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Dodgers 8, Diamondbacks 4                                   2026-08-19 · #1418
at Wold Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Arizona                 4    4    7    0
Los Angeles             8    8    6    0

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Foyth       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Gibson  pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
McNutt      ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Pierre-Loui 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Ullstro ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Maupin      c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Pope    pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Smashey     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Tanabe  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Start       lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Alderma ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gronowski   3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bektas      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Randall pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Linton      rf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
  g-Baxter  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-Schmelz ph ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Totals                  29   4   7   1   0   0   4   1  12   0   0  0.241
  2B: Linton (9).
  SB: Start (13).
  CS: McNutt (8), Schmelzle (13), Gibson (6).
  HBP: Foyth (7).
  GIDP: Ullstrom (6).
  a-Ran for Foyth in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Pierre-Louis in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Maupin in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Smashey in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for Start in the 3rd.
  f-Ran for Bektas in the 3rd.
  g-Batted in the 7th.
  h-Batted for Randall in the 5th.

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Maier       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Martin  ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Mokiao-Atim 1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gerardy     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Swanson     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Guarnera    2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Daniels     c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Saffold     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Garcés      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Tiernan     p  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  b-Gleason ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Lepchen pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Murray  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Querrey pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Abbott      j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Monroe      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kromah      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   8   6   0   0   1   6   5   4   0   0  0.207
  HR: Abbott (5), off Cheek.
  HBP: Garcés (1), Lepchenko (1).
  GIDP: Guarnera (3).
  a-Batted for Maier in the 3rd.
  b-Walked in the 4th.
  c-Ran in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Gleason in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 4th.

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Smashey .............    22   14   84  3.8    5    5    1    4    2    0    -
Cheek (L, 0-3) ......    14   13   60  4.3    1    3    3    1    2    1  2-1

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Tiernan (W, 8-0) ....    27   24   94  3.5    4    3    3    1   11    0    -
Fitzgibbon ..........     4    3   19  4.8    2    1    1    0    2    0  1-1

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Smashey (Outs 1-14) → Cheek (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Maupin (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Bektas (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pierre-Louis (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Gronowski (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | McNutt (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Start (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Linton (Outs 1-27)

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Tiernan (Outs 1-24) → Fitzgibbon (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Daniels (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Guarnera (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Swanson (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Saffold (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maier (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Garcés (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Dodgers (home) batted first; Diamondbacks batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 85°F · Wind cross · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 648186.
  Powerplays: Diamondbacks — Pope NF (O10)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.00    Peak faced 6.00
    27 outs left: 1.00
    18 outs left: 1.00
     9 outs left: 2.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 9 Berkeley Abbott Andy Lepchenko (3B) 0–1 —
B 13 Shawn Daniels Hubertus Murray (3B) 0–2 —
B 14 Tomm Kromah Andy Lepchenko (3B) 0–3 —
B 14 Thomas Martin Jaylen Tiernan (3B) 0–4 —
B 14 Thomas Martin Wallace Monroe (2B) 0–5 —
B 17 Berkeley Abbott Thomas Martin (1B) 0–6 —
B 17 Berkeley Abbott Berkeley Abbott (HR) 0–7 —
B 21 Jaylen Tiernan Shawn Daniels (2B) 0–8 —
T 5 Miguel Linton Ron Gronowski (2B) 1–8 1.09
T 7 Huntley Maupin Toby Start (3B) 2–8 1.05
T 7 Bryce Alderman Anderson Randall (3B) 3–8 0.90
T 24 Isadore Gibson Miguel Linton (2B) 4–8 5.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.00
Peak faced 6.00
27 outs left 1.00
18 outs left 1.00
9 outs left 2.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wold Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 395' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Damian Smashey — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Huntley Maupin — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 303 ft Toby Start — fielders_choice · EV 56 mph · LA +4° · 53 ft Ron Gronowski — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 245 ft Miguel Linton — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 168 ft Bryce Alderman — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Irving Ullstrom — double_play · EV 93 mph · LA +19° · 215 ft Isadore Gibson — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 254 ft Huntley Maupin — single · EV 80 mph · LA -8° · 76 ft Miguel Linton — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -18° · 78 ft Bryce Alderman — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +28° · 286 ft Miguel Linton — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -6° · 52 ft Miguel McNutt — single · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Wallace Schmelzle — single · EV 59 mph · LA -18° · 56 ft Miguel Linton — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 219 ft
Dodgers — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
338' 395' 346' Quentin Maier — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +31° · 154 ft Ben Mokiao-Atimalala — single · EV 77 mph · LA -2° · 73 ft Shawn Daniels — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +39° · 295 ft Jerome Saffold — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA -13° · 75 ft Jaylen Tiernan — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -22° · 75 ft Thomas Martin — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 377 ft Andy Lepchenko — single · EV 77 mph · LA +24° · 173 ft Hubertus Murray — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +36° · 390 ft Wallace Monroe — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Colton Swanson — error · EV 71 mph · LA -13° · 68 ft Wyatt Guarnera — double_play · EV 75 mph · LA +2° · 71 ft Shawn Daniels — infield_single · EV 63 mph · LA -5° · 60 ft Jerome Saffold — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -16° · 71 ft Jaylen Tiernan — single · EV 84 mph · LA +21° · 189 ft Thomas Martin — single · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 84 ft Berkeley Abbott — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +39° · 401 ft Daylan Querrey — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +34° · 219 ft Colton Swanson — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -12° · 82 ft Wyatt Guarnera — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA +12° · 82 ft Jaylen Tiernan — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA +10° · 67 ft Thomas Martin — fielders_choice · EV 75 mph · LA -11° · 71 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Diamondbacks
4% deserve-to-win  ·  1.7 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 7.6 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-0.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Miguel Linton 92 / +20° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Irving Ullstrom 93 / +19° Oppo Double Play 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Wallace Schmelzle 59 / -18° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Miguel Linton 92 / +15° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Huntley Maupin 80 / -8° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Dodgers
96% deserve-to-win  ·  8.5 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -0.5 vs expected
contact: 11.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-2.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Berkeley Abbott 101 / +39° Oppo Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.05
Thomas Martin 100 / +35° Center Out 1.9 → 0 -1.95
Hubertus Murray 101 / +36° Center Out 1.9 → 0 -1.95
Shawn Daniels 63 / -5° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Ben Mokiao-Atimalala 77 / -2° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
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