==============================================================================
Beavers 1, Stars 0                                          2026-09-04 · #1580
at The Oval
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Nashville               0    0    3    0
Portland                1    1    1    1

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Karouani    1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Cooper      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Santama ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hansen      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Sappington  3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fusano      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Gaubert pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Spence      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mendez      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Beers       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Burani  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Trujillo    p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
  d-Gayton  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Coupe   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Santiago    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   0   3   0   0   0   0   1  13   0   1  0.115
  CS: Trujillo (2).
  GIDP: Sappington (5), Gayton (9).
  a-Singled for Cooper in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Fusano in the 5th.
  c-Struck out for Beers in the 7th.
  d-Grounded out for Trujillo in the 7th.
  e-Struck out in the 9th.

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Turenne     rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Tessema     2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Waston  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Aktaş       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fuenzalida  lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Clement     ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Hydrick     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Briaud      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Holzworth   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Laprovíttol p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Harper  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  11   1   1   0   0   0   1   2   8   0   0  0.091
  SB: Waston (9).
  E: Tessema (7).
  a-Ran for Tessema in the 3rd.
  b-Struck out in the 4th.

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Trujillo ............     9    8   39  4.3    0    0    0    2    6    0    -
Forrest (L, 5-12) ...     3    2   10  3.3    1    1    1    0    2    0  2-1

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Laprovíttola ........     8    8   35  4.4    1    0    0    0    5    0    -
Ives (W, 1-3) .......     7    8   28  4.0    1    0    0    0    2    0    -
Hsiung ..............     7    7   21  3.0    1    0    0    0    3    0    -
Agunloye ............     3    2   11  3.7    0    0    0    1    1    0    -
Takeda ..............     2    2    6  3.0    0    0    0    0    2    0  1-0

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-10)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Trujillo (Outs 1-8) → Forrest (Outs 9-10)
CATCHER (C)       | Mendez (Outs 1-10)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-10)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Fusano (Outs 1-10)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sappington (Outs 1-10)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Spence (Outs 1-10)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-10)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Beers (Outs 1-10)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Hansen (Outs 1-10)

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Laprovíttola (Outs 1-8) → Ives (Outs 9-16) → Hsiung (Outs 17-23) → Agunloye (Outs 24-25) → Takeda (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Holzworth (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Clement (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fuenzalida (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Briaud (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Turenne (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Beavers (home) batted second; Stars batted first.
  First pitch 6:40 PM PT. Weather: 70°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 212917.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.11    Peak faced 0.12
    27 outs left: 0.11
    18 outs left: 0.17
     9 outs left: 0.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 10 Levar De Turenne Agustín Waston (3B) 0–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.11
Peak faced 0.12
27 outs left 0.11
18 outs left 0.17
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Oval's actual outfield dimensions (LF 326' · CF 455' · RF 395' · 14' wall). Cavernous.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Stars — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Khosilot El Karouani — single · EV 78 mph · LA +20° · 156 ft Derlis Trujillo — single · EV 80 mph · LA +8° · 76 ft Nestor Santamaría — single · EV 85 mph · LA +13° · 124 ft Edwin Gayton — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Facundo Mendez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 225 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -24° · 72 ft Tracy Fusano — error · EV 56 mph · LA +0° · 54 ft Wallace Sappington — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Khosilot El Karouani — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA -21° · 51 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -2° · 55 ft Wallace Sappington — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA -18° · 58 ft
Beavers — Batted Balls
2 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Levar De Turenne — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 85 ft Levar De Turenne — single · EV 74 mph · LA +12° · 86 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stars
0% deserve-to-win  ·  -0.0 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 2.5 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Derlis Trujillo 80 / +8° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.69
Khosilot El Karouani 78 / +20° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Nestor Santamaría 85 / +13° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.42
Sean Spence 76 / -24° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
Wallace Sappington 76 / -2° Oppo Double Play 0.2 → 0 -0.23
Beavers
100% deserve-to-win  ·  1.0 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  as expected
contact: 0.9 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (+0.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Levar De Turenne 74 / +12° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Levar De Turenne 76 / +11° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →