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Caracas Independence Brewery 4, Pan Am Mountaineers 3        2046-04-17 · #764
at Barquisimeto Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Caracas                 4    4    4    0
Barquisimeto            3    3    5    0

CARACAS INDEPENDENCE BREWERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Almonte     lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Goodwin     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Marte   rf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Inoue   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Vargas  c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Sosa    3b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Porozo      j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Maeda-Silva j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   6   4   4   3   0   0   3   2   0   0   0  0.667
  2B: Sosa (1), Porozo (8), Maeda-Silva (9).
  a-Entered at RF in the 6th.
  b-Entered at SS in the 7th.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.
  d-Entered at 3B in the 9th.

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Feliz       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tomita-Alme ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Heredia     cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Riccobono   lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Vargas      2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cruz        1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bautista    3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Firmino     rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   1  1.000
Féliz       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Melo        j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Sampaio     j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Paniagua    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  25   3   5   0   0   0   3   4  11   0   2  0.200
  SB: Sampaio (3).
  HBP: Bautista (1).
  Squeeze: Firmino (1 RBI).


CARACAS INDEPENDENCE BREWERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Santos (W, 3-0) .....    30   27 100%    5    3    3    4   11    0  113    -

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Féliz (L, 0-3) ......     8    2   7%    4    4    4    2    0    0   29    -

  Batting order: Pan Am Mountaineers (home) batted first; Caracas Independence Brewery batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 59°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 366508.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Aymeric Riccobono Ronaldo Sampaio (3B) 0–1
B 6 Sérgio Firmino Sandy Heredia (3B) 0–2
B 18 Sérgio Firmino Víctor Vargas (2B) 0–3
T 0 Hernesto Porozo Vladimir Marte (2B) 1–3
T 0 Felipe Inoue Hernesto Porozo (3B) 2–3
T 1 Adrián Almonte Renato Maeda-Silva (3B) 3–3
T 2 Francisco Sosa Adrián Almonte (2B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Barquisimeto Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 445' · RF 354' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Caracas Independence Brewery — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 1 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
347' 445' 354' Hernesto Porozo — double · EV 91 mph · LA +16° · 173 ft Renato Maeda-Silva — double · EV 96 mph · LA +16° · 200 ft Felipe Inoue — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +49° · 285 ft Adrián Almonte — single · EV 96 mph · LA +13° · 156 ft Francisco Sosa — double · EV 93 mph · LA +26° · 269 ft
Pan Am Mountaineers — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
347' 445' 354' Ronaldo Sampaio — single · EV 76 mph · LA -23° · 72 ft Néstor Paniagua — single · EV 85 mph · LA +22° · 198 ft Eloy Feliz — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +14° · 120 ft Aymeric Riccobono — single · EV 67 mph · LA +16° · 94 ft Karl-Anthony Cruz — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +33° · 249 ft Sandy Heredia — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +10° · 86 ft Sérgio Firmino — single · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 86 ft Francisco Melo — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -3° · 90 ft Ronaldo Sampaio — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -4° · 53 ft Víctor Vargas — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Francisco Melo — single · EV 74 mph · LA +12° · 88 ft Néstor Paniagua — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Eloy Feliz — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -11° · 84 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Caracas Independence Brewery
45% deserve-to-win  ·  3.5 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 4.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+2.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Francisco Sosa 93 / +26° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Hernesto Porozo 91 / +16° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Renato Maeda-Silva 96 / +16° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Felipe Inoue 85 / +49° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.20
Adrián Almonte 96 / +13° Oppo Single 1.2 → 1 -0.18
Pan Am Mountaineers
55% deserve-to-win  ·  3.8 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.8 vs expected
contact: 5.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ronaldo Sampaio 76 / -23° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Eloy Feliz 80 / +14° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Sandy Heredia 80 / +10° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Aymeric Riccobono 67 / +16° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Karl-Anthony Cruz 82 / +33° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
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