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Johannesburg BC 17, Goldzma Drillers 16                     2046-05-11 · #1843
at Budiman Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Johannesburg           17   17   10    0
Goldzma                16   16   14    0

JOHANNESBURG BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cottrillov  2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Carmona ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jeffersonov lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Moon    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Pillai      rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Abdullah    1b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Hirano      cf ......    2   3   1   0   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.500
Chua        3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Seol        ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Iwabuch pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Yamazaki    p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   .000
  d-Aguilar 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Neuer   ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Luân    ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Khalkh      j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Phomvihane  j  ......    3   3   3   0   0   1   4   1   0   0   0  1.000
Stott       j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.000
Totals                  25  17  10   2   0   2  17   8   8   0   2  0.400
  2B: Abdullah (8), Luân (1).
  HR: Phomvihane (2), off Harris; Hirano (2), off Randlin.
  CS: Abdullah (3).
  HBP: Jeffersonov (1), Pillai (3), Hirano (2).
  a-Struck out for Cottrillov in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Jeffersonov in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Seol in the 6th.
  d-Entered at 3B in the 7th.
  e-Walked for Iwabuchi in the 7th.
  f-Doubled in the 7th.

GOLDZMA DRILLERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Shamayko    cf ......    3   3   3   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Moore       1b ......    3   3   2   1   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.667
Ryang       ss ......    4   2   3   2   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.750
Basavareddi lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Jenningsov  rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Jonesov     c  ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mandlikov   3b ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Harris      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Natyazh pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Reeve   ph ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Vanegas     j  ......    4   2   3   2   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.750
Vines-Brigh j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  35  16  14   6   0   3  16   5  11   0   0  0.400
  2B: Moore (7), Ryang 2 (10), Jonesov (4), Vanegas 2 (14).
  HR: Moore (5), off Yamazaki; Ryang (1), off Lkhagva; Mandlikov (1), off Yamazaki.
  SB: Jenningsov (5).
  CS: Moore (3), Jenningsov (4).
  HBP: Moore (2).
  a-Ran for Harris in the 8th.
  b-Batted in the 1st.

JOHANNESBURG BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yamazaki ............     8    4  15%    3    5    4    2    3    2   28    -
Dimaporo (W, 3-2) ...    15   10  37%    6    5    4    1    3    0   52  1-1
Lkhagva .............    16   10  37%    5    6    5    2    4    1   64    -
Teacher .............     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    2    0   12  1-0

GOLDZMA DRILLERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Harris (L, 0-2) .....    17   11  41%    5    7    7    3    4    1   67    -
Suniaga .............     4    1   4%    2    3    2    1    0    0   14  1-1
Randlin .............     9    7  26%    1    4    4    2    2    1   31  1-0
Martinez ............     4    1   4%    1    2    1    2    1    0    8  1-1
Otton ...............     2    1   4%    1    1    1    0    1    0    5  2-1

