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Reds 1, Royals 0                                            2026-07-05 · #1001
at Sokk Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Cincinnati              1    1    3    0
Kansas City             0    0    2    0

REDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Subhash     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Goodwin     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gayton      cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Pittman     1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tsoubanos   3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Levy        rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Villalobos  lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Murakami    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                   8   1   3   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.375



ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hackett     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Vera        cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Rosales     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Linnehan    c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Talavera    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Monson      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hsia        lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Tanguil ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Selden      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Sabella ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Devens      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Savarin pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Ekic    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Coates      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Press       j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Florenzo    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   0   2   0   0   0   0   3  13   0   0  0.074
  SB: Savarino (14).
  GIDP: Rosales (6).
  a-Batted for Hsia in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Selden in the 4th.
  c-Ran in the 4th.
  d-Grounded out in the 6th.

REDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Aguilar (W, 10-6) ...    28   27 100%    0    0    0    3   13    0  103    -

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hackett (L, 10-6) ...     7    5  19%    2    1    1    0    3    0   23    -

REDS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Aguilar (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Murakami (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Pittman (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodwin (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Tsoubanos (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Subhash (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Villalobos (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gayton (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Levy (Outs 1-27)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-5)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Hackett (Outs 1-5)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-5)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-5)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Selden (Outs 1-5)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Devens (Outs 1-5)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Monson (Outs 1-5)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Hsia (Outs 1-5)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Vera (Outs 1-5)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Talavera (Outs 1-5)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted first; Reds batted second.
  First pitch 7:35 PM CT. Weather: 76°F · Wind out · Clear · Light rain. seed 734041.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Zachary Subhash Lyle Pittman (2B) 1–0
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Reds — Batted Balls
3 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Jackson Levy — single · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 74 ft Thomas Gayton — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Zachary Subhash — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -22° · 72 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Luis Rosales — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -6° · 57 ft Beau Devens — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -34° · 72 ft Efraín Sabella — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +48° · 247 ft Devron Savarino — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -14° · 56 ft Patrik Florenzo — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +42° · 230 ft Tripp Ekic — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +19° · 171 ft Beau Devens — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Kael Monson — fly_out · EV 74 mph · LA +34° · 205 ft Reinaldo Talavera — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -32° · 51 ft Adalid Coates — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 176 ft Beau Devens — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Eugenio Vera — fly_out · EV 61 mph · LA +40° · 146 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Reds
1% deserve-to-win  ·  0.1 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 0.7 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (+1.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jackson Levy 78 / -6° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Thomas Gayton 76 / +2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Zachary Subhash 76 / -22° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
Royals
99% deserve-to-win  ·  1.5 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -1.5 vs expected
contact: 2.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 0.0 (-2.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tripp Ekic 84 / +19° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.63
Beau Devens 76 / +5° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.26
Beau Devens 76 / -34° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
Beau Devens 76 / -16° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
Adalid Coates 76 / +25° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.16
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