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Guardians 10, Dodgers 7                                     2026-07-05 · #1003
at Wold Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Cleveland              10   10    8    0
Los Angeles             7    7    7    0

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Haliburton  p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Enquist pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Cabrera     ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bannatyne   lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Batt        3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Mayotte     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Gonzále ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Solórzano   c  ......    4   2   2   0   0   1   4   0   2   0   0  0.500
Hutson      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Anwunah ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Velez       rf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Druz    pr ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Granberry   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Tanner  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Ardón   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Gazzani ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Brymer  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Nieto       j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Suggs       j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  31  10   8   2   0   1  10   4  12   0   0  0.258
  2B: Velez (8), Druz (4).
  HR: Solórzano (1), off Goss.
  CS: Ardón (7).
  HBP: Haliburton (1).
  GIDP: Gazzaniga (1).
  a-Ran for Haliburton in the 8th.
  b-Grounded out for Mayotte in the 4th.
  c-Grounded out for Hutson in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Velez in the 4th.
  e-Struck out for Gazzaniga in the 8th.
  f-Ran for Brymer in the 6th.
  g-Grounded out in the 6th.
  h-Walked for González in the 7th.

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Arozarena   p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Tena        lf ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Mokiao-Atim 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Eggleston   3b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Gerardy     rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Bertram pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Manaia      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gilbert     1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Saffold     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Querrey pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Swanson     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Lepchen pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Gleason ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.000
Kromah      j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Monroe      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  29   7   7   1   0   0   7   6  11   0   1  0.241
  2B: Gerardy (8).
  SB: Eggleston (2), Bertrams (5), Kromah (1).
  a-Ran for Gerardy in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Saffold in the 5th.
  c-Ran in the 3rd.
  d-Batted in the 4th.

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Haliburton (W, 9-3) .    25   19  70%    5    6    6    5    7    0   89    -
Ovalle ..............     9    8  30%    1    1    1    1    4    0   37  2-1

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Arozarena ...........    22   19  70%    4    2    2    0   10    0   88    -
Fitzgibbon (L, 5-3) .     5    2   7%    1    3    3    2    1    0   21  1-0
Fariña ..............     7    4  15%    2    2    2    2    1    0   20  1-1
Goss ................     2    1   4%    1    3    3    0    0    1    3  2-2

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Haliburton (Outs 1-19) → Ovalle (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mayotte (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Batt (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Bannatyne (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Hutson (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Velez (Outs 1-27)

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-26)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Arozarena (Outs 1-19) → Fitzgibbon (Outs 20-21) → Fariña (Outs 22-25) → Goss (Outs 26-26)
CATCHER (C)       | Manaia (Outs 1-26)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Gilbert (Outs 1-26)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-26)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Eggleston (Outs 1-26)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Saffold (Outs 1-26)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tena (Outs 1-26)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Swanson (Outs 1-26)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-26)

  Batting order: Dodgers (home) batted first; Guardians batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 94°F · Wind out · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 573749.
  Powerplays: Guardians — Ardón NF (O4)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Tanner Gerardy Lenny Eggleston (2B) 0–1
B 9 Elliott Gleason Dylan Bertrams (3B) 0–2
B 10 Dylan Bertrams Andy Lepchenko (3B) 0–3
B 15 Tomm Kromah Dean Gilbert (2B) 0–4
B 16 Paolo Tena Daylan Querrey (2B) 0–5
B 19 Wallace Monroe Paolo Tena (2B) 0–6
B 19 Hemi Manaia Lenny Eggleston (3B) 0–7
T 11 Jeyland Solórzano Hubert Druz (2B) 1–7
T 14 Sekou Cabrera Jeyland Solórzano (3B) 2–7
T 21 Hubert Druz Júnior Ardón (3B) 3–7
T 21 Hubert Druz Amir Anwunah (2B) 4–7
T 21 Hubert Druz Stan Nieto (1B) 5–7
T 23 Doug Bannatyne Hubert Druz (2B) 6–7
T 25 Stan Nieto Doug Bannatyne (2B) 7–7
T 26 Jeyland Solórzano Shelton Suggs (2B) 8–7
T 26 Jeyland Solórzano Stan Nieto (1B) 9–7
T 26 Jeyland Solórzano Jeyland Solórzano (HR) 10–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wold Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 395' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Guardians — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
338' 395' 346' Chet Batt — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 153 ft Kemari Granberry — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -16° · 76 ft José González — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -24° · 84 ft Alastair Gazzaniga — double_play · EV 79 mph · LA -1° · 75 ft Amir Anwunah — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 80 ft Hubert Druz — double · EV 99 mph · LA +18° · 227 ft Stan Nieto — single · EV 97 mph · LA +20° · 248 ft Júnior Ardón — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +44° · 308 ft Eddie Velez — double · EV 98 mph · LA +24° · 287 ft Jeyland Solórzano — single · EV 115 mph · LA -9° · 109 ft Chet Batt — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -10° · 84 ft Sekou Cabrera — single · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Chet Batt — single · EV 111 mph · LA -31° · 106 ft Kemari Granberry — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +28° · 235 ft Doug Bannatyne — single · EV 95 mph · LA -15° · 90 ft Chet Batt — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +14° · 138 ft Jeyland Solórzano — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +33° · 451 ft
Dodgers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Yimmi Arozarena — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 344 ft Tanner Gerardy — double · EV 102 mph · LA +21° · 277 ft Jerome Saffold — fly_out · EV 106 mph · LA -1° · 101 ft Colton Swanson — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -10° · 75 ft Dylan Bertrams — single · EV 88 mph · LA +26° · 245 ft Elliott Gleason — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +38° · 325 ft Wallace Monroe — single · EV 91 mph · LA -18° · 86 ft Paolo Tena — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +10° · 126 ft Tomm Kromah — single · EV 114 mph · LA -1° · 108 ft Lenny Eggleston — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA -1° · 80 ft Dylan Bertrams — fly_out · EV 113 mph · LA +16° · 267 ft Paolo Tena — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 242 ft Hemi Manaia — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +5° · 75 ft Paolo Tena — single · EV 90 mph · LA -11° · 86 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Guardians
43% deserve-to-win  ·  7.8 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +2.2 vs expected
contact: 14.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-1.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Chet Batt 111 / -31° Center Single 2.0 → 1 -0.97
Eddie Velez 98 / +24° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.92
Hubert Druz 99 / +18° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Sekou Cabrera 76 / +0° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Júnior Ardón 88 / +44° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.68
Dodgers
57% deserve-to-win  ·  8.8 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -1.8 vs expected
contact: 10.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-3.7 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dylan Bertrams 113 / +16° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Yimmi Arozarena 100 / +30° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.34
Elliott Gleason 91 / +38° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Paolo Tena 94 / +10° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Wallace Monroe 91 / -18° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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