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Royals 2, Cubs 1                                            2026-08-10 · #1337
at Sokk Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Chicago                 1    1    4    0
Kansas City             2    2    4    0

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Shurtleff   lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-McCullo ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Segovia     rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Solis   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Onyiuke     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1  0.000
Heinze      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Casey       ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Sarkissian  2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Hollowe pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Saprissa    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kurth       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Wimer       p  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Lamas   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Nealon  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Verhoeven   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Conn        j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Schellenger j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  26   1   4   1   0   0   1   3  13   0   1  0.154
  2B: Wimer (3).
  CS: Hollowell (13).
  GIDP: Heinze (10).
  a-Grounded out for Shurtleff in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Segovia in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Sarkissian in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Wimer in the 7th.
  e-Struck out in the 8th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sabella     ss ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Monson      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Graham      rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tanguilig   1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Linneha pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Rosales     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Talavera    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fontes      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Gregory ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hsia        lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Vera    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Simon       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   .000
  d-Devens  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Selden  ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Fuenzal ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Espinoz pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Press       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  16   2   4   2   0   0   2   2   5   0   1  0.250
  2B: Sabella (13), Selden (4).
  SB: Devens (12), Graham (8), Hsia (2).
  CS: Linnehan (6).
  a-Ran for Tanguilig in the 8th.
  b-Grounded out for Fontes in the 3rd.
  c-Grounded out for Hsia in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Simon in the 7th.
  e-Doubled in the 6th.
  f-Struck out in the 4th.
  g-Ran in the 6th.

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Wimer (L, 2-18) .....    17   16  59%    3    2    2    2    5    0   69    -

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Simon (W, 8-6) ......    23   21  78%    4    1    1    2   10    0   83    -
Weil ................     7    6  22%    0    0    0    1    4    0   37  2-0

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-16)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Wimer (Outs 1-16)
CATCHER (C)       | Heinze (Outs 1-16)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Onyiuke (Outs 1-16)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Sarkissian (Outs 1-16)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Saprissa (Outs 1-16)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Casey (Outs 1-16)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Shurtleff (Outs 1-16)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Kurth (Outs 1-16)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Segovia (Outs 1-16)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Simon (Outs 1-21) → Weil (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Fontes (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Hsia (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Talavera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Graham (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted second; Cubs batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM CT. Weather: 92°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 888431.
  Powerplays: Royals — Fuenzalida NF (O1)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 0.25
    27 outs left: 0.11
    18 outs left: 0.17
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 18 Brad Wimer Wyatt Conn (2B) 1–0 —
B 0 Efraín Sabella George Graham (2B) 1–1 0.11
B 16 Chris Selden Mario Espinoza (1B) 1–2 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 0.25
27 outs left 0.11
18 outs left 0.17
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Cubs — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Bryce Shurtleff — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +2° · 74 ft Teófilo Segovia — single · EV 78 mph · LA +11° · 89 ft Omni Onyiuke — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +12° · 114 ft Ryan Schellenger — single · EV 98 mph · LA -20° · 94 ft Josh McCullough — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 338 ft Eddie Solis — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 328 ft Tomas Heinze — double_play · EV 71 mph · LA -2° · 68 ft Douglas Casey — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -2° · 67 ft Samuel Sarkissian — single · EV 98 mph · LA -4° · 93 ft Brad Wimer — double · EV 104 mph · LA +44° · 429 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' George Graham — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -20° · 84 ft Efraín Sabella — double · EV 119 mph · LA +21° · 379 ft Yamil Fontes — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -20° · 84 ft Eugenio Vera — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Chris Selden — double · EV 119 mph · LA +21° · 378 ft Reinaldo Talavera — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -26° · 84 ft Efraín Sabella — single · EV 91 mph · LA -2° · 87 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Cubs
42% deserve-to-win  ·  2.9 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -1.9 vs expected
contact: 7.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-2.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Josh McCullough 92 / +42° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Eddie Solis 92 / +38° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Brad Wimer 104 / +44° Oppo Double 2.6 → 2 -0.59
Omni Onyiuke 84 / +12° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Ryan Schellenger 98 / -20° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.56
Royals
58% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 5.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.3 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Efraín Sabella 91 / -2° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Eugenio Vera 88 / -4° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.39
George Graham 88 / -20° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.37
Yamil Fontes 88 / -20° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.37
Reinaldo Talavera 88 / -26° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.37
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