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Rockies 11, Padres 10                                       2026-07-05 · #1002
at Saitch Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Colorado               11   11    6    0
San Diego              10   10    8    1

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Otamendi    cf ......    2   3   2   0   1   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Martinho    ss ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Chaves      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Holzworth   p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Alderman    lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mondragón   c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ruidíaz     3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Porteño     2b ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Touchard    rf ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  10  11   6   2   1   3  10   2   0   0   0  0.600
  2B: Martinho (40), Mondragón (8).
  3B: Otamendi (1).
  HR: Otamendi (6), off Salaun; Porteño (5), off Sun; Touchard (5), off Sun.


PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Salaun      p  ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Fehr        cf ......    4   3   3   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.750
Najar       rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Schwinger   ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.250
Andrade     3b ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
MacCracken  2b ......    4   0   2   2   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.500
Atehortua   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Lettiere    lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Pastore     c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  a-Staten  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pearman     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32  10   8   3   0   2  10   4  14   0   0  0.250
  2B: Fehr (2), MacCracken 2 (4).
  HR: Salaun (1), off Holzworth; Schwinger (2), off Endo.
  SB: Fehr (1).
  CS: Pastore (6).
  E: MacCracken (3).
  a-Struck out in the 8th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Holzworth (W, 10-1) .    26   20  74%    6    6    1    3    9    1   87    -
Endo ................    10    7  26%    2    4    4    1    5    1   45  1-1

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Salaun ..............    10    3  11%    4    7    7    2    0    1   28    -
Sun (L, 5-2) ........     2    0   0%    2    4    3    0    0    2   10  1-1

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Holzworth (Outs 1-20) → Endo (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Touchard (Outs 1-27)

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-3)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Salaun (Outs 1-3)
CATCHER (C)       | Pastore (Outs 1-3)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-3)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | MacCracken (Outs 1-3)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Andrade (Outs 1-3)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Schwinger (Outs 1-3)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Lettiere (Outs 1-3)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-3)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Najar (Outs 1-3)

  Batting order: Padres (home) batted first; Rockies batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 87°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 636796.
  Walk-Back runs: off Holzworth 1, off Salaun 1, off Sun 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Barry Salaun Barry Salaun (HR) 0–1
B 0 Hal Fehr Barry Salaun (3B) 0–2
B 2 Ludlow MacCracken Hal Fehr (3B) 0–3
B 2 Ludlow MacCracken Haxzel Andrade (1B) 0–4
B 20 Hal Fehr Haxzel Andrade (2B) 0–5
B 20 Hal Fehr Yoshimar Najar (1B) 0–6
B 20 Mark Pearman Hal Fehr (2B) 0–7
B 23 Cary Schwinger Barry Salaun (3B) 0–8
B 23 Cary Schwinger Hal Fehr (1B) 0–9
B 23 Cary Schwinger Cary Schwinger (HR) 0–10
T 1 Allen Alderman Markeylin Martinho (2B) 1–10
T 1 Aníbal Mondragón Corey Holzworth (3B) 2–10
T 1 Aníbal Mondragón Allen Alderman (1B) 3–10
T 3 Wesly Otamendi Marco Ruidíaz (2B) 4–10
T 3 Wesly Otamendi Mario Porteño (1B) 5–10
T 3 Wesly Otamendi Wesly Otamendi (HR) 6–10
T 3 Wesly Otamendi Wesly Otamendi (3B) 7–10
T 3 Jahmari Touchard Wesly Otamendi (3B) 8–10
T 3 Jahmari Touchard Jahmari Touchard (HR) 9–10
T 3 Mario Porteño Jahmari Touchard (3B) 10–10
T 3 Mario Porteño Mario Porteño (HR) 11–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Saitch Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 386' · CF 403' · RF 371' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Rockies — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 0 1B · 3 XBH · 3 HR
386' 403' 371' Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 266 ft Allen Alderman — error · EV 79 mph · LA -22° · 75 ft Aníbal Mondragón — double · EV 113 mph · LA +19° · 316 ft Marco Ruidíaz — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -17° · 81 ft Jahmari Touchard — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +30° · 228 ft Wesly Otamendi — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Mario Porteño — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +31° · 446 ft Wesly Otamendi — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Jahmari Touchard — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +39° · 432 ft
Padres — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 2 HR
386' 403' 371' Barry Salaun — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +41° · 467 ft Hal Fehr — single · EV 84 mph · LA +16° · 154 ft Yoshimar Najar — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +12° · 118 ft Haxzel Andrade — error · EV 80 mph · LA -4° · 76 ft Ludlow MacCracken — double · EV 102 mph · LA +16° · 216 ft Keshav Atehortua — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -28° · 80 ft Renaldo Pastore — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Mark Pearman — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -13° · 75 ft Renaldo Pastore — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +31° · 258 ft Renaldo Pastore — single · EV 102 mph · LA +18° · 243 ft Reed Lettiere — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +38° · 310 ft Ludlow MacCracken — double · EV 99 mph · LA +12° · 156 ft Cary Schwinger — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -10° · 73 ft Hal Fehr — double · EV 104 mph · LA +26° · 342 ft Hal Fehr — single · EV 82 mph · LA +15° · 136 ft Cary Schwinger — hr · EV 96 mph · LA +41° · 367 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
50% deserve-to-win  ·  7.4 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +3.6 vs expected
contact: 15.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (+3.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wesly Otamendi 100 / +18° Oppo Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.58
Jahmari Touchard 105 / +39° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +1.05
Mario Porteño 112 / +31° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +1.04
Markeylin Martinho 119 / +14° Pull Double 1.6 → 2 +0.44
Jahmari Touchard 81 / +30° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.40
Padres
50% deserve-to-win  ·  7.4 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 15.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+1.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cary Schwinger 96 / +41° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.02
Reed Lettiere 89 / +38° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Ludlow MacCracken 99 / +12° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.89
Ludlow MacCracken 102 / +16° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.75
Hal Fehr 104 / +26° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.66
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