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Beavers 4, Orcas 3                                           2026-06-19 · #832
at The Oval
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                        1    R    H    E
Vancouver               3    3    1    0
Portland                4    4    5    0

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Valdivia    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Israel      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Badger      3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Whitley pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Peavy       cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Godín       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alonso-Corc rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Balotelli   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Kudla   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Irvin       1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Noonan  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Prince      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Millar  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Roker       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   3   1   0   0   0   3   1  17   0   1  0.038
  SB: Alonso-Corcelles (7).
  CS: Peavy (4).
  HBP: Peavy (2), Godín (2).
  a-Ran for Badger in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Balotelli in the 3rd.
  c-Batted for Irvin in the 3rd.
  d-Ran in the 4th.

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Harper      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Martín  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Clement     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lindsay     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rabess      rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Vahaly      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hydrick     c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.500
Tessema     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Guerra      cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Wolfe   pr ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Pawsat      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Zamora  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Schilli ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Smith   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Okey    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Redmayne    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Abate       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  21   4   5   2   0   0   4   5   9   0   1  0.238
  2B: Wolfe (4), Guerra (7).
  CS: Martín (14).
  a-Ran for Harper in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Guerra in the 4th.
  c-Struck out for Pawsat in the 6th.
  d-Walked in the 6th.
  e-Ran in the 7th.
  f-Ran for Schillig in the 4th.

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Israel (L, 1-7) .....    26   20  74%    5    4    4    5    9    0   91    -

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lindsay (W, 3-12) ...    29   27 100%    1    3    3    1   17    0  122    -

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-20)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Israel (Outs 1-20)
CATCHER (C)       | Godín (Outs 1-20)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Irvin (Outs 1-20)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Balotelli (Outs 1-20)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Badger (Outs 1-20)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Valdivia (Outs 1-20)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Prince (Outs 1-20)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Peavy (Outs 1-20)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alonso-Corcelles (Outs 1-20)

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lindsay (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Harper (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Pawsat (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vahaly (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Clement (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Guerra (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Rabess (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Beavers (home) batted second; Orcas batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 75°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 274258.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 10 Omar Godín Berkeley Whitley (3B) 1–0
T 18 Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles Andrea Peavy (3B) 2–0
T 22 Raziel Israel Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles (3B) 3–0
B 10 Wilmer Velazquez Rhyne Okey (3B) 3–1
B 14 Kyle Rabess Nicolas Martín (3B) 3–2
B 18 Xzavier Wolfe Ricki Smith (3B) 3–3
B 20 Ricki Smith Xzavier Wolfe (3B) 3–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Oval's actual outfield dimensions (LF 326' · CF 455' · RF 395' · 14' wall). Cavernous.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Orcas — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Moisés Valdivia — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 191 ft Raziel Israel — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Louis Badger — single · EV 79 mph · LA +14° · 116 ft Moisés Valdivia — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +46° · 338 ft Andrea Peavy — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -9° · 49 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — fielders_choice · EV 67 mph · LA -21° · 63 ft
Beavers — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Armel Lindsay — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +32° · 236 ft Kyle Rabess — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +26° · 298 ft Yadier Guerra — double · EV 104 mph · LA +20° · 279 ft Quinn Pawsat — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +12° · 94 ft Wilmer Velazquez — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +27° · 242 ft Xzavier Wolfe — double · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 179 ft Seleshi Abate — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +32° · 342 ft Ricki Smith — single · EV 98 mph · LA +5° · 93 ft Francisco Vahaly — ground_out · EV 105 mph · LA +10° · 145 ft Kyle Rabess — single · EV 78 mph · LA +17° · 139 ft Holcombe Hydrick — single · EV 84 mph · LA +12° · 113 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orcas
1% deserve-to-win  ·  0.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 2.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-1.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Moisés Valdivia 92 / +46° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Louis Badger 79 / +14° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Raziel Israel 76 / -7° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.23
Moisés Valdivia 76 / +28° Pull Out 0.1 → 0 -0.15
Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles 67 / -21° Oppo Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Beavers
99% deserve-to-win  ·  5.9 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.9 vs expected
contact: 8.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Francisco Vahaly 105 / +10° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.39
Xzavier Wolfe 92 / +16° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Kyle Rabess 98 / +26° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.07
Seleshi Abate 98 / +32° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.07
Ricki Smith 98 / +5° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
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