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Lima BC 23, Montréal Cannery SARL 20                         2046-04-21 · #925
at Silver Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Lima                   22      1   23   19    0
Montréal               20      -   20   14    0

LIMA BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Wilson      1b ......    4   0   2   2   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Jones       3b ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   4   1   1   0   0  0.500
Docherty    2b ......    4   4   3   2   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.750
Toone       c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   2   0   0  0.250
Auda        p  ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   1  0.667
  a-Krmenčí ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Kuki    pr ......    2   3   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Howell  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Footman pr ......    4   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
  e-Taylor  ph ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
  f-Flanaga ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Bachan  pr ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Weber       j  ......    3   2   3   2   0   0   3   0   1   1   0  1.000
Holloway    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  39  23  19   7   0   3  22   8   8   1   1  0.487
  2B: Wilson 2 (6), Docherty 2 (5), Taylor (4), Weber 2 (13).
  HR: Jones (2), off Konsa; Footman (2), off Konsa; Auda (1), off Carney.
  SB: Wilson (1).
  CS: Footman (2).
  HBP: Taylor (2).
  a-Grounded out in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Krmenčík in the 1st.
  c-Singled in the 1st.
  d-Ran for Howell in the 1st.
  e-Batted in the 1st.
  f-Walked in the 2nd.
  g-Ran for Flanagan in the 2nd.

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
McLaughlin  ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Krejčí      cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Homans      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Pokorný pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bowen       c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Rice    ph ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Carney      p  ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
  c-Carter  rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Rees    c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  e-Caldwel 2b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  f-Larkin  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Whiteho ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Blanton ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-O'Reill ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.333
  j-Edwards ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  k-Hetmyer ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ynoa        j  ......    4   4   4   0   0   2   5   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hranáč      j  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.500
Toney       j  ......    5   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.400
Totals                  35  20  14   4   0   4  17   8  12   0   0  0.400
  2B: Hranáč (4), Bowen (2), O'Reilly (8), Edwards (9).
  HR: Ynoa 2 (5), off O'Sullivan, Carrick; Toney (2), off Ivanova; Carney (1), off Allgeyer.
  a-Ran for Homans in the 6th.
  b-Batted for Bowen in the 6th.
  c-Entered at RF in the 4th.
  d-Entered at C in the 7th.
  e-Entered at 2B in the 8th.
  f-Ran for Carter in the 7th.
  g-Entered at SS in the 9th.
  h-Struck out for Caldwell in the 7th.
  i-Batted for Whitehouse in the 4th.
  j-Doubled for Pokorný in the 7th.
  k-Struck out for Larkin in the 8th.

LIMA BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Auda ................    13   10  37%    4    1    1    2    5    0   47  1-0
Cahill ..............     9    5  19%    2    4    4    3    2    0   35  2-2
O'Sullivan ..........     5    3  11%    1    5    2    0    1    1   17  3-3
Ivanova .............     6    2   7%    3    5    3    1    2    1   20  1-1
Allgeyer ............     4    2   7%    2    3    3    0    1    1   14  1-1
Carrick .............     4    2   7%    1    2    1    2    1    1    9  1-1
Shulze (W) ..........     1    3  11%    0    0    0    0    0    0    4  2-0

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Carney (L, 1-2) .....    12    5  19%    5    6    6    3    1    1   33    -
Basham ..............    15    9  33%    4    5    4    4    4    0   65  1-1
Faraimo .............    14   11  41%    4    5    5    1    3    0   48  2-0
Konsa ...............     7    2   7%    6    7    6    0    0    2   23  1-1

