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Matanzas Tornados 12, Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths 6       2046-04-18 · #802
at The Funnel
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Matanzas               11      1   12   12    0
Cienfuegos              6      0    6    6    1

MATANZAS TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Castillo    lf ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.200
García      c  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Liriano     1b ......    5   2   2   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.400
Bareiro     rf ......    3   3   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.333
Núñez       ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Renner      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.000
Falcao      2b ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Arce        3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Luz         p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  1.000
  a-Suero   ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Mendes      j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  35  12  12   2   0   1   9   5   8   0   1  0.343
  2B: García (10), Falcao (1).
  HR: Liriano (6), off Paniagua.
  SB: García (4), Falcao (1).
  CS: Arce (1).
  GIDP: Falcao (1).
  a-Batted for Luz in the 7th.

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Carusa      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Encarnación c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Coronad ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Fazio       ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Severin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Difo        rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Rosas   ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Difo    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Zanetti ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Féliz   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Ramos   cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Zanetti ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  i-Arce    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Flores  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  k-Pérez   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  l-Liriano ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  m-Borges  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rodríguez   j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Anderson    j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  0.500
Valencia    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  27   6   6   0   0   0   4   5  12   1   0  0.222
  CS: Anderson (1).
  E: Carusa (2).
  HBP: Fazio (1).
  GIDP: Valencia (2).
  a-Batted for Encarnación in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Fazio in the 5th.
  c-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  d-Struck out in the 3rd.
  e-Struck out for Flores in the 9th.
  f-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  g-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  h-Entered at SS in the 7th.
  i-Ran for Rosas in the 5th.
  j-Struck out for Severino in the 5th.
  k-Singled for Féliz in the 6th.
  l-Struck out for Difo in the 6th.
  m-Ran in the 7th.

MATANZAS TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Luz (W, 1-1) ........    25   18  67%    5    4    4    5    7    0   92    -
Huertas (F, 9) ......     9    9  33%    1    2    2    0    5    0   34  3-1

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Paniagua ............     8    3  11%    3    3    2    1    3    1   40    -
Aedo (L, 0-2) .......    15   15  56%    2    3    3    1    2    0   45  2-1
Frías ...............    11    4  15%    5    3    3    2    2    0   41    -
Báez ................     6    5  19%    2    3    3    1    1    0   22  3-3

  Batting order: Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths (home) batted second; Matanzas Tornados batted first.
  Seconds: MT o26 (11-0), CNG o25 (6-11).
  First pitch 7:15 PM. Weather: 61°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain · Dry. seed 516900.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Chris Renner Welington García (3B) 1–0
T 2 Chris Renner James Liriano (3B) 2–0
T 4 Murilo Luz Cesar Bareiro (3B) 3–0
T 11 Andy Falcao Cesar Bareiro (1B) 4–0
T 13 Tony Castillo Andy Falcao (3B) 5–0
T 20 Tony Castillo Andy Falcao (3B) 6–0
T 20 Tony Castillo Luís Mendes (3B) 7–0
T 20 Welington García Vladimir Suero (3B) 8–0
T 21 Chris Renner Tony Castillo (3B) 9–0
T 23 Exequiel Arce Cesar Bareiro (3B) 10–0
T 26 Welington García Karl-Anthony Núñez (3B) 11–0
B 9 Rory Anderson Moisés Valencia (3B) 11–1
B 13 Cesar Rosas Fernando Severino (3B) 11–2
B 13 James Coronado Juan Ramos (3B) 11–3
B 16 Edwin Difo Sandro Zanetti (3B) 11–4
B 22 Ronan Carusa Carlos Arce (3B) 11–5
B 22 Carlos Arce Sérgio Borges (3B) 11–6
seconds_first 0 James Liriano James Liriano (HR) 12–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Funnel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 418' · RF 348' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall
Matanzas Tornados — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 9 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
346' 418' 348' James Liriano — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Cesar Bareiro — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft Chris Renner — error · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 231 ft Andy Falcao — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 189 ft Murilo Luz — single · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft Vladimir Suero — single · EV 79 mph · LA +12° · 102 ft Tony Castillo — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +30° · 205 ft James Liriano — line_out · EV 71 mph · LA +16° · 107 ft Karl-Anthony Núñez — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +27° · 206 ft Chris Renner — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +18° · 145 ft Andy Falcao — double · EV 97 mph · LA +20° · 245 ft Welington García — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 88 ft Cesar Bareiro — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +16° · 135 ft Tony Castillo — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +38° · 200 ft Chris Renner — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +18° · 170 ft Andy Falcao — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 169 ft Welington García — infield_single · EV 62 mph · LA +22° · 107 ft Tony Castillo — single · EV 63 mph · LA +25° · 122 ft Karl-Anthony Núñez — single · EV 81 mph · LA +4° · 77 ft Andy Falcao — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA -2° · 61 ft Exequiel Arce — single · EV 64 mph · LA +20° · 107 ft Welington García — double · EV 93 mph · LA +10° · 124 ft Tony Castillo — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +19° · 211 ft James Liriano — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +33° · 480 ft
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
346' 418' 348' Juan Rodríguez — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +20° · 266 ft Cesar Rosas — single · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Moisés Valencia — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Yefri Encarnación — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Rory Anderson — single · EV 83 mph · LA +13° · 120 ft Juan Ramos — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 210 ft Welington Pérez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 154 ft Carlos Arce — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Rory Anderson — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Moisés Valencia — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Ronan Carusa — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 159 ft Edwin Difo — single · EV 54 mph · LA +17° · 64 ft Moisés Valencia — fly_out · EV 55 mph · LA +30° · 104 ft Ronan Carusa — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 175 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Matanzas Tornados
89% deserve-to-win  ·  11.2 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 17.1 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (-0.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Welington García 93 / +10° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Chris Renner 92 / +22° Oppo Reached on Error 1.0 → 0 -1.02
Andy Falcao 92 / +17° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.02
Tony Castillo 93 / +19° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.02
Tony Castillo 63 / +25° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.82
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths
11% deserve-to-win  ·  4.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 6.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Juan Rodríguez 102 / +20° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Ronan Carusa 76 / +25° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Ronan Carusa 76 / +22° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Cesar Rosas 92 / +1° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Edwin Difo 54 / +17° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
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