==============================================================================
Diamondbacks 20, Giants 2                                   2026-07-05 · #1004
at Arizona Coliseum
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
San Francisco           2      0    2    5    0
Arizona                20      0   20   17    1

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Estrada     2b ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Kelley      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cardozo     3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Braxton     lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Leininger   rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
McNeal      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Mantía      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Short       1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Guerrant    p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.500
  a-Gallowa ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   2   5   0   0   0   2   4  10   0   1  0.200
  GIDP: Mantía (2).
  a-Batted in the 6th.

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tanabe      lf ......    6   2   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Smashey     p  ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   1  0.667
McNutt      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Randall pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Linton      rf ......    4   2   3   3   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.750
Gibson      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alderman    3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   1  0.333
Aogo        2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Ullstro ph ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.667
Foyth       cf ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Gronows pr ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Monds       1b ......    4   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Martin  ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Pope    pr ......    1   3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Halstea ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Manasse     j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  37  20  17  10   0   2  19   6  10   0   2  0.459
  2B: Linton 3 (3), Aogo (2), Foyth (9), Gronowski (9), Manasse (5), Martin (10), Ullstrom 2 (12).
  HR: Tanabe (5), off Clements; Smashey (1), off Moore.
  E: Manasse (4).
  HBP: Smashey (1), Gronowski (4), Pope (2).
  Squeeze: Alderman (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for McNutt in the 4th.
  b-Batted for Aogo in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Foyth in the 3rd.
  d-Doubled for Manasse in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Martin in the 5th.
  f-Batted in the 5th.

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Guerrant ............    13    8  30%    5    3    3    0    3    0   41    -
Warburg .............     9    6  22%    3    4    4    2    2    0   33  2-1
Moore (L, 3-7) ......    14    9  33%    4    7    7    1    4    1   52  2-2
Clements ............     9    4  15%    4    6    5    3    1    1   30  1-1

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Smashey (W, 11-9) ...    16   14  52%    3    1    1    3    5    0   63    -
Cho (F, 38) .........    13   13  48%    2    1    1    1    6    0   49  1-0

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Guerrant (Outs 1-8) → Warburg (Outs 9-14) → Moore (Outs 15-23) → Clements (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | McNeal (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Short (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Estrada (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Cardozo (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Braxton (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Mantía (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Leininger (Outs 1-27)

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Smashey (Outs 1-14) → Cho (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | McNutt (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Monds (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Aogo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Gibson (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tanabe (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Linton (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Diamondbacks (home) batted first; Giants batted second.
  Seconds: SFG o26 (2-20), ARI o26 (20-0).
  First pitch 1:30 PM MT. Weather: 88°F · Wind in · Clear · Dry. seed 344230.
  Walk-Back runs: off Clements 1.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Bryce Alderman Damian Smashey (3B) 0–1
B 5 Joao Foyth Miguel Linton (3B) 0–2
B 7 Leverton Aogo Ron Gronowski (1B) 0–3
B 8 Dennis Manasse Owen Monds (3B) 0–4
B 9 Thomas Martin Dennis Manasse (3B) 0–5
B 13 Irving Ullstrom Ivan Pope (3B) 0–6
B 13 Irving Ullstrom Anderson Randall (2B) 0–7
B 13 Bryce Alderman Ron Gronowski (3B) 0–8
B 14 Miguel Linton Irving Ullstrom (3B) 0–9
B 14 Miguel Linton Ivan Pope (1B) 0–10
B 22 Miguel Linton Owen Monds (2B) 0–11
B 22 Damian Smashey Miguel Linton (3B) 0–12
B 22 Damian Smashey Gregg Halstead (1B) 0–13
B 22 Damian Smashey Damian Smashey (HR) 0–14
B 22 Genta Tanabe Damian Smashey (3B) 0–15
B 22 Genta Tanabe Genta Tanabe (HR) 0–16
B 25 Bryce Alderman Genta Tanabe (3B) 0–17
B 26 Irving Ullstrom Ivan Pope (3B) 0–18
B 26 Ron Gronowski Bryce Alderman (3B) 0–19
B 26 Ron Gronowski Irving Ullstrom (2B) 0–20
T 7 Egan Guerrant Reuben Leininger (3B) 1–20
T 22 Jerome Short Maximo Cardozo (3B) 2–20
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Arizona Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 340' · CF 429' · RF 341' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest Ivy Wall
Giants — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
340' 429' 341' Reuben Leininger — error · EV 60 mph · LA +6° · 57 ft Jaume La Mantía — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA +6° · 77 ft Jerome Short — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +9° · 85 ft Egan Guerrant — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 118 ft Brad Galloway — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -1° · 78 ft Jaume La Mantía — fly_out · EV 55 mph · LA +29° · 103 ft Reuben Leininger — single · EV 82 mph · LA +20° · 176 ft Stefan Braxton — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -7° · 66 ft Pramod Estrada — single · EV 80 mph · LA +22° · 177 ft Jerome Short — single · EV 90 mph · LA +16° · 170 ft Pramod Estrada — fly_out · EV 59 mph · LA +33° · 130 ft Reuben Leininger — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +38° · 255 ft Jaume La Mantía — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +39° · 348 ft Pramod Estrada — single · EV 78 mph · LA +6° · 74 ft
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 4 1B · 10 XBH · 2 HR
340' 429' 341' Genta Tanabe — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA +6° · 64 ft Miguel Linton — double · EV 102 mph · LA +30° · 356 ft Joao Foyth — double · EV 94 mph · LA +22° · 242 ft Owen Monds — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 99 ft Dennis Manasse — double · EV 96 mph · LA +34° · 346 ft Thomas Martin — double · EV 93 mph · LA +18° · 206 ft Irving Ullstrom — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 303 ft Damian Smashey — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -4° · 76 ft Owen Monds — fielders_choice · EV 87 mph · LA +9° · 89 ft Leverton Aogo — double · EV 92 mph · LA +44° · 338 ft Genta Tanabe — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +15° · 190 ft Bryce Alderman — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +28° · 247 ft Gregg Halstead — single · EV 79 mph · LA +18° · 143 ft Damian Smashey — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +43° · 472 ft Ron Gronowski — double · EV 107 mph · LA +19° · 289 ft Miguel Linton — double · EV 104 mph · LA +20° · 272 ft Genta Tanabe — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +14° · 112 ft Bryce Alderman — single · EV 92 mph · LA +0° · 87 ft Irving Ullstrom — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 142 ft Damian Smashey — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 157 ft Miguel Linton — double · EV 98 mph · LA +12° · 152 ft Genta Tanabe — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +42° · 410 ft Owen Monds — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA +6° · 78 ft Genta Tanabe — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +60° · 296 ft Genta Tanabe — single · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 193 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Giants
6% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -2.2 vs expected
contact: 6.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-1.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jaume La Mantía 94 / +39° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Pramod Estrada 78 / +6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Jerome Short 85 / +9° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Reuben Leininger 81 / +38° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
Reuben Leininger 82 / +20° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.37
Diamondbacks
94% deserve-to-win  ·  17.3 expected runs
actual 20 runs  ·  +2.7 vs expected
contact: 25.1 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 32.0 (+6.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Genta Tanabe 101 / +42° Oppo Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
Irving Ullstrom 92 / +32° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Irving Ullstrom 92 / +12° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Genta Tanabe 96 / +15° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.11
Joao Foyth 94 / +22° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →