==============================================================================
Rockies 23, Braves 16                                       2026-08-10 · #1327
at Kuvvatov Yards
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Atlanta                16      0   16   16    0
Colorado               23      -   23   17    1

BRAVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Spencer     2b ......    4   3   2   1   0   0   2   1   2   0   0  0.500
Sauerbrunn  3b ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bombito     p  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Kalogeropou lf ......    3   3   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.333
Lamar       1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.250
Bray        rf ......    3   2   2   0   0   1   5   1   0   1   0  0.667
  a-Martín  pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sherman     cf ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.667
Ramon-Edwar c  ......    5   3   3   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.600
Nightingale ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Alvelo  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  16  16   3   0   2  15   8   8   1   1  0.471
  2B: Spencer (19), Sauerbrunn (12), Kalogeropoulos (20).
  HR: Bray (1), off Grimes; Ramon-Edwards (6), off Grimes.
  SB: Spencer (9), Lamar (8), Sherman 2 (15), Ramon-Edwards (8), Martín (7).
  CS: Bray (7), Martín (8).
  a-Ran for Bray in the 7th.
  b-Batted in the 4th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martinho    ss ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Poling      1b ......    6   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   3   0   0  0.333
Grimes      p  ......    3   4   1   0   0   1   2   2   2   0   0  0.333
Alderman    rf ......    5   2   2   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.400
Kaiuway     3b ......    3   3   1   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.333
Ruidíaz     2b ......    2   3   0   0   0   0   0   3   1   0   0  0.000
Porteño     c  ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.400
Otamendi    cf ......    5   1   4   3   1   0   5   0   0   0   0  0.800
Goss        lf ......    5   3   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.600
  a-Conover ph ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.250
Totals                  39  23  17   5   1   4  23   8  11   0   0  0.436
  2B: Porteño (16), Otamendi 3 (17), Goss (38).
  3B: Otamendi (3).
  HR: Poling (6), off Bombito; Grimes (1), off Homans; Alderman (10), off Morejón; Conover (2), off Buford.
  CS: Martinho (2).
  E: Martinho (11).
  a-Batted in the 3rd.

BRAVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bombito .............     7    3  11%    2    4    1    2    1    1   24    -
Homans (L, 9-6) .....    10    4  15%    5    6    5    2    2    1   45  1-0
Buford ..............    10    6  22%    4    5    4    2    3    1   34  2-1
Morejón .............    11    7  26%    4    6    5    1    3    1   36  2-2
Mickens .............     9    7  26%    2    2    2    1    2    0   30  1-0

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Grimes ..............    16    8  30%    8    7    5    3    2    2   63    -
Schramm .............    15   11  41%    6    6    6    3    4    0   66  1-1
Malin (W) ...........    10    8  30%    2    3    3    2    3    0   44  2-2

