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Astros 7, Stars 5                                            2026-06-13 · #769
at Meadow Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Nashville               5    5    6    1
Houston                 7    7    5    0

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gayton      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Ruiz    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cantey      c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Gaubert pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Forrest     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Cooper      lf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Gamboa  pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Fusano      3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Hansen      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Spence      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Torrero     2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  d-Caballe pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Cubillán    1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
  e-Sapping ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Morariu     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Giannou     j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  28   5   6   2   0   0   4   4   8   0   1  0.214
  2B: Cooper (15), Giannou (3).
  SB: Gaubert (8), Gamboa (4), Forrest 2 (4), Fusano (2), Torrero (1).
  CS: Gaubert (3), Forrest 2 (6).
  E: Gaubert (2).
  HBP: Forrest 2 (2).
  GIDP: Gaubert (2).
  Squeeze: Cubillán (1 RBI).
  a-Walked for Gayton in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Cantey in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Cooper in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Torrero in the 9th.
  e-Grounded out in the 9th.

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Patridge    cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Rivas   ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Morales     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Braun       ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gómez       2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Hoffken     3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Edmonso pr ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Takada      lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Wiesner     c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Humphreys   rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Basham      p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Colón   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Borges  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Thom    pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Henríqu pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Trejo       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Valencia    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Oliveira    j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   7   5   2   0   0   5   8  12   0   0  0.200
  2B: Braun (10), Edmonson (3).
  HBP: Morales (2), Takada (2), Humphreys (2).
  GIDP: Rivas (2).
  a-Batted for Patridge in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Hoffken in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Basham in the 3rd.
  d-Walked in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 4th.
  f-Ran in the 4th.

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Forrest .............    19   13  48%    3    3    1    5    4    0   83    -
Kekahuna (L, 1-2) ...    13   11  41%    2    4    4    2    5    0   50  3-2
Ginóbili ............     4    3  11%    0    0    0    1    3    0   15  1-0

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Basham (W, 5-4) .....    15   14  52%    3    3    3    1    2    0   51    -
Berger ..............    14   11  41%    2    1    1    2    6    0   50    -
Francavilla .........     4    2   7%    1    1    1    1    0    0   17  2-1

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Forrest (Outs 1-13) → Kekahuna (Outs 14-24) → Ginóbili (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cantey (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cubillán (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Torrero (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Fusano (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Spence (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gayton (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Hansen (Outs 1-27)

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Basham (Outs 1-14) → Berger (Outs 15-25) → Francavilla (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Wiesner (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morales (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gómez (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Braun (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Takada (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Patridge (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Humphreys (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Astros (home) batted first; Stars batted second.
  First pitch 5:00 PM CT. Weather: 77°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 114254.
  Powerplays: Stars — Ruiz NF (O13)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 10 Devron Borges Alexis Edmonson (3B) 0–1
B 13 Masamichi Takada Korey Humphreys (3B) 0–2
B 13 Zane Wiesner Marcelo Oliveira (3B) 0–3
B 18 Mayer Gómez Masamichi Takada (3B) 0–4
B 18 Alexis Edmonson Zane Wiesner (3B) 0–5
B 18 Alexis Edmonson Mayer Gómez (1B) 0–6
B 22 Scoville Rivas Scoville Rivas (3B) 0–7
T 1 Bruno Cooper Oliver Cantey (1B) 1–7
T 6 Edwin Gayton Bruno Cooper (3B) 2–7
T 13 Haxzel Cubillán Manuel Gamboa (3B) 3–7
T 24 Samuel Giannou Tony Caballero (3B) 4–7
T 26 Manuel Gamboa Samuel Giannou (3B) 5–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 374' · CF 430' · RF 367' · 8' wall). The Hourglass.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Ivy Wall
Stars — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
374' 430' 367' Bruno Cooper — double · EV 94 mph · LA +14° · 163 ft Tracy Fusano — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 99 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -10° · 54 ft Elias Torrero — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +27° · 273 ft Haxzel Cubillán — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +6° · 88 ft Oliver Cantey — single · EV 89 mph · LA +7° · 85 ft Jaime Gaubert — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA +5° · 64 ft Nat Morariu — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +38° · 310 ft Wallace Sappington — fielders_choice · EV 55 mph · LA -7° · 52 ft Bruno Cooper — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA -12° · 70 ft Tracy Fusano — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +11° · 99 ft Bradley Hansen — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 288 ft Elias Torrero — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 217 ft Samuel Giannou — double · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 120 ft Nat Morariu — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 222 ft Manuel Gamboa — single · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft Elias Torrero — single · EV 92 mph · LA -7° · 87 ft
Astros — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
374' 430' 367' Jeyland Morales — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +15° · 90 ft Brayan Braun — double · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 290 ft Jerome Basham — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 169 ft Maxi Valencia — line_out · EV 61 mph · LA +13° · 66 ft Mayer Gómez — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 255 ft Marcelo Oliveira — error · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Rubén Colón — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +50° · 228 ft Alexis Edmonson — double · EV 92 mph · LA +50° · 334 ft Zane Wiesner — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 168 ft Scoville Rivas — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 76 ft Masamichi Takada — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +31° · 96 ft Scoville Rivas — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 73 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stars
46% deserve-to-win  ·  6.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 7.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 6 SB · 3 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bruno Cooper 94 / +14° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Samuel Giannou 92 / +10° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Nat Morariu 89 / +38° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Elias Torrero 92 / +27° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Bradley Hansen 92 / +29° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Astros
54% deserve-to-win  ·  6.9 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 5.5 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+1.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alexis Edmonson 92 / +50° Center Double 0.5 → 2 +1.46
Brayan Braun 92 / +29° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Mayer Gómez 92 / +24° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Scoville Rivas 76 / +10° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Scoville Rivas 76 / +9° Center Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.48
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