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Astros 5, Phillies 2                                         2026-06-23 · #874
at Halloran Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Houston                 5    5    3    0
Philadelphia            2    2    3    0

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ayala       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Braun       ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Rivas       3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Morales     1b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Edmonso pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Thom        c  ......    2   2   2   1   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gómez       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Solórzano   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Neely       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Konig       cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Wiesner pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  11   5   3   2   0   1   4   2   5   0   0  0.273
  2B: Morales (8), Thom (7).
  HR: Thom (2), off Chavez.
  SB: Thom (3), Konig (1).
  a-Ran for Morales in the 7th.
  b-Ran in the 3rd.

PHILLIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mattke      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Logar       1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Aktaş       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Crayton     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Israilov    lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Ka'apan pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
DelSignore  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Borges  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Tabaracci   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Moor    ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Spracklin   rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Santos  ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Brink       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Granber ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Skeen   pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  g-Barba   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   2   3   0   0   0   1   5  14   0   0  0.115
  GIDP: Borges (1).
  a-Ran for Israilov in the 5th.
  b-Batted for DelSignore in the 4th.
  c-Singled for Tabaracci in the 4th.
  d-Batted for Spracklin in the 4th.
  e-Walked for Brink in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Moor in the 4th.
  g-Ran for Granberry in the 4th.

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ayala (W, 7-1) ......    24   22  81%    2    2    2    4   10    0   98    -
Carrington ..........     6    5  19%    0    0    0    1    4    0   15  1-0

PHILLIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Brink ...............    11    8  30%    2    2    2    1    5    0   53    -
Chavez (L, 4-5) .....     2    0   0%    1    3    3    1    0    1    1  1-0

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ayala (Outs 1-22) → Carrington (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Thom (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morales (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gómez (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rivas (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Braun (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Konig (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Neely (Outs 1-27)

PHILLIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-8)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Brink (Outs 1-8)
CATCHER (C)       | DelSignore (Outs 1-8)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Logar (Outs 1-8)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tabaracci (Outs 1-8)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-8)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Crayton (Outs 1-8)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Israilov (Outs 1-8)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Mattke (Outs 1-8)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spracklin (Outs 1-8)

  Batting order: Phillies (home) batted first; Astros batted second.
  First pitch 8:10 PM ET. Weather: 89°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 569733.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 17 Marco Logar Ulises Barba (3B) 0–1
B 21 Godfrey Skeen Jerome Ka'apana (3B) 0–2
T 4 Jeyland Solórzano Iapani Thom (3B) 1–2
T 8 Jeyland Morales Zane Wiesner (3B) 2–2
T 8 Iapani Thom Alexis Edmonson (2B) 3–2
T 8 Iapani Thom Brayan Braun (1B) 4–2
T 8 Iapani Thom Iapani Thom (HR) 5–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Halloran Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 271' · CF 492' · RF 299' · 36' wall). Bathtub.
Astros — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 0 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
271' 492' 299' Wall 36' Brayan Braun — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -10° · 54 ft Iapani Thom — double · EV 97 mph · LA +35° · 354 ft Jeyland Morales — double · EV 102 mph · LA +18° · 246 ft Iapani Thom — hr · EV 93 mph · LA +29° · 291 ft
Phillies — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
271' 492' 299' Wall 36' Anthony Mattke — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +28° · 256 ft Arion Crayton — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +25° · 197 ft Daniel Israilov — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -8° · 62 ft Patrick DelSignore — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA +6° · 58 ft Sandy Santos — single · EV 78 mph · LA +14° · 118 ft Godfrey Skeen — single · EV 89 mph · LA -0° · 85 ft Ulises Barba — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -11° · 65 ft Devron Borges — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +16° · 141 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Astros
63% deserve-to-win  ·  3.0 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 3.7 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+4.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+1.0 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Iapani Thom 93 / +29° Pull Home Run 0.7 → 4 +3.26
Jeyland Morales 102 / +18° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Iapani Thom 97 / +35° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.57
Brayan Braun 57 / -10° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Phillies
37% deserve-to-win  ·  2.3 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 3.3 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Anthony Mattke 88 / +28° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Devron Borges 82 / +16° Pull Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.63
Godfrey Skeen 89 / +0° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Sandy Santos 78 / +14° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Arion Crayton 80 / +25° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.40
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