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Thessaloniki Police 25, Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers 11        2046-05-01 · #1385
at Iron Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Zaporizhzhia           11      0   11   10    0
Thessaloniki           25      0   25   21    0

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Li          lf ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Goodling    ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Klassen     p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Smith       1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Bartkowicz  2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Shao        3b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.667
Aulakh      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Sock        cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Macdona ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Cota        j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Soeda       j  ......    5   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.400
Belcher     j  ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30  11  10   2   0   0  11   7  10   0   0  0.333
  2B: Cota (7), Soeda (4).
  HBP: Li (1), Goodling (4), Belcher (2), Bartkowicz (2).
  GIDP: Klassen (1).
  Squeeze: Aulakh (1 RBI).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

THESSALONIKI POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Barron      3b ......    5   5   4   3   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.800
Levering    ss ......    3   5   2   1   0   1   3   3   0   0   0  0.667
Stanton     c  ......    4   4   3   1   0   1   6   2   0   0   0  0.750
Liao        2b ......    6   2   4   1   0   1   8   0   0   0   0  0.667
Rainey      cf ......    6   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Liz         1b ......    5   1   2   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.400
Gourriel    lf ......    3   4   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.667
Cure        rf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   4   0   0  0.000
Machís      p  ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   3   2   2   1   0  0.667
Totals                  39  25  21   7   0   3  25  12  12   1   0  0.538
  2B: Barron 3 (14), Levering (15), Stanton (14), Liao (1), Gourriel (9).
  HR: Levering (7), off Washburn; Stanton (3), off Fields; Liao (1), off Graves.
  SB: Rainey (8).
  CS: Levering (4), Stanton (5), Liao 3 (3).
  HBP: Gourriel (2).


ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Klassen .............    23   14  52%    8    6    6    4    6    0   77    -
Graves (L, 1-2) .....    12    5  19%    6    8    8    3    2    1   49  1-1
Washburn ............     9    3  11%    5    7    5    3    2    1   37  1-1
Fields ..............     8    5  19%    2    4    4    2    2    1   26  1-0

THESSALONIKI POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Machís (W, 4-1) .....    21   12  44%    7    7    7    3    5    0   79    -
Stecker .............    17   13  48%    1    4    4    4    5    0   82  2-2
Takagi ..............     1    2   7%    0    0    0    0    0    0    2  2-0