  Batting order: Montréal Cannery SARL (home) batted second; Lima BC batted first.
  Seconds: LB o26 (22-0).
  First pitch 5:00 PM. Weather: 66°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 840569.
  Powerplays: Montréal Cannery SARL — Pokorný NF (O1), Edwards NF
  Walk-Back runs: off Ivanova 2, off Carrick 1, off Basham 1, off Konsa 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Graham Docherty Masaaki Kuki (2B) 1–0
T 4 Vít Auda Max Footman (3B) 2–0
T 4 Vít Auda Graham Docherty (2B) 3–0
T 4 Vít Auda Daren Bachan (1B) 4–0
T 4 Vít Auda Vít Auda (HR) 5–0
T 4 Florian Weber Vít Auda (3B) 6–0
T 10 Peter Taylor Graham Docherty (2B) 7–0
T 12 Brian Wilson Peter Taylor (2B) 8–0
T 12 Brian Wilson Callum Toone (1B) 9–0
T 13 Max Footman Masaaki Kuki (2B) 10–0
T 20 Steeven Jones Peter Taylor (3B) 11–0
T 20 Steeven Jones Masaaki Kuki (2B) 12–0
T 20 Florian Weber Steeven Jones (1B) 13–0
T 22 Graham Docherty Florian Weber (2B) 14–0
T 23 Callum Toone Graham Docherty (3B) 15–0
T 25 Florian Weber Daren Bachan (3B) 16–0
T 25 Florian Weber Vít Auda (2B) 17–0
T 25 Manus Holloway Florian Weber (3B) 18–0
T 26 Steeven Jones Manus Holloway (1B) 19–0
T 26 Steeven Jones Steeven Jones (HR) 20–0
T 26 Max Footman Steeven Jones (3B) 21–0
T 26 Max Footman Max Footman (HR) 22–0
B 9 Jonny Bowen Aleš Hranáč (2B) 22–1
B 10 Domingo Ynoa Will Carney (2B) 22–2
B 10 Donal O'Reilly Josef Krejčí (3B) 22–3
B 10 Donal O'Reilly Domingo Ynoa (1B) 22–4
B 15 George Rice Callum Toney (3B) 22–5
B 15 Will Carney Eoin Caldwell (3B) 22–6
B 15 Will Carney Dalibor Pokorný (3B) 22–7
B 17 Donal O'Reilly George Rice (3B) 22–8
B 18 Domingo Ynoa Donal O'Reilly (1B) 22–9
B 18 Domingo Ynoa Domingo Ynoa (HR) 22–10
B 18 Aleš Hranáč Domingo Ynoa (3B) 22–11
B 18 Callum Toney Aleš Hranáč (2B) 22–12
B 18 Callum Toney Callum Toney (HR) 22–13
B 20 Stuart Edwards Callum Toney (3B) 22–14
B 20 Stuart Edwards Tiernan Larkin (2B) 22–15
B 20 George Rice Stuart Edwards (2B) 22–16
B 20 Will Carney George Rice (1B) 22–17
B 20 Will Carney Will Carney (HR) 22–18
B 23 Domingo Ynoa Will Carney (3B) 22–19
B 23 Domingo Ynoa Domingo Ynoa (HR) 22–20
seconds_first 0 Callum Toone Graham Docherty (2B) 23–20
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Silver Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 353' · CF 398' · RF 353' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Lima BC — Batted Balls
31 BIP· 9 1B · 7 XBH · 3 HR
353' 398' 353' Brian Wilson — double · EV 93 mph · LA +41° · 344 ft Ondřej Krmenčík — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -16° · 84 ft Steeven Jones — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 137 ft Waltclaire Howell — single · EV 111 mph · LA -11° · 106 ft Graham Docherty — single · EV 71 mph · LA +13° · 89 ft Peter Taylor — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +47° · 275 ft Vít Auda — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +46° · 430 ft Masaaki Kuki — ground_out · EV 105 mph · LA +7° · 100 ft Graham Docherty — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 308 ft Peter Taylor — double · EV 94 mph · LA +19° · 215 ft Vít Auda — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +23° · 284 ft Brian Wilson — double · EV 99 mph · LA +27° · 317 ft Max Footman — single · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 84 ft Daren Bachan — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +44° · 298 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 119 mph · LA +23° · 407 ft Manus Holloway — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +34° · 285 ft Masaaki Kuki — fly_out · EV 104 mph · LA +20° · 275 ft Graham Docherty — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +8° · 79 ft Brian Wilson — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 212 ft Steeven Jones — single · EV 111 mph · LA +9° · 153 ft Callum Toone — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA +4° · 96 ft Daren Bachan — single · EV 117 mph · LA +18° · 322 ft Vít Auda — single · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 129 ft Florian Weber — single · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 151 ft Manus Holloway — single · EV 97 mph · LA +16° · 195 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 106 mph · LA +17° · 258 ft Graham Docherty — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 196 ft Brian Wilson — line_out · EV 107 mph · LA +12° · 194 ft Steeven Jones — hr · EV 97 mph · LA +46° · 376 ft Max Footman — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Callum Toone — single · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 196 ft
Montréal Cannery SARL — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 5 1B · 4 XBH · 4 HR
353' 398' 353' Domingo Ynoa — single · EV 99 mph · LA +23° · 284 ft Callum Toney — ground_out · EV 109 mph · LA +4° · 104 ft Tiernan Whitehouse — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 205 ft Jonny Bowen — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 180 ft Will Carney — single · EV 81 mph · LA -7° · 77 ft Donal O'Reilly — double · EV 113 mph · LA +12° · 213 ft Stuart Edwards — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 216 ft George Rice — single · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft Josef Krejčí — single · EV 100 mph · LA +3° · 95 ft Domingo Ynoa — single · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Claude McLaughlin — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Donal O'Reilly — error · EV 83 mph · LA +3° · 78 ft Aleš Hranáč — double · EV 99 mph · LA +27° · 321 ft Callum Toney — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 108 ft Claude McLaughlin — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +23° · 410 ft Domingo Ynoa — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +33° · 480 ft Will Carney — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Callum Toney — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Domingo Ynoa — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Callum Toney — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 103 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Lima BC
61% deserve-to-win  ·  22.9 expected runs
actual 23 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 38.2 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 35.0 (-3.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Steeven Jones 97 / +46° Oppo Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.04
Brian Wilson 100 / +16° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Masaaki Kuki 104 / +20° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Vít Auda 104 / +46° Oppo Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.47
Brian Wilson 107 / +12° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Montréal Cannery SARL
39% deserve-to-win  ·  18.1 expected runs
actual 20 runs  ·  +1.9 vs expected
contact: 30.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 29.0 (-1.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Claude McLaughlin 119 / +23° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.74
Tiernan Whitehouse 100 / +15° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Callum Toney 88 / +10° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Aleš Hranáč 99 / +27° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Jonny Bowen 100 / +13° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
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