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Marlins 8, Orcas 5                                          2026-08-12 · #1359
at Deifel Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Vancouver               5    5    5    0
Miami                   8    8   11    0

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kiesewetter p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Beigel  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Badger      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Delía       c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Mendez      lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Peavy       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Granber ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Godín       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Quintero    2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Whitley pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Teeguarden  1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Noonan  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Valladolid  ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Edmonso pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-McInern pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Millar  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cuéllar     j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Roker       j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Turrentine  j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   5   5   1   0   0   4   2  15   0   0  0.172
  2B: Cuéllar (6).
  SB: Whitley (9), McInerney (4).
  HBP: Mendez (6), Beigel (7).
  GIDP: Delía (1).
  a-Batted for Kiesewetter in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Peavy in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Quintero in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Teeguarden in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Beigel in the 6th.
  g-Walked in the 9th.

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Baird       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Chieh-yu    lf ......    4   2   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Dibert      2b ......    4   1   3   1   1   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.750
Altamirano  1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Mangin      3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Suárez      ss ......    4   1   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Enterline   rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   1  0.000
Blackman    c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Enquist     cf ......    4   2   3   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.750
Totals                  31   8  11   5   2   0   8   4   8   0   1  0.355
  2B: Chieh-yu (12), Dibert (7), Suárez 2 (14), Enquist (16).
  3B: Chieh-yu (3), Dibert (1).
  CS: Dibert (4).


ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kiesewetter (L, 4-9)      9    4  15%    5    5    5    1    1    0   30    -
Pohlman .............    14   13  48%    4    2    2    2    5    0   46  1-1
Peck ................    12   10  37%    2    1    1    1    2    0   39    -

MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Baird (W, 6-18) .....    31   26  96%    4    5    5    2   14    0  110    -
Dawe ................     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    1    0    4  1-0

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Kiesewetter (Outs 1-4) → Pohlman (Outs 5-17) → Peck (Outs 18-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Delía (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Teeguarden (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Quintero (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Badger (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Valladolid (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mendez (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Godín (Outs 1-27)

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Baird (Outs 1-26) → Dawe (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Blackman (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Altamirano (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Dibert (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Mangin (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Suárez (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Chieh-yu (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Enterline (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Marlins (home) batted first; Orcas batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 89°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 718232.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Alex Dibert Montavious Chieh-yu (3B) 0–1
B 1 Jean Altamirano Alex Dibert (3B) 0–2
B 4 Jason Enquist Jean Altamirano (2B) 0–3
B 4 Jason Enquist Ramon Blackman (2B) 0–4
B 4 Jason Enquist Jason Enquist (1B) 0–5
B 6 Kendall Suárez Jason Enquist (2B) 0–6
B 7 Alex Dibert Kendall Suárez (2B) 0–7
B 21 Alex Dibert Montavious Chieh-yu (2B) 0–8
T 13 Norris Mendez Berkeley Whitley (3B) 1–8
T 21 Yerry Cuéllar Alexis Edmonson (3B) 2–8
T 21 Yerry Cuéllar Lipe McInerney (2B) 3–8
T 21 Mateus Delía Norris Mendez (3B) 4–8
T 22 Earthna Roker Yerry Cuéllar (3B) 5–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Deifel Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 276' · CF 455' · RF 303' · 50' wall). Bathtub.
Orcas — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
276' 455' 303' Wall 50' Mateus Delía — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +4° · 49 ft Andrea Peavy — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 166 ft Omar Godín — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Amarien Beigel — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 286 ft Yerry Cuéllar — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Earthna Roker — single · EV 60 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Lipe McInerney — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -3° · 57 ft Nahitan Valladolid — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft Norris Mendez — single · EV 52 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Mateus Delía — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 164 ft Mateus Delía — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 145 ft Louis Badger — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Herb Noonan — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -11° · 66 ft
Marlins — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 4 1B · 7 XBH · 0 HR
276' 455' 303' Wall 50' Treston Baird — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 84 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — triple · EV 113 mph · LA +22° · 346 ft Alex Dibert — double · EV 108 mph · LA +20° · 308 ft Jean Altamirano — single · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 167 ft Kendall Suárez — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -12° · 84 ft Jason Enquist — single · EV 86 mph · LA +17° · 164 ft Ramon Blackman — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 284 ft Jason Enquist — double · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 306 ft Kendall Suárez — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 213 ft Alex Dibert — single · EV 81 mph · LA +26° · 205 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Treston Baird — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 292 ft Jason Enquist — single · EV 100 mph · LA -15° · 95 ft Kendall Suárez — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 160 ft Devon Mangin — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +5° · 84 ft Alex Dibert — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +19° · 175 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +28° · 314 ft Treston Baird — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Ramon Blackman — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +3° · 95 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — double · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 452 ft Alex Dibert — triple · EV 96 mph · LA +21° · 242 ft Kendall Suárez — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orcas
11% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 6.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-1.0 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yerry Cuéllar 92 / +42° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Mateus Delía 92 / +14° Center Double Play 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Amarien Beigel 92 / +29° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Norris Mendez 52 / +10° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Earthna Roker 60 / +10° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Marlins
89% deserve-to-win  ·  11.8 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -3.8 vs expected
contact: 21.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0 (-1.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alex Dibert 96 / +21° Pull Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.78
Ramon Blackman 100 / +23° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Treston Baird 100 / +23° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Montavious Chieh-yu 113 / +22° Oppo Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.29
Montavious Chieh-yu 98 / +28° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.07
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