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Hermosillo BC 12, Thessaloniki Police 9                     2046-05-08 · #1722
at Hermosillo Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Thessaloniki            9    9   16    0
Hermosillo             12   12   13    0

THESSALONIKI POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Levering    ss ......    4   1   3   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.750
Liz         2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Rainey      rf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Venkatesan  1b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Gourriel    lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Alarcón     3b ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Chu         cf ......    3   1   2   0   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
  a-Marte   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Correa      p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Barron  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Liao    c  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.250
Santiago    j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Watley      j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Suero       j  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  34   9  16   2   2   0   9   3   8   0   0  0.471
  2B: Venkatesan (2), Suero (6).
  3B: Levering (3), Chu (1).
  SB: Liao (2), Levering (9).
  GIDP: Liao (1).
  a-Ran for Chu in the 8th.
  b-Struck out for Correa in the 8th.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Probst      rf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.667
Lannoy      lf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Cota        ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sharipov    c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Watling     cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Gallatin    3b ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Fleishman   1b ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Anthony     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Moriwake    p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   2  1.000
Salinas     j  ......    2   3   2   2   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
O'Malley    j  ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Strachan    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32  12  13   3   0   0  11   6  11   0   2  0.406
  2B: Lannoy (12), Salinas 2 (7).
  SB: Gallatin (5).
  CS: Watling (8).
  HBP: Watling (1).


THESSALONIKI POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Correa (L, 0-1) .....    22   14  52%    7    7    7    5    6    0   85    -
Zator ...............    17   13  48%    6    5    5    1    5    0   57  2-1

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moriwake (W, 5-2) ...    32   23  85%   15    7    7    3    6    0  102    -
Loftin (F, 8) .......     5    4  15%    1    2    2    0    2    0   23  2-2

  Batting order: Hermosillo BC (home) batted first; Thessaloniki Police batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 74°F · Wind in · Clear · Light rain · Dry. seed 679179.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Tom Watling Quincy Probst (3B) 0–1
B 2 Troy Gallatin Fernando de Lannoy (3B) 0–2
B 4 Warren Salinas Troy Gallatin (3B) 0–3
B 5 Kō Moriwake Stuart Fleishman (3B) 0–4
B 8 Fernando de Lannoy Warren Salinas (3B) 0–5
B 14 Mitchell O'Malley Stuart Fleishman (2B) 0–6
B 14 Kō Moriwake Warren Salinas (2B) 0–7
B 14 Quincy Probst Mitchell O'Malley (2B) 0–8
B 22 Warren Salinas Alen Sharipov (2B) 0–9
B 22 Warren Salinas Tom Watling (1B) 0–10
B 22 Kō Moriwake Warren Salinas (3B) 0–11
B 23 Quincy Probst Mitchell O'Malley (2B) 0–12
T 0 Chia-hong Liao Jacob Levering (3B) 1–12
T 5 Do-hyun Chu Liona Rainey (3B) 2–12
T 8 Liona Rainey Dixon Correa (3B) 3–12
T 15 Do-hyun Chu Leonys Alarcón (1B) 4–12
T 17 Chia-hong Liao Do-hyun Chu (3B) 5–12
T 21 Krishnan Venkatesan Russell Watley (2B) 6–12
T 23 Hanley Suero Leonys Alarcón (3B) 7–12
T 24 Jacob Levering Hanley Suero (2B) 8–12
T 24 Chia-hong Liao Dagoberto Marte (3B) 9–12
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hermosillo Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 365' · CF 486' · RF 378' · 20' wall). Cavernous.
Wire Basket
Thessaloniki Police — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 12 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
365' 486' 378' Wall 20' Jacob Levering — triple · EV 112 mph · LA +21° · 335 ft Chia-hong Liao — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 221 ft Junior Liz — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +2° · 70 ft Liona Rainey — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA -4° · 61 ft Kendrys Gourriel — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 151 ft Leonys Alarcón — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +48° · 171 ft Do-hyun Chu — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -6° · 60 ft Dixon Correa — single · EV 77 mph · LA +15° · 117 ft Russell Watley — single · EV 80 mph · LA +6° · 76 ft Nicholas Santiago — single · EV 86 mph · LA -13° · 82 ft Hanley Suero — single · EV 99 mph · LA -4° · 94 ft Jacob Levering — single · EV 94 mph · LA +22° · 244 ft Chia-hong Liao — single · EV 94 mph · LA +3° · 89 ft Liona Rainey — single · EV 82 mph · LA +6° · 78 ft Leonys Alarcón — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 153 ft Do-hyun Chu — triple · EV 103 mph · LA +20° · 275 ft Russell Watley — single · EV 87 mph · LA +18° · 174 ft Nicholas Santiago — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +1° · 67 ft Krishnan Venkatesan — double · EV 104 mph · LA +33° · 392 ft Hanley Suero — double · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 175 ft Chia-hong Liao — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +28° · 135 ft Do-hyun Chu — single · EV 63 mph · LA -14° · 60 ft Jacob Levering — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 156 ft Chia-hong Liao — double_play · EV 80 mph · LA -2° · 76 ft Junior Liz — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 10 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
365' 486' 378' Wall 20' Fernando de Lannoy — single · EV 93 mph · LA +16° · 186 ft Tom Watling — single · EV 103 mph · LA +9° · 137 ft Troy Gallatin — single · EV 87 mph · LA +19° · 191 ft Warren Salinas — double · EV 106 mph · LA +16° · 240 ft Quincy Probst — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 355 ft Mitchell O'Malley — single · EV 82 mph · LA -14° · 77 ft Kō Moriwake — single · EV 89 mph · LA +8° · 92 ft Stuart Fleishman — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 382 ft Stefan Cota — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 220 ft Tom Watling — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -0° · 62 ft Troy Gallatin — single · EV 97 mph · LA +5° · 92 ft Quincy Probst — single · EV 96 mph · LA +6° · 91 ft Soane Strachan — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -10° · 87 ft Warren Salinas — double · EV 101 mph · LA +10° · 143 ft Mitchell O'Malley — single · EV 82 mph · LA +23° · 189 ft Alen Sharipov — single · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 74 ft Quincy Probst — single · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Fernando de Lannoy — double · EV 104 mph · LA +17° · 238 ft Stefan Cota — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -2° · 69 ft Troy Gallatin — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +29° · 144 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Thessaloniki Police
47% deserve-to-win  ·  9.7 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 16.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 22.0 (+5.6 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Do-hyun Chu 103 / +20° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.47
Chia-hong Liao 96 / +18° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Jacob Levering 112 / +21° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.31
Hanley Suero 92 / +16° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.15
Do-hyun Chu 63 / -14° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Hermosillo BC
53% deserve-to-win  ·  10.4 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 15.6 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+0.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Stuart Fleishman 100 / +36° Pull Out 2.1 → 0 -2.13
Quincy Probst 100 / +31° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Alen Sharipov 77 / +2° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Quincy Probst 76 / +3° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Warren Salinas 101 / +10° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.71
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