  Batting order: Goldzma Drillers (home) batted first; Johannesburg BC batted second.
  First pitch 8:10 PM MAGT. Weather: 39°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Dry. seed 361783.
  Walk-Back runs: off Yamazaki 1, off Dimaporo 1, off Lkhagva 1, off Suniaga 1, off Martinez 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Alastair Moore Daniil Shamayko (1B) 0–1
B 0 Alastair Moore Alastair Moore (HR) 0–2
B 4 Quincy Jonesov Alastair Moore (3B) 0–3
B 4 Dann Mandlikov Quincy Jonesov (2B) 0–4
B 4 Dann Mandlikov Dann Mandlikov (HR) 0–5
B 4 Rodolfo Vanegas Dann Mandlikov (3B) 0–6
B 6 Daniil Shamayko Rodolfo Vanegas (3B) 0–7
B 7 Ji-ho Ryang Daniil Shamayko (2B) 0–8
B 10 Quincy Jonesov Jed Basavareddin (2B) 0–9
B 11 Rodolfo Vanegas Quincy Jonesov (1B) 0–10
B 14 Ji-ho Ryang Alastair Moore (1B) 0–11
B 21 Daniil Shamayko Rodolfo Vanegas (2B) 0–12
B 21 Alastair Moore Eduard Natyazhko (3B) 0–13
B 21 Alastair Moore Daniil Shamayko (2B) 0–14
B 22 Ji-ho Ryang Ji-ho Ryang (HR) 0–15
B 23 Davion Reeve Ji-ho Ryang (3B) 0–16
T 2 Alexander Jeffersonov Vongphachanh Phomvihane (3B) 1–16
T 3 Hafiz Abdullah Alexander Jeffersonov (2B) 2–16
T 3 Hafiz Abdullah Antoniy Cottrillov (1B) 3–16
T 9 Alexander Jeffersonov Naoto Yamazaki (3B) 4–16
T 11 Vongphachanh Phomvihane Chuluunbaatar Khalkh (3B) 5–16
T 11 Vongphachanh Phomvihane Pranav Pillai (1B) 6–16
T 11 Vongphachanh Phomvihane Vongphachanh Phomvihane (HR) 7–16
T 11 Hafiz Abdullah Vongphachanh Phomvihane (3B) 8–16
T 11 Yong-jin Seol Hafiz Abdullah (3B) 9–16
T 11 Yong-jin Seol Kōki Hirano (2B) 10–16
T 19 Kōki Hirano Yoshikatsu Iwabuchi (3B) 11–16
T 19 Kōki Hirano Chuluunbaatar Khalkh (2B) 12–16
T 19 Kōki Hirano Min-jun Moon (1B) 13–16
T 19 Kōki Hirano Kōki Hirano (HR) 14–16
T 20 Vũ Luân Kōki Hirano (3B) 15–16
T 20 Vũ Luân Etienne Neuer (1B) 16–16
T 21 Vongphachanh Phomvihane Vũ Luân (2B) 17–16
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Budiman Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 353' · CF 411' · RF 353' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Flag Pole in Play
Johannesburg BC — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 2 HR
353' 411' 353' Vongphachanh Phomvihane — single · EV 88 mph · LA +2° · 84 ft Wilker Aguilar — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -5° · 87 ft Alexander Jeffersonov — single · EV 96 mph · LA -8° · 91 ft Hafiz Abdullah — double · EV 118 mph · LA +16° · 286 ft Chuluunbaatar Khalkh — single · EV 88 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Vũ Luân — double · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 379 ft Ariki Stott — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 155 ft Alexander Jeffersonov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Vongphachanh Phomvihane — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +44° · 454 ft Hafiz Abdullah — single · EV 88 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Yong-jin Seol — single · EV 78 mph · LA +17° · 139 ft Wilker Aguilar — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 266 ft Kōki Hirano — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +28° · 390 ft Ariki Stott — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -13° · 78 ft Hafiz Abdullah — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 138 ft Vongphachanh Phomvihane — single · EV 90 mph · LA -8° · 86 ft
Goldzma Drillers — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 5 1B · 6 XBH · 3 HR
353' 411' 353' Alastair Moore — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +33° · 367 ft Quincy Jonesov — double · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 312 ft Dann Mandlikov — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 392 ft Rodolfo Vanegas — double · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 326 ft Donald Vines-Brightov — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -2° · 86 ft Daniil Shamayko — single · EV 112 mph · LA +23° · 358 ft Jackson Jenningsov — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -28° · 75 ft Ji-ho Ryang — double · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 309 ft Quincy Jonesov — single · EV 80 mph · LA -13° · 76 ft Dann Mandlikov — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 180 ft Rodolfo Vanegas — double · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 161 ft Daniil Shamayko — infield_single · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Ji-ho Ryang — double · EV 105 mph · LA +17° · 253 ft Davion Reeve — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 179 ft Quincy Jonesov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Rodolfo Vanegas — single · EV 114 mph · LA +4° · 108 ft Daniil Shamayko — single · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 217 ft Alastair Moore — double · EV 100 mph · LA +33° · 365 ft Ji-ho Ryang — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +29° · 394 ft Davion Reeve — fly_out · EV 112 mph · LA +22° · 349 ft Quincy Jonesov — ground_out · EV 115 mph · LA +6° · 109 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Johannesburg BC
52% deserve-to-win  ·  14.1 expected runs
actual 17 runs  ·  +2.9 vs expected
contact: 16.3 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (+1.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kōki Hirano 109 / +28° Oppo Home Run 2.4 → 4 +1.63
Wilker Aguilar 100 / +21° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.53
Hafiz Abdullah 100 / +10° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.28
Ariki Stott 88 / +15° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Chuluunbaatar Khalkh 88 / -9° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Goldzma Drillers
48% deserve-to-win  ·  13.5 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +2.5 vs expected
contact: 24.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 29.0 (+4.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.0 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ji-ho Ryang 108 / +29° Oppo Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Alastair Moore 100 / +33° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.87
Dann Mandlikov 100 / +39° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.87
Davion Reeve 112 / +22° Center Out 1.8 → 0 -1.75
Rodolfo Vanegas 88 / +16° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.15
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