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Orcas 7, Royals 0                                            2026-07-01 · #959
at Abdurakhmanov Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Kansas City             0    0    1    0
Vancouver               7    7    6    0

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Monson      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sabella     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hackett     p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Vera        cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Tanguilig   lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Savarino    rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Fontes  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Selden      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Farley      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Graham  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Coates      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   0   1   0   0   0   0   2  15   0   0  0.038
  GIDP: Rosales (5).
  a-Batted for Savarino in the 9th.
  b-Batted for Farley in the 4th.

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Valdivia    ss ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Peavy       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Godín       1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   .000
  a-Teeguar pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Balotelli   2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.000
Prince      rf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Garcés      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Badger  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
McInerney   c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Corona      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Martínez    p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Alonso- pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Noonan  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cuéllar     j  ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Roker       j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Turrentine  j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   7   6   3   0   0   6   8  16   0   0  0.214
  2B: Valdivia (3), Cuéllar 2 (2).
  CS: Godín 2 (8), Cuéllar (1).
  a-Ran for Godín in the 6th.
  b-Struck out for Garcés in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Martínez in the 2nd.
  d-Walked for Alonso-Corcelles in the 8th.

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hackett (L, 10-5) ...    10    6  22%    2    5    5    3    3    0   38    -
Lamar ...............    15   13  48%    2    1    1    3    6    0   53    -
Muñoz ...............    10    8  30%    1    1    1    2    7    0   37  1-1

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Martínez (W, 2-1) ...    28   27 100%    1    0    0    2   15    0  133    -

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Hackett (Outs 1-6) → Lamar (Outs 7-19) → Muñoz (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Farley (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Monson (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Selden (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Vera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Savarino (Outs 1-27)

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Martínez (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | McInerney (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Godín (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Balotelli (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Corona (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Valdivia (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Garcés (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Prince (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Orcas (home) batted first; Royals batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 71°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 783686.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Karim Balotelli Moisés Valdivia (2B) 0–1
B 5 Yerry Cuéllar Jeff Prince (3B) 0–2
B 5 Yerry Cuéllar Lipe McInerney (2B) 0–3
B 5 Moisés Valdivia Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles (3B) 0–4
B 5 Moisés Valdivia Yerry Cuéllar (3B) 0–5
B 17 Karim Balotelli Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles (2B) 0–6
B 22 Yerry Cuéllar Jeff Prince (1B) 0–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 282' · CF 485' · RF 283' · 12' wall). Bathtub.
Tal's Hill
Royals — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' Finn Hackett — fielders_choice · EV 56 mph · LA +2° · 53 ft Luis Rosales — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +5° · 55 ft Luis Rosales — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Landon Tanguilig — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Finn Hackett — single · EV 81 mph · LA -1° · 77 ft
Orcas — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 2 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' Moisés Valdivia — double · EV 90 mph · LA +18° · 193 ft Karim Balotelli — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -11° · 61 ft Yerry Cuéllar — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 336 ft Lipe McInerney — fielders_choice · EV 81 mph · LA +8° · 77 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — single · EV 89 mph · LA +10° · 113 ft Moisés Valdivia — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +34° · 135 ft Andrea Peavy — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +3° · 82 ft Jeff Prince — single · EV 101 mph · LA -26° · 96 ft Yerry Cuéllar — double · EV 99 mph · LA +29° · 333 ft Moisés Valdivia — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +3° · 89 ft Karim Balotelli — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
1% deserve-to-win  ·  0.3 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 1.0 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Finn Hackett 81 / -1° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Luis Rosales 76 / -1° Pull Double Play 0.2 → 0 -0.23
Landon Tanguilig 76 / -1° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.23
Finn Hackett 56 / +2° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Luis Rosales 58 / +5° Pull Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Orcas
99% deserve-to-win  ·  2.9 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +4.1 vs expected
contact: 5.8 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+2.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 3 CS (-2.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Moisés Valdivia 90 / +18° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Yerry Cuéllar 99 / +29° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.92
Yerry Cuéllar 92 / +42° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.88
Jeff Prince 101 / -26° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Moisés Valdivia 94 / +3° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
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