  Batting order: Thessaloniki Police (home) batted first; Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers batted second.
  Seconds: ZB o26 (11-25), TP o25 (25-0).
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 66°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Dry. seed 829490.
  Walk-Back runs: off Washburn 2.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Roger Stanton Kevin Barron (2B) 0–1
B 8 Jacob Levering Kendrys Gourriel (2B) 0–2
B 8 Chia-hong Liao Jacob Levering (2B) 0–3
B 8 Chia-hong Liao Roger Stanton (1B) 0–4
B 12 Kevin Barron Kendrys Gourriel (2B) 0–5
B 12 Kevin Barron Ruben Machís (1B) 0–6
B 13 Chia-hong Liao Kevin Barron (2B) 0–7
B 16 Kendrys Gourriel Junior Liz (1B) 0–8
B 17 Ruben Machís Kendrys Gourriel (2B) 0–9
B 17 Kevin Barron Ruben Machís (1B) 0–10
B 17 Chia-hong Liao Kevin Barron (3B) 0–11
B 17 Chia-hong Liao Jacob Levering (2B) 0–12
B 17 Chia-hong Liao Roger Stanton (1B) 0–13
B 17 Chia-hong Liao Chia-hong Liao (HR) 0–14
B 17 Liona Rainey Chia-hong Liao (3B) 0–15
B 19 Ruben Machís Liona Rainey (3B) 0–16
B 19 Ruben Machís Tristan Cure (2B) 0–17
B 20 Jacob Levering Kevin Barron (1B) 0–18
B 20 Jacob Levering Jacob Levering (HR) 0–19
B 20 Roger Stanton Jacob Levering (3B) 0–20
B 20 Chia-hong Liao Roger Stanton (2B) 0–21
B 25 Roger Stanton Kendrys Gourriel (3B) 0–22
B 25 Roger Stanton Kevin Barron (2B) 0–23
B 25 Roger Stanton Jacob Levering (1B) 0–24
B 25 Roger Stanton Roger Stanton (HR) 0–25
T 1 Yasufumi Soeda Jakob Macdonald (2B) 1–25
T 1 Yasufumi Soeda Paul Li (1B) 2–25
T 1 Jam Smith Yasufumi Soeda (2B) 3–25
T 2 Xuan Shao Alex Belcher (3B) 4–25
T 9 Paul Li Xuan Shao (3B) 5–25
T 10 Gerardo Cota Paul Li (2B) 6–25
T 10 Gerardo Cota Alex Belcher (1B) 7–25
T 11 Xuan Shao Gerardo Cota (3B) 8–25
T 11 Xuan Shao Owen Goodling (2B) 9–25
T 11 Vikram Aulakh Kareem Bartkowicz (3B) 10–25
T 16 Kareem Bartkowicz Xuan Shao (3B) 11–25
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Iron Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 370' · CF 477' · RF 365' · 11' wall). Cavernous.
Crow's Nest Death Valley The Crater
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
370' 477' 365' Cole Klassen — fly_out · EV 58 mph · LA +46° · 133 ft Jakob Macdonald — single · EV 89 mph · LA +12° · 134 ft Yasufumi Soeda — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 160 ft Jam Smith — single · EV 87 mph · LA +16° · 159 ft Xuan Shao — single · EV 85 mph · LA -12° · 81 ft Gerardo Cota — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +26° · 244 ft Paul Li — single · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 311 ft Owen Goodling — single · EV 100 mph · LA +44° · 400 ft Alex Belcher — line_out · EV 101 mph · LA +16° · 211 ft Cole Klassen — double_play · EV 90 mph · LA +9° · 102 ft Yasufumi Soeda — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +27° · 216 ft Gerardo Cota — double · EV 94 mph · LA +19° · 222 ft Xuan Shao — single · EV 82 mph · LA +12° · 111 ft Basil Sock — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Gerardo Cota — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -14° · 76 ft Jakob Macdonald — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +6° · 78 ft
Thessaloniki Police — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 11 1B · 7 XBH · 3 HR
370' 477' 365' Kevin Barron — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 174 ft Jacob Levering — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +29° · 253 ft Roger Stanton — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Chia-hong Liao — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Liona Rainey — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +8° · 94 ft Kendrys Gourriel — single · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Jacob Levering — double · EV 95 mph · LA +34° · 339 ft Chia-hong Liao — double · EV 93 mph · LA +42° · 341 ft Junior Liz — single · EV 85 mph · LA +20° · 182 ft Kendrys Gourriel — double · EV 101 mph · LA +34° · 378 ft Ruben Machís — single · EV 88 mph · LA +21° · 206 ft Kevin Barron — double · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 390 ft Chia-hong Liao — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 252 ft Ruben Machís — single · EV 85 mph · LA +16° · 152 ft Jacob Levering — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +30° · 448 ft Roger Stanton — double · EV 111 mph · LA +37° · 474 ft Kevin Barron — double · EV 117 mph · LA +27° · 448 ft Chia-hong Liao — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +41° · 465 ft Liona Rainey — single · EV 94 mph · LA +16° · 188 ft Roger Stanton — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +32° · 480 ft Chia-hong Liao — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 155 ft Liona Rainey — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +27° · 293 ft Kevin Barron — single · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 351 ft Junior Liz — single · EV 82 mph · LA +20° · 175 ft Chia-hong Liao — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -3° · 79 ft Liona Rainey — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 115 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers
20% deserve-to-win  ·  11.1 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 12.2 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-2.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Owen Goodling 100 / +44° Oppo Single 2.5 → 1 -1.53
Alex Belcher 101 / +16° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Yasufumi Soeda 92 / +14° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Gerardo Cota 94 / +19° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Cole Klassen 90 / +9° Center Double Play 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Thessaloniki Police
80% deserve-to-win  ·  22.0 expected runs
actual 25 runs  ·  +3.0 vs expected
contact: 37.1 est bases + 12 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 37.0 (-0.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 5 CS (-3.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Roger Stanton 111 / +37° Center Double 3.5 → 2 -1.48
Kevin Barron 117 / +27° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.04
Jacob Levering 113 / +30° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.96
Liona Rainey 95 / +27° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Chia-hong Liao 93 / +42° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
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