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Phillies 4, Reds 3                                           2026-06-29 · #942
at Halloran Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Cincinnati              3    3    5    0
Philadelphia            4    4    6    0

REDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
David       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Cox     pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Subhash     ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Murakami    3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ribera      rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Pittman     lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Corozo  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gayton      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Goodwin ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Núñez       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Villalo ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Dilworth    1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Agnew       p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Dawkins pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Warwick     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  27   3   5   0   0   0   3   3  11   0   0  0.185
  GIDP: Gayton (6), Corozo (4).
  a-Ran for David in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out for Pittman in the 7th.
  c-Struck out for Gayton in the 7th.
  d-Walked for Núñez in the 8th.
  e-Ran in the 6th.

PHILLIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ka'apana    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Craft       rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tabaracci   1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Grizzlies   cf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Andrade     c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Logar   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Mattke      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Moor        lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vásquez     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bowen       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Martín  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Skeen   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Sprackl ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Anthony     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cubas       j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  20   4   6   0   0   1   4   3   8   0   0  0.300
  HR: Grizzlies (4), off Agnew.
  GIDP: Tabaracci (3).
  a-Ran for Andrade in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Bowen in the 3rd.
  c-Ran in the 4th.
  d-Struck out in the 5th.

REDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Agnew (L, 7-11) .....    24   18  67%    6    4    3    3    9    1  106    -

PHILLIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bowen (W, 2-7) ......    17   15  56%    1    2    2    2    8    0   55    -
Sema ................    10   12  44%    1    1    1    1    3    0   35  3-1

REDS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-18)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Agnew (Outs 1-18)
CATCHER (C)       | David (Outs 1-18)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Dilworth (Outs 1-18)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Núñez (Outs 1-18)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Murakami (Outs 1-18)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Subhash (Outs 1-18)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Pittman (Outs 1-18)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gayton (Outs 1-18)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Ribera (Outs 1-18)

PHILLIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Bowen (Outs 1-15) → Sema (Outs 16-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Tabaracci (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mattke (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Vásquez (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ka'apana (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Moor (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Grizzlies (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Craft (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Phillies (home) batted second; Reds batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM ET. Weather: 75°F · Wind in · Clear · Dry. seed 105896.
  Powerplays: Phillies — Martín NF (O11)
  Walk-Back runs: off Agnew 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 15 Shelby Warwick Emmanuel Murakami (3B) 1–0
T 15 Bret David Blaise Dilworth (3B) 2–0
T 24 Agustin Cox Henri Dawkins (3B) 3–0
B 15 Zach Grizzlies Marco Logar (1B) 3–1
B 15 Zach Grizzlies Zach Grizzlies (HR) 3–2
B 15 Will Craft Zach Grizzlies (3B) 3–3
B 18 Sergio Cubas Will Craft (3B) 3–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Halloran Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 271' · CF 492' · RF 299' · 36' wall). Bathtub.
Reds — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
271' 492' 299' Wall 36' Felix Ribera — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Lyle Pittman — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +27° · 276 ft Shelby Warwick — single · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 152 ft Marco Corozo — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA +1° · 56 ft Agustin Cox — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -17° · 72 ft Bret David — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Felix Ribera — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 213 ft Thomas Gayton — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Orlando Núñez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Blaise Dilworth — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 152 ft Emmanuel Murakami — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +42° · 235 ft Felix Ribera — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 90 ft
Phillies — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
271' 492' 299' Wall 36' Bryan Andrade — single · EV 88 mph · LA -10° · 83 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA -23° · 77 ft Jerome Ka'apana — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 180 ft James Bowen — single · EV 86 mph · LA +12° · 124 ft Zach Grizzlies — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +28° · 347 ft Will Craft — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 208 ft Sergio Cubas — single · EV 80 mph · LA -8° · 76 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +1° · 70 ft Alberto Vásquez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 173 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — single · EV 82 mph · LA +12° · 114 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Reds
31% deserve-to-win  ·  2.0 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 4.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-2.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Lyle Pittman 92 / +27° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Blaise Dilworth 76 / +21° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Felix Ribera 76 / +12° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Bret David 52 / +15° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
Agustin Cox 76 / -17° Oppo Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
Phillies
69% deserve-to-win  ·  3.1 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 5.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+4.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zach Grizzlies 102 / +28° Pull Home Run 1.3 → 4 +2.66
Bryan Andrade 88 / -10° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Sergio Cubas 80 / -8° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
James Bowen 86 / +12° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.41
Adhithya Tabaracci 82 / +12° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.41
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