3B) 22–0
T 17 Glen Wright-Phillips Glen Wright-Phillips (HR) 23–0
T 17 Joe Clarke Glen Wright-Phillips (3B) 24–0
T 18 Glen Wright-Phillips Joe Clarke (3B) 25–0
T 18 Glen Wright-Phillips Glen Wright-Phillips (HR) 26–0
T 26 Lewis Gallagher Lewis Gallagher (1B) 27–0
T 26 Roy Green Lewis Gallagher (2B) 28–0
T 26 Carwyn Giggs Roy Green (2B) 29–0
B 2 Donnacha Balbirnie Ondřej Krmenčík (2B) 29–1
B 3 Steeven Jones Florian Weber (2B) 29–2
B 3 Steeven Jones Donnacha Balbirnie (1B) 29–3
B 3 Steeven Jones Steeven Jones (HR) 29–4
B 3 Daren Bachan Steeven Jones (3B) 29–5
B 6 Peter Taylor Daren Bachan (3B) 29–6
B 8 Florian Weber Donnacha Balbirnie (2B) 29–7
B 10 Daren Bachan Waltclaire Howell (2B) 29–8
B 12 Gavin Jack Manus Holloway (3B) 29–9
B 12 Vlastimil Hamzová Gavin Jack (1B) 29–10
B 12 Ondřej Krmenčík Vlastimil Hamzová (2B) 29–11
B 16 Daren Bachan Manus Holloway (3B) 29–12
B 16 Daren Bachan Hanley García (2B) 29–13
B 16 Daren Bachan Steeven Jones (1B) 29–14
B 16 Daren Bachan Daren Bachan (HR) 29–15
B 18 Ondřej Krmenčík Daren Bachan (3B) 29–16
B 18 Florian Weber Gavin Jack (2B) 29–17
B 18 Florian Weber Ondřej Krmenčík (1B) 29–18
B 19 Peter Taylor Florian Weber (3B) 29–19
B 20 Štěpán Pekhart Peter Taylor (2B) 29–20
B 20 Štěpán Pekhart Graham Docherty (1B) 29–21
B 20 Robert Flanagan Štěpán Pekhart (2B) 29–22
B 20 Robert Flanagan Daren Bachan (1B) 29–23
B 23 Ashley Adams Gruffydd Service (2B) 29–24
B 23 Peter Taylor Vlastimil Hamzová (3B) 29–25
seconds_first 0 Murray Jack Sean Magill (2B) 30–25
seconds_second 0 Štěpán Pekhart Hanley García (3B) 30–26
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kompany Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 406' · RF 322' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill
New York Royals — Batted Balls
30 BIP· 11 1B · 8 XBH · 6 HR
346' 406' 322' Nico Tasci — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +32° · 480 ft Lewis Gallagher — triple · EV 116 mph · LA +21° · 360 ft Carwyn Giggs — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -20° · 92 ft Sean Magill — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -1° · 81 ft Glen Wright-Phillips — single · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 275 ft Joe Clarke — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 194 ft Nico Tasci — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +32° · 480 ft Roy Green — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Carwyn Giggs — single · EV 94 mph · LA +5° · 89 ft Sean Magill — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 258 ft Marcus Morgan — single · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 164 ft Lewis Gallagher — single · EV 118 mph · LA -0° · 112 ft Glen Wright-Phillips — single · EV 119 mph · LA +17° · 312 ft Murray Jack — triple · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 148 ft Nico Tasci — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 169 ft Carwyn Giggs — single · EV 95 mph · LA -14° · 91 ft Sean Magill — single · EV 100 mph · LA -12° · 95 ft Marcus Morgan — single · EV 119 mph · LA -4° · 113 ft Glen Wright-Phillips — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Joe Clarke — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 235 ft Nico Tasci — single · EV 119 mph · LA +10° · 192 ft Marcus Morgan — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +48° · 480 ft Joe Clarke — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -6° · 95 ft Glen Wright-Phillips — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Sean Magill — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -4° · 95 ft Lewis Gallagher — single · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Lewis Gallagher — double · EV 119 mph · LA +17° · 310 ft Sean Magill — double · EV 87 mph · LA +25° · 230 ft Roy Green — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 173 ft Carwyn Giggs — single · EV 83 mph · LA -6° · 79 ft
Lima BC — Batted Balls
30 BIP· 8 1B · 11 XBH · 2 HR
346' 406' 322' Ondřej Krmenčík — single · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 295 ft Donnacha Balbirnie — single · EV 119 mph · LA +15° · 283 ft Steeven Jones — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +48° · 480 ft Daren Bachan — double · EV 119 mph · LA +23° · 413 ft Callum Toone — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 126 ft Gavin Jack — line_out · EV 113 mph · LA +23° · 364 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 332 ft Vlastimil Hamzová — double · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 358 ft Graham Docherty — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Štěpán Pekhart — double · EV 99 mph · LA +28° · 329 ft Robert Flanagan — double · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 189 ft Eric Vardy — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +11° · 118 ft Ashley Adams — single · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft Ondřej Krmenčík — line_out · EV 119 mph · LA -1° · 113 ft Peter Taylor — single · EV 87 mph · LA -9° · 83 ft Donnacha Balbirnie — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 251 ft Waltclaire Howell — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -9° · 79 ft Daren Bachan — single · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Manus Holloway — triple · EV 119 mph · LA +17° · 320 ft Gavin Jack — single · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft Florian Weber — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 350 ft Hanley García — triple · EV 96 mph · LA +19° · 226 ft Štěpán Pekhart — double · EV 94 mph · LA +21° · 234 ft Ondřej Krmenčík — double · EV 106 mph · LA +26° · 349 ft Peter Taylor — line_out · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 152 ft Daren Bachan — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 119 mph · LA +10° · 197 ft Graham Docherty — double_play · EV 88 mph · LA -8° · 83 ft Peter Taylor — single · EV 116 mph · LA +5° · 110 ft Peter Taylor — single · EV 100 mph · LA -17° · 95 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
New York Royals
53% deserve-to-win  ·  25.6 expected runs
actual 30 runs  ·  +4.4 vs expected
contact: 43.7 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 54.0 (+10.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marcus Morgan 115 / +48° Oppo Home Run 1.7 → 4 +2.34
Murray Jack 97 / +12° Pull Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.82
Joe Clarke 100 / +14° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Sean Magill 87 / +25° Oppo Double 0.4 → 2 +1.61
Sean Magill 100 / +20° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Lima BC
47% deserve-to-win  ·  23.9 expected runs
actual 26 runs  ·  +2.1 vs expected
contact: 35.8 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 40.0 (+4.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Steeven Jones 119 / +48° Oppo Home Run 1.7 → 4 +2.34
Gavin Jack 113 / +23° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
Hanley García 96 / +19° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.68
Florian Weber 100 / +30° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.43
Manus Holloway 119 / +17° Oppo Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.27
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