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Brewers 8, Athletics 7                                       2026-06-30 · #953
at Bussaglia Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Oakland                 7    7    7    0
Milwaukee               8    8    6    0

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pagán       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Gerlach pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Sinclair    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Banuelos    3b ......    3   1   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  b-Moros   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Korda       lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Sutton      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Noel    pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Sawchuk     cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Zago        ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Leat    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Fink        rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Diémé   ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Curran      p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
  f-Caspers ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Molina  ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ghannam     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Benítez     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   7   7   3   0   0   6   6  11   0   1  0.259
  2B: Banuelos 2 (10), Molina (7).
  CS: Korda (4).
  HBP: Caspersen (1).
  a-Ran for Pagán in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Banuelos in the 8th.
  c-Ran for Sutton in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Zago in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for Fink in the 3rd.
  f-Batted for Curran in the 3rd.
  g-Batted for Leat in the 3rd.

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Espinoza    3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Irving      lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   .000
  a-Ishida  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ebun        p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Saravia pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Edwards     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Hernand ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kaplan      ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Williams    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Prather     c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0   1   .000
Gentry      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Trejo   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Bangoura    rf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
  e-Struthe ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Penicko pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Sakurai ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Nava        j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Ayers       j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   .000
Eggleston   j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  26   8   6   0   0   1   8   8  10   0   1  0.231
  HR: Eggleston (2), off Verón.
  SB: Prather (5).
  HBP: Ayers (1).
  GIDP: Edwards (6).
  a-Ran for Irving in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Ebun in the 3rd.
  c-Grounded out for Edwards in the 7th.
  d-Batted for Gentry in the 6th.
  e-Batted for Saravia in the 6th.
  f-Ran in the 7th.
  g-Grounded out for Ishida in the 8th.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Curran ..............    19   15  56%    2    3    3    4    5    0   79    -
Verón (L, 7-2) ......     4    2   7%    1    4    4    1    2    1   16  3-3
Saravia .............    11    8  30%    2    1    1    3    3    0   25  1-0

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ebun (W, 14-0) ......    31   24  89%    6    7    7    6   10    0  116    -
Autry ...............     3    3  11%    1    0    0    0    1    0   10  1-0

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-25)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Curran (Outs 1-15) → Verón (Outs 16-17) → Saravia (Outs 18-25)
CATCHER (C)       | Pagán (Outs 1-25)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-25)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Sutton (Outs 1-25)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Banuelos (Outs 1-25)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zago (Outs 1-25)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Korda (Outs 1-25)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Sawchuk (Outs 1-25)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fink (Outs 1-25)

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Ebun (Outs 1-24) → Autry (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Prather (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Williams (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Edwards (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Espinoza (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kaplan (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Irving (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gentry (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Bangoura (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Brewers (home) batted second; Athletics batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 89°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 816436.
  Powerplays: Brewers — Penickova NF (O14)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Shane Curran Stefan Banuelos (3B) 1–0
T 8 Wilfredo Molina Martin Leat (3B) 2–0
T 8 Wilfredo Molina Chet Noel (2B) 3–0
T 11 Rick Taygan Wilfredo Molina (3B) 4–0
T 18 Ahmad Sawchuk Val Caspersen (2B) 5–0
T 20 Stefan Banuelos Ahmad Sawchuk (2B) 6–0
T 23 Mathis Diémé Mirko Moros (3B) 7–0
B 8 Cannon Prather Andres Espinoza (3B) 7–1
B 14 Clifford Irving Cannon Prather (3B) 7–2
B 15 Terry Ayers Percy Nava (3B) 7–3
B 15 Donni Eggleston Toshihiro Ishida (3B) 7–4
B 15 Donni Eggleston Johan Bangoura (2B) 7–5
B 15 Donni Eggleston Terry Ayers (1B) 7–6
B 15 Donni Eggleston Donni Eggleston (HR) 7–7
B 25 Raymond Penickova Percy Nava (3B) 7–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Bussaglia Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 344' · CF 415' · RF 304' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Athletics — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
344' 415' 304' Modesto Pagán — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +11° · 129 ft Stefan Banuelos — double · EV 83 mph · LA +43° · 275 ft Arnold Sutton — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +19° · 240 ft Wilfredo Molina — double · EV 91 mph · LA +12° · 132 ft Rick Taygan — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 145 ft Stefan Banuelos — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +13° · 130 ft Mathis Diémé — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +45° · 321 ft Wilfredo Molina — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +4° · 85 ft Randy Korda — single · EV 98 mph · LA +8° · 93 ft Chet Noel — single · EV 80 mph · LA -8° · 76 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — single · EV 78 mph · LA -1° · 74 ft Stefan Banuelos — double · EV 113 mph · LA +21° · 339 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Mathis Diémé — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +16° · 184 ft
Brewers — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
344' 415' 304' Daniel Edwards — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA +6° · 52 ft Johan Bangoura — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +50° · 228 ft Percy Nava — fielders_choice · EV 62 mph · LA -9° · 59 ft Donni Eggleston — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +49° · 339 ft German Hernandez — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +13° · 107 ft Takuto Sakurai — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Raymond Penickova — single · EV 53 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Steven Kaplan — single · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Daniel Edwards — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 144 ft Percy Nava — single · EV 56 mph · LA +4° · 54 ft Johan Bangoura — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 110 ft Steven Kaplan — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +6° · 49 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
72% deserve-to-win  ·  7.7 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 10.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Stefan Banuelos 83 / +43° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.32
Arnold Sutton 99 / +19° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Wilfredo Molina 91 / +12° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Mathis Diémé 90 / +45° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.12
Mathis Diémé 93 / +16° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Brewers
28% deserve-to-win  ·  4.8 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +3.2 vs expected
contact: 3.7 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+4.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Donni Eggleston 92 / +49° Oppo Home Run 0.5 → 4 +3.46
Percy Nava 56 / +4° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Steven Kaplan 52 / +14° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Raymond Penickova 53 / +10° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Daniel Edwards 76 / +19° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
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