BRAVES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Bombito (Outs 1-3) → Homans (Outs 4-7) → Buford (Outs 8-13) → Morejón (Outs 14-20) → Mickens (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Ramon-Edwards (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Lamar (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Spencer (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sauerbrunn (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Nightingale (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kalogeropoulos (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Sherman (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Bray (Outs 1-27)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Grimes (Outs 1-8) → Schramm (Outs 9-19) → Malin (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Poling (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Kaiuway (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted first; Braves batted second.
  Seconds: ATL o25 (16-23).
  First pitch 6:00 PM MT. Weather: 94°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 162123.
  Walk-Back runs: off Bombito 1, off Homans 1, off Buford 1, off Morejón 1, off Grimes 2.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 2.67    Peak faced 12.00
    27 outs left: 2.67
    18 outs left: 2.67
     9 outs left: 3.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 1 Reed Poling Reed Poling (HR) 0–1 —
B 2 Allen Alderman Reed Poling (3B) 0–2 —
B 3 Mario Porteño Justin Kaiuway (3B) 0–3 —
B 3 Mario Porteño Marco Ruidíaz (2B) 0–4 —
B 4 Ahkhari Goss Wesly Otamendi (3B) 0–5 —
B 4 Markeylin Martinho Ahkhari Goss (2B) 0–6 —
B 5 Hunter Grimes Markeylin Martinho (1B) 0–7 —
B 5 Hunter Grimes Hunter Grimes (HR) 0–8 —
B 7 Wesly Otamendi Hunter Grimes (3B) 0–9 —
B 7 Wesly Otamendi Justin Kaiuway (2B) 0–10 —
B 8 Garrett Conover Marco Ruidíaz (3B) 0–11 —
B 8 Garrett Conover Ahkhari Goss (1B) 0–12 —
B 8 Garrett Conover Garrett Conover (HR) 0–13 —
B 9 Allen Alderman Garrett Conover (3B) 0–14 —
B 12 Ahkhari Goss Hunter Grimes (3B) 0–15 —
B 14 Wesly Otamendi Marco Ruidíaz (2B) 0–16 —
B 14 Wesly Otamendi Ahkhari Goss (1B) 0–17 —
B 17 Allen Alderman Mario Porteño (2B) 0–18 —
B 17 Allen Alderman Allen Alderman (HR) 0–19 —
B 20 Reed Poling Allen Alderman (3B) 0–20 —
B 20 Reed Poling Hunter Grimes (2B) 0–21 —
B 24 Mario Porteño Justin Kaiuway (1B) 0–22 —
B 24 Wesly Otamendi Mario Porteño (2B) 0–23 —
T 2 Hugo Bray Kreigh Kalogeropoulos (3B) 1–23 2.76
T 2 Hugo Bray Zack Spencer (2B) 2–23 2.64
T 2 Hugo Bray Hugo Bray (HR) 3–23 2.52
T 2 Akili Sauerbrunn Hugo Bray (3B) 4–23 2.40
T 2 Mac Sherman Akili Sauerbrunn (2B) 5–23 2.28
T 6 Sean Ramon-Edwards Sean Ramon-Edwards (HR) 6–23 2.57
T 6 Mac Sherman Sean Ramon-Edwards (3B) 7–23 2.43
T 9 Zack Spencer Mac Sherman (3B) 8–23 2.67
T 12 Sean Ramon-Edwards Zack Spencer (3B) 9–23 3.00
T 15 Dennis Lamar Sean Ramon-Edwards (3B) 10–23 3.50
T 16 Kreigh Kalogeropoulos Dennis Lamar (2B) 11–23 3.55
T 16 Donovan Bombito Kreigh Kalogeropoulos (2B) 12–23 3.27
T 17 Zack Spencer Donovan Bombito (2B) 13–23 3.30
T 18 Hugo Bray Kreigh Kalogeropoulos (3B) 14–23 3.33
T 18 Hugo Bray Zack Spencer (2B) 15–23 3.00
T 23 Sean Ramon-Edwards Mac Sherman (3B) 16–23 6.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 2.67
Peak faced 12.00
27 outs left 2.67
18 outs left 2.67
9 outs left 3.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Braves — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 11 1B · 3 XBH · 2 HR
341' 409' 308' Donovan Bombito — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -13° · 84 ft Hugo Bray — single · EV 95 mph · LA +6° · 91 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 227 ft Mac Sherman — single · EV 85 mph · LA -11° · 81 ft Donny Nightingale — single · EV 100 mph · LA -20° · 95 ft Zack Spencer — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 180 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — ground_out · EV 114 mph · LA +8° · 108 ft Joseph Martín — single · EV 119 mph · LA +4° · 113 ft Hugo Bray — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +26° · 425 ft Donny Nightingale — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA +2° · 84 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Mac Sherman — single · EV 100 mph · LA -21° · 95 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — double · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 354 ft Donovan Bombito — single · EV 115 mph · LA +19° · 322 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — single · EV 100 mph · LA -18° · 95 ft Dennis Lamar — single · EV 88 mph · LA +9° · 97 ft Zack Spencer — single · EV 100 mph · LA -17° · 95 ft Hugo Bray — error · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 84 ft Mac Sherman — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -9° · 76 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 84 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +24° · 229 ft Akili Sauerbrunn — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 122 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — single · EV 95 mph · LA +24° · 273 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
27 BIP· 7 1B · 6 XBH · 4 HR
341' 409' 308' Reed Poling — hr · EV 97 mph · LA +45° · 374 ft Allen Alderman — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 206 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 100 mph · LA -14° · 95 ft Mario Porteño — error · EV 88 mph · LA +21° · 205 ft Wesly Otamendi — triple · EV 111 mph · LA +22° · 336 ft Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 293 ft Markeylin Martinho — single · EV 114 mph · LA -3° · 108 ft Garrett Conover — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +34° · 457 ft Marco Ruidíaz — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -22° · 79 ft Hunter Grimes — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +44° · 400 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -13° · 78 ft Wesly Otamendi — double · EV 98 mph · LA +21° · 257 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 195 ft Garrett Conover — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -12° · 79 ft Allen Alderman — single · EV 78 mph · LA +18° · 143 ft Wesly Otamendi — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +17° · 123 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 97 mph · LA +8° · 105 ft Ahkhari Goss — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 336 ft Wesly Otamendi — double · EV 97 mph · LA +37° · 362 ft Mario Porteño — single · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 84 ft Allen Alderman — hr · EV 99 mph · LA +36° · 376 ft Garrett Conover — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 83 mph · LA +18° · 160 ft Allen Alderman — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +22° · 196 ft Mario Porteño — double · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 278 ft Wesly Otamendi — double · EV 117 mph · LA +24° · 402 ft Ahkhari Goss — fly_out · EV 116 mph · LA +50° · 480 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Braves
47% deserve-to-win  ·  15.8 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 21.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 25.0 (+3.2 on contact)
running: 5 SB · 2 CS (+0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hugo Bray 115 / +26° Pull Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.07
Sean Ramon-Edwards 88 / +24° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Zack Spencer 100 / +13° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.75
Kreigh Kalogeropoulos 114 / +8° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Donovan Bombito 115 / +19° Center Single 1.7 → 1 -0.71
Rockies
53% deserve-to-win  ·  16.9 expected runs
actual 23 runs  ·  +6.1 vs expected
contact: 28.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 36.0 (+7.8 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Allen Alderman 99 / +36° Pull Home Run 1.5 → 4 +2.55
Reed Poling 97 / +45° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.99
Hunter Grimes 100 / +44° Center Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
Wesly Otamendi 111 / +22° Oppo Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.28
Mario Porteño 92 / +28° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →