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Dodgers 9, Red Sox 7                                         2026-06-14 · #788
at Wold Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Boston                  7    7    3    0
Los Angeles             9    9    9    1

RED SOX
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Suazo       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kean        c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Merrill     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Venegas     ss ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Pfister     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Randall pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Harrell     rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Norton      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cameron     3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Waston  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ospina      p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
  c-Reyes   ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Hack    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Chang   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Hodges  pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Inniss      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Malard      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Strachan    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  28   7   3   0   0   0   4   8  17   0   1  0.107
  GIDP: Chang (4).
  a-Ran for Pfister in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Cameron in the 3rd.
  c-Batted for Ospina in the 2nd.
  d-Walked for Waston in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Ran in the 4th.

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Roby        1b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Gilbert pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bertrams    rf ......    2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Ochoa       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Boyajya ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Heinrich    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mokiao-Atim lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Eggleston   3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Manaia      c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  c-Querrey pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Gerardy     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Swanson     cf ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Richey  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Lepchen pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Gleason ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Richard pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Guarner ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Abbott      j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kromah      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   9   9   3   0   3   9   1   5   0   0  0.346
  2B: Roby (8), Eggleston (6), Boyajyan (10).
  HR: Bertrams (3), off Schellenger; Mokiao-Atimalala (2), off Schellenger; Abbott (2), off Ospina.
  SB: Lepchenko (4).
  E: Roby (2).
  GIDP: Gleason (1), Mokiao-Atimalala (3).
  a-Ran for Roby in the 3rd.
  b-Doubled for Ochoa in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Manaia in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Swanson in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Guarnera in the 6th.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Ran for Boyajyan in the 8th.
  h-Walked for Gilbert in the 3rd.

RED SOX PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ospina (L, 2-3) .....    11    7  26%    4    4    4    0    1    1   41    -
Mbakwe ..............     6    4  15%    2    2    1    1    1    0   20  1-1
Schellenger .........    10    8  30%    3    3    3    0    3    2   38  1-0

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Heinrich ............     7    5  19%    1    2    2    2    2    0   31    -
Arozarena (W, 2-0) ..    17   13  48%    2    3    3    3    9    0   67  2-0
McDuffie ............    11    9  33%    0    2    2    3    6    0   46  2-1

RED SOX DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-19)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ospina (Outs 1-7) → Mbakwe (Outs 8-11) → Schellenger (Outs 12-19)
CATCHER (C)       | Kean (Outs 1-19)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Norton (Outs 1-19)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suazo (Outs 1-19)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Cameron (Outs 1-19)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Venegas (Outs 1-19)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Merrill (Outs 1-19)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Pfister (Outs 1-19)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Harrell (Outs 1-19)

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Heinrich (Outs 1-5) → Arozarena (Outs 6-18) → McDuffie (Outs 19-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Manaia (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Roby (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Eggleston (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ochoa (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Swanson (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Bertrams (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Dodgers (home) batted second; Red Sox batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM PT. Weather: 97°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 856424.
  Walk-Back runs: off Mbakwe 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Pancho Pfister Stanley Kean (3B) 1–0
T 4 Robert Ospina Kervin Venegas (3B) 2–0
T 13 Bernard Strachan Anderson Randall (3B) 3–0
T 13 Stanley Kean Agustín Waston (3B) 4–0
T 15 Jacob Hodges Jacob Hodges (3B) 5–0
T 21 Manuel Suazo Jhonny Reyes (3B) 6–0
T 25 Anderson Randall Kervin Venegas (3B) 7–0
B 7 Berkeley Abbott Dean Gilbert (3B) 7–1
B 7 Berkeley Abbott Colton Swanson (2B) 7–2
B 7 Berkeley Abbott Welby Richey (1B) 7–3
B 7 Berkeley Abbott Berkeley Abbott (HR) 7–4
B 7 Jed Boyajyan Berkeley Abbott (3B) 7–5
B 11 Lenny Eggleston Andy Lepchenko (3B) 7–6
B 13 Dylan Bertrams Dylan Bertrams (HR) 7–7
B 19 Ben Mokiao-Atimalala Daylan Querrey (1B) 7–8
B 19 Ben Mokiao-Atimalala Ben Mokiao-Atimalala (HR) 7–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wold Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 395' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Red Sox — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Stanley Kean — single · EV 78 mph · LA +2° · 74 ft Pancho Pfister — error · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Michail Norton — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +30° · 209 ft Bernard Strachan — infield_single · EV 66 mph · LA -2° · 62 ft Jacob Hodges — single · EV 81 mph · LA +14° · 120 ft Chien-hao Chang — double_play · EV 74 mph · LA +6° · 70 ft Manuel Suazo — fly_out · EV 61 mph · LA +31° · 130 ft
Dodgers — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 3 HR
338' 395' 346' Prakash Heinrich — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -10° · 75 ft Dylan Bertrams — line_out · EV 73 mph · LA +13° · 92 ft Lenny Eggleston — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +18° · 150 ft Hemi Manaia — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -14° · 58 ft Bautista Ochoa — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Eugene Roby — double · EV 98 mph · LA +40° · 377 ft Colton Swanson — single · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Berkeley Abbott — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +46° · 457 ft Jed Boyajyan — double · EV 95 mph · LA +43° · 361 ft Elliott Gleason — double_play · EV 57 mph · LA -14° · 54 ft Welby Richey — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Andy Lepchenko — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Colton Swanson — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 129 ft Hemi Manaia — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Lenny Eggleston — double · EV 102 mph · LA +18° · 240 ft Ben Mokiao-Atimalala — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 75 ft Dylan Bertrams — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +41° · 412 ft Hemi Manaia — single · EV 83 mph · LA -2° · 79 ft Ben Mokiao-Atimalala — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +31° · 399 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Red Sox
7% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +4.8 vs expected
contact: 1.8 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+1.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bernard Strachan 66 / -2° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Stanley Kean 78 / +2° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Jacob Hodges 81 / +14° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.41
Pancho Pfister 76 / +5° Center Reached on Error 0.3 → 0 -0.26
Chien-hao Chang 74 / +6° Oppo Double Play 0.3 → 0 -0.26
Dodgers
93% deserve-to-win  ·  7.7 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 17.0 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (+4.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ben Mokiao-Atimalala 106 / +31° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.97
Dylan Bertrams 102 / +41° Center Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
Colton Swanson 76 / -10° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Berkeley Abbott 107 / +46° Center Home Run 3.3 → 4 +0.70
Hemi Manaia 83 / -2° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
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