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Stars 1, Astros 0                                            2026-06-20 · #844
at Neviaser Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Houston                 0    0    3    0
Nashville               1    1    2    0

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rivas       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Braun       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Thom        c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gómez       1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Solórzano   2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Konig       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Humphreys   rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Arboled ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Herrera     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Carrington  p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Wiesner pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Patridg ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Edmonso pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Henríqu pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Valencia    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Oliveira    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Trejo       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   0   3   0   0   0   0   3  10   0   0  0.120
  SB: Edmonson (6).
  GIDP: Braun (4), Thom (2), Konig (1), Patridge (4).
  a-Batted for Humphreys in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Carrington in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 3rd.
  d-Ran in the 4th.
  e-Ran in the 7th.

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Karouani    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sappington  lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Spence      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  SB: Sappington (2).


ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Carrington (L, 5-4) .     3    1   4%    2    1    1    0    0    0   14    -

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kekahuna (W, 2-2) ...    27   27 100%    2    0    0    3   11    0   88    -

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-1)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Carrington (Outs 1-1)
CATCHER (C)       | Thom (Outs 1-1)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Gómez (Outs 1-1)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Solórzano (Outs 1-1)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rivas (Outs 1-1)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Braun (Outs 1-1)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Herrera (Outs 1-1)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Konig (Outs 1-1)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Humphreys (Outs 1-1)

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kekahuna (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | —
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | —
THIRD BASE (3B)   | —
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | —
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Sappington (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | —
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spence (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Stars (home) batted second; Astros batted first.
  First pitch 2:00 PM CT. Weather: 89°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 612440.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.11    Peak faced 0.12
    27 outs left: 0.11
    18 outs left: 0.00
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 1 Sean Spence Wallace Sappington (2B) 0–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.11
Peak faced 0.12
27 outs left 0.11
18 outs left 0.00
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Neviaser Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 279' · CF 373' · RF 278' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Astros — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
279' 373' 278' Scoville Rivas — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Mayer Gómez — fielders_choice · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft Butch Patridge — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 50 ft Alexis Edmonson — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA -12° · 56 ft Yasniel Arboleda — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Zane Wiesner — error · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Angel Henríquez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 121 ft Marcelo Oliveira — single · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 181 ft Brayan Braun — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft Cedrick Konig — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Brayan Braun — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 189 ft Iapani Thom — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA -3° · 87 ft
Stars — Batted Balls
2 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
279' 373' 278' Wallace Sappington — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 154 ft Sean Spence — single · EV 85 mph · LA +24° · 216 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Astros
77% deserve-to-win  ·  1.9 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -1.9 vs expected
contact: 2.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marcelo Oliveira 76 / +26° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Angel Henríquez 76 / +16° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Mayer Gómez 92 / +8° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Iapani Thom 92 / -3° Center Double Play 0.4 → 0 -0.39
Scoville Rivas 76 / +5° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.25
Stars
23% deserve-to-win  ·  1.0 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  as expected
contact: 1.1 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (+0.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wallace Sappington 76 / +21° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Sean Spence 85 / +24° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.39
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