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Liverpool BC 10, Montréal Cannery SARL 9                    2046-05-02 · #1449
at Munro Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Montréal                9    9    6    0
Liverpool              10   10    9    0

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Escobar     lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   3   0   0  0.250
Pokorný     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
McLaughlin  ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
O'Reilly    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zendejas    p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Blanton ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Koubek  pr ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   1   0  1.000
  c-Mainoo  ph ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
  d-Carter  ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Hetmyer ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Furness pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hranáč      j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Toney       j  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   1  0.250
Totals                  28   9   6   2   0   1   8   7  15   1   1  0.214
  2B: Toney (3), Koubek (7).
  HR: Escobar (3), off McCrorie.
  SB: Toney (8).
  CS: Zendejas (1).
  a-Grounded out in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Blanton in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 3rd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Walked in the 3rd.
  f-Ran in the 4th.

LIVERPOOL BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Etta        ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lynch       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kirby       2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kelly       3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Bushamuka   rf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Mariappa    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   2  0.000
Linárez     1b ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Service     c  ......    1   3   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0   1  1.000
Williamson  lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.333
Fretz       j  ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Watkins     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hašek       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  21  10   9   3   0   1  10   4   2   0   3  0.429
  2B: Fretz (15), Etta (5), Williamson (5).
  HR: Service (4), off Basham.
  CS: Kelly (3).
  HBP: Etta (3).


MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Zendejas (L, 1-2) ...    10    6  22%    4    4    3    2    0    0   41    -
Greenwood ...........     5    4  15%    1    2    2    1    0    0   10  2-1
Basham ..............     4    5  19%    1    2    1    1    0    1    6  1-0
Johnstone ...........     6    4  15%    2    2    2    0    2    0   22  1-1

LIVERPOOL BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mariappa (W, 5-2) ...    26   21  78%    3    4    4    5   14    0  105    -
McCrorie ............     9    6  22%    3    5    5    2    1    1   32  2-1

  Batting order: Liverpool BC (home) batted second; Montréal Cannery SARL batted first.
  First pitch 7:35 PM GMT. Weather: 59°F · Wind cross · Clear · Humid. seed 339202.
  Walk-Back runs: off Basham 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 11 Aleš Koubek Aleš Koubek (3B) 1–0
T 11 Aleš Koubek Conal Furness (2B) 2–0
T 18 Dalibor Pokorný Jesse Mainoo (3B) 3–0
T 18 Dalibor Pokorný Ollie Carter (3B) 4–0
T 21 Jesse Mainoo Aleš Koubek (2B) 5–0
T 26 Callum Toney Aleš Hranáč (2B) 6–0
T 26 Callum Toney Joel Zendejas (1B) 7–0
T 26 Salomón Escobar Callum Toney (3B) 8–0
T 26 Salomón Escobar Salomón Escobar (HR) 9–0
B 6 Fabio Williamson Olivier Fretz (3B) 9–1
B 6 Fabio Williamson Ranger Linárez (2B) 9–2
B 6 Fabio Williamson Aaron Service (1B) 9–3
B 6 Eamon Kelly Fabio Williamson (2B) 9–4
B 10 Ranger Linárez Eamon Kelly (3B) 9–5
B 10 Ranger Linárez Andrew Kirby (2B) 9–6
B 14 Aaron Service Aaron Service (HR) 9–7
B 14 Rovman Mariappa Aaron Service (3B) 9–8
B 18 Olivier Fretz Ranger Linárez (2B) 9–9
B 19 Alexis Bushamuka Olivier Fretz (2B) 9–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Munro Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 344' · CF 429' · RF 298' · 33' wall). Short Porch (Right).
The Porch Crow's Nest Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Montréal Cannery SARL — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
344' 429' 298' Wall 33' Aleš Hranáč — single · EV 88 mph · LA +2° · 84 ft Wesley Blanton — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -5° · 84 ft Aleš Koubek — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 283 ft Aleš Koubek — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -5° · 84 ft Donal O'Reilly — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -3° · 87 ft Jesse Mainoo — single · EV 84 mph · LA +13° · 125 ft Dalibor Pokorný — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 254 ft Ollie Carter — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 154 ft Conal Furness — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -17° · 84 ft Donal O'Reilly — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +24° · 188 ft Jesse Mainoo — single · EV 108 mph · LA +8° · 102 ft Callum Toney — double · EV 96 mph · LA +22° · 260 ft Salomón Escobar — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +32° · 480 ft
Liverpool BC — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
344' 429' 298' Wall 33' Nehemiah Etta — double · EV 112 mph · LA +23° · 360 ft Eamon Kelly — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Oisin Lynch — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -11° · 70 ft Olivier Fretz — single · EV 111 mph · LA +17° · 273 ft Fabio Williamson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 374 ft Rovman Mariappa — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA +5° · 61 ft Ranger Linárez — single · EV 69 mph · LA +17° · 106 ft Aaron Service — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +43° · 434 ft Dominik Hašek — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +35° · 224 ft Eamon Kelly — error · EV 91 mph · LA +18° · 198 ft Alexis Bushamuka — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -13° · 79 ft Oisin Lynch — line_out · EV 68 mph · LA +19° · 117 ft Fabio Williamson — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +8° · 94 ft Olivier Fretz — double · EV 88 mph · LA +32° · 277 ft Andrew Kirby — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +37° · 348 ft Alexis Bushamuka — single · EV 93 mph · LA -15° · 89 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Montréal Cannery SARL
39% deserve-to-win  ·  7.9 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +1.1 vs expected
contact: 11.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dalibor Pokorný 100 / +20° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Salomón Escobar 119 / +32° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.96
Ollie Carter 88 / +15° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Callum Toney 96 / +22° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Aleš Hranáč 88 / +2° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Liverpool BC
61% deserve-to-win  ·  10.0 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 16.2 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (-2.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Andrew Kirby 95 / +37° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.57
Olivier Fretz 88 / +32° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Eamon Kelly 91 / +18° Center Reached on Error 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Fabio Williamson 90 / +8° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Olivier Fretz 111 / +17° Center Single 1.7 → 1 -0.69
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