==============================================================================
Brewers 2, Marlins 0                                         2026-06-27 · #922
at Bussaglia Grounds
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Miami                   0    0    1    0
Milwaukee               2    2    1    0

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Enquist     cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Suárez      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Ashley      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Corzo       3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Mangin  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Todd-Willia 1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Vildoza     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Suggs       2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Enterline   rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Baird       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Narazak pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Beasley     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   0   1   0   0   0   0   2  13   0   1  0.042
  SB: Ashley (1).
  CS: Suggs (4).
  a-Struck out for Corzo in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Baird in the 5th.

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Espinoza    3b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Kollen      p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Flores      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Edwards     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Williams    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Prather     rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   5   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.200
  2B: Kollen (4).


MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Baird (L, 3-12) .....     6    3  11%    1    2    2    1    0    0   20    -

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kollen (W, 12-1) ....    26   27 100%    1    0    0    2   14    0  101    -

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-3)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Baird (Outs 1-3)
CATCHER (C)       | Ashley (Outs 1-3)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Todd-Williams (Outs 1-3)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suggs (Outs 1-3)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Beasley (Outs 1-3)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vildoza (Outs 1-3)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Suárez (Outs 1-3)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-3)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Enterline (Outs 1-3)

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kollen (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | —
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Flores (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | —
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Espinoza (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Williams (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Edwards (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | —
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Prather (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Brewers (home) batted second; Marlins batted first.
  First pitch 1:05 PM CT. Weather: 96°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 368248.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Robby Kollen Andres Espinoza (2B) 0–1
B 3 Robby Kollen Cannon Prather (1B) 0–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Bussaglia Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 344' · CF 415' · RF 304' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Marlins — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
344' 415' 304' Wilmer Corzo — line_out · EV 62 mph · LA +18° · 87 ft Wallace Enterline — fielders_choice · EV 61 mph · LA -3° · 58 ft Alexander Beasley — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Carson Suggs — single · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Alexander Beasley — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 90 ft Norm Ashley — error · EV 52 mph · LA -13° · 49 ft Bob Todd-Williams — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +5° · 49 ft Keishiro Narazaki — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Kendall Suárez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -25° · 72 ft Máximo Vildoza — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -30° · 49 ft
Brewers — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 0 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
344' 415' 304' Rodolfo Flores — error · EV 91 mph · LA +14° · 155 ft Daniel Edwards — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +8° · 90 ft Jesse Williams — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +29° · 202 ft Cannon Prather — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -8° · 76 ft Robby Kollen — double · EV 99 mph · LA +25° · 300 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Marlins
9% deserve-to-win  ·  0.7 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 2.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-1.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Carson Suggs 76 / +5° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Alexander Beasley 76 / +12° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Wilmer Corzo 62 / +18° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Kendall Suárez 76 / -25° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
Alexander Beasley 76 / -6° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.23
Brewers
91% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 2.8 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-0.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Robby Kollen 99 / +25° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.92
Rodolfo Flores 91 / +14° Pull Reached on Error 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Daniel Edwards 94 / +8° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Cannon Prather 80 / -8° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
Jesse Williams 77 / +29° Oppo Out 0.2 → 0 -0.16
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →