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Braves 3, Diamondbacks 2                                     2026-06-19 · #830
at Arizona Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Atlanta                 3    3    4    1
Arizona                 2    2    7    0

BRAVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Alvelo      2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cocotos     ss ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Allison     1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sherman     lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ramon-Edwar 3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pollard     rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Molin       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   6   3   4   1   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.667
  2B: Cocotos (8).
  SB: Allison (1).
  E: Alvelo (5).


DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tanabe      lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Maupin      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
McNutt      ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Pope    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Martin      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Insigne ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Baxter      1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Kamara  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ullstrom    rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Monds       cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Caniza      2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Gronows pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Maikkula    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Schmelz ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Kruger  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Manasse     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Galekovic   j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Schwartz    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   2   7   0   0   0   2   2   9   0   0  0.241
  CS: Gronowski (11).
  GIDP: Maupin (2), Ullstrom (3), Monds (4), Galekovic (2).
  a-Ran for McNutt in the 5th.
  b-Singled for Martin in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Baxter in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Caniza in the 3rd.
  e-Grounded out for Maikkula in the 5th.
  f-Struck out in the 7th.

BRAVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Popovich ............     8    6  22%    4    1    1    0    1    0   26    -
Merrill (W, 1-2) ....    15   14  52%    1    1    1    1    4    0   47  2-0
Morrow ..............     7    7  26%    1    0    0    1    4    0   28  2-0

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Maikkula (L, 3-9) ...     5    2   7%    2    3    3    1    1    0   25    -

BRAVES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Popovich (Outs 1-6) → Merrill (Outs 7-20) → Morrow (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Molin (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Allison (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Alvelo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ramon-Edwards (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cocotos (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Sherman (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | —
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Pollard (Outs 1-27)

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-2)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Maikkula (Outs 1-2)
CATCHER (C)       | Maupin (Outs 1-2)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Baxter (Outs 1-2)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Caniza (Outs 1-2)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Martin (Outs 1-2)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | McNutt (Outs 1-2)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tanabe (Outs 1-2)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Monds (Outs 1-2)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Ullstrom (Outs 1-2)

  Batting order: Diamondbacks (home) batted first; Braves batted second.
  First pitch 6:40 PM MT. Weather: 89°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 501378.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Irving Ullstrom Miguel McNutt (3B) 0–1
B 8 Huntley Maupin Craig Kamara (3B) 0–2
T 0 Bruce Cocotos Cameron Allison (3B) 1–2
T 0 Bruce Cocotos Mirko Alvelo (1B) 2–2
T 1 Lyrik Molin Bruce Cocotos (3B) 3–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Arizona Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 340' · CF 429' · RF 341' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Ivy Wall
Braves — Batted Balls
3 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Cameron Allison — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Bruce Cocotos — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 162 ft Lyrik Molin — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Genta Tanabe — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 178 ft Huntley Maupin — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 78 ft Miguel McNutt — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 102 ft Thomas Martin — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 71 ft Shyheim Baxter — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 110 ft Owen Monds — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA -23° · 59 ft Yomar Caniza — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Ron Gronowski — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Will Galekovic — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Wallace Schmelzle — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Kurt Insigne — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 127 ft Genta Tanabe — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft Huntley Maupin — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +6° · 49 ft Miguel McNutt — fielders_choice · EV 58 mph · LA -7° · 55 ft Thomas Martin — error · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 104 ft Irving Ullstrom — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Owen Monds — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft Will Galekovic — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Huntley Maupin — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Braves
27% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 1.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+1.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bruce Cocotos 92 / +14° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Cameron Allison 76 / +16° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Lyrik Molin 76 / -1° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.23
Diamondbacks
73% deserve-to-win  ·  2.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Genta Tanabe 76 / +25° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.84
Yomar Caniza 92 / +6° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Genta Tanabe 76 / +18° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Miguel McNutt 76 / +13° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Shyheim Baxter 76 / +14° